def28
Avenger
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That 2017 date for New Mutants would definitely be pushing it but if we're getting casting for it already, I guess they could certainly make it happen. Deadpool was on a tighter schedule and I don't think New Mutants would be on as big of a scale as DoFP or Apocalypse, so they could make it work. The script looks to be done at this point so there's nothing holding them back right now.
I still don't see them using the July 2018 date for New Mutant - that's a prime spot for the next X-Men movie and they'd be kind foolish to not place one there. Especially with the fact that we'll have a classic lineup of popular characters with Jean, Cyclops, Storm, Beast, Jubilee etc.
So yea, I'm pretty much thinking it's:
March 2017 - Wolverine 3
Late 2017 - New Mutants or Gambit
January 2018 - Deadpool 2
July 2018 - Untitled X-Men Movie
They could certainly squeeze another movie into late 2018 if they really wanted too.
Deadpool could have that date though. I don't think they would be too worried given the box office and the films opening against him. He's passed 350m domestic now. Not many other comic films can do those kind of numbers, and only one other solo has.
They can hold onto that date pretty confidently if they like, even without a main X-Men film. While never can be too sure, I don't think a main X-Men film will be released that year.
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