It's hard to keep beating a team like that. The game is gonna be close. I'm not saying the Packers are going to win, but if they do, the 49ers could lose the following week and be in a 0-2 hole.
They could. And we'll have a lot of games to come out of that hole if we do hit 0-2.
I went a little overboard by saying far better. That's my bad. However, I think the Seahawks have the better running game and the better defense.
I'd say equal in either regard. The Seahawks by far have the better secondary. But I think the 49ers have the better front 7.
Running game? I think that Gore / Lynch is pretty much a wash.
I think it does. The following teams can win more than 10 games. Packers, Falcons, Seahawks, Washington, Dallas, NY Giants, Buccaneers, Saints, Bears, 49ers and probably a surprise team. Will all those teams win more than 10 games? Probably not. But there's enough there where a good team will be out.
I doubt Dallas does. If New York does, they will probably be the only team in the East to do so. Washington maybe as well, if RGIII stays healthy, which is a HUGE "?" right now. I know Chicago got 10-6 last year, but I'm not expecting big things out of them. I do acknowledge the Saints are a wild card. They struggled last year due to suspensions, and I feel like people forget that. With being back at full strength, I think they will be a force again this year, and Atlanta isn't going to have such an easy go at that division. I'm not sold on anything from Tampa Bay or Carolina though until proven otherwise.
If Kaepernick would have played the whole season, he would have passed Wilson in rushing attempts(of course this is based on AVG rushing attempts). Kaepernick also came in during the St.Louis game and rushed for 66yds on 8 attempts.
Again, Kaeprnick actually rushed more than Wilson last season based on AVG rushing attempts. Kaepernick would have rushed the ball over 120 times compared to Wilson's 94 attempts if he had started the whole season. While that's not a huge difference between them, more rushing attempts means more chances to get hurt. Kaepernick is not the only QB in that category. Wilson, Newton, and RG3 are right there with him.
I never said Seattle was better based on their QB. I think heading into the season, Seattle has the better defense and running game. I think that's the difference maker.
Hope this doesn't come off the wrong way, as I'm saying this very aware of my rep around here, but I think you're doing it wrong.
You can't really just say that, because averages don't stay the same throughout the course of the season. Perfect example: You say Colin averaged more rushes per game than Kaepernick did, but over the same identical 7 game span, Russell Wilson rushed more times. Michael Crabtree put up better #'s the final 8 games with Colin Kaepernick than he did the first 8 with Alex Smith. Things change, and averages fluctuate. You can't really make the claim that Colin Kaepernick "rushes too much", but not hold that against Russell Wilson also, because they rush for roughly the same amount, and as I pointed out, over an identical span of time, Wilson actually rushed more.
If I'm wrong at the end of the season, they I'll say I'm wrong. I just think the dominoes could fall where the 49ers are out of the playoffs. Sometimes the losing Super Bowl teams tend to have a hangover. I think that happens this season.
I suppose they -could-. Anything is possible. Colin Kaepernick could get injured, and the 49ers get the 1st pick in the draft. Nothing is out of the realm of possibility.
But I don't think it's going to happen. Losing Super Bowl teams tend to have a hangover, you're correct, but the past few years that this trend has held true, the losing team in the Super Bowl wasn't really considered to be the best team in the NFL going into the following season.
And I'm not trying to be a 49ers homer here. I am trying to remain realistic about my expectations. I believe another Super Bowl run is -possible-, but unlike last year, I'm not operating on a "Super Bowl or BUST" mentality. I don't really think I have Super Bowl expectations this year. Super Bowl hopes certainly, but not expectations. Too many injuries already with Crabtree, Manningham, Culliver, etc. Too much up and coming competition like an emerging Seahawks, a re-emerging Saints, RGIII leading a new era for the Redskins, the Falcons will only be better from their playoff run last season, and yes, the improving Buccaneers / Rams / Panthers / Bears who... I don't think are gonna be huge trouble makers this year, but aren't gimmes in the least bit.
I think The 49ers could be in trouble this year too. The NFC is stacked. Kaepernick's passing will be tested with opposing defenses now having tape on him. He has fantastic arm velocity and a quick release but there are times where he pitches instead of passing, and that could bite him in the ass (check out The Ram games -- he appeared very average). Sorry, but The Packers have the superior secondary. If Green Bay improves against the run, I don't see Colin beating them. Then, there's Seattle. I am starting to loath their fanbase (pompous and self-entitled morons who think they got screwed out of OROY, DROY and the Super Bowl) but they have the best secondary in the NFL. Kaep is gonna have to rush for 150 yards to give the 49ers a chance.
Packers have a superior secondary? Sorry, I don't buy that. San Francisco took a HUGE hit with the loss of Goldson. No way that Reid can fill his shoes in year 1. And Whitner isn't great in coverage. But we got great corners from 1-3 in Carlos Rogers, Tarell Brown, and now Nnamdi Asomugha. Unfortunately we lost Chris Culliver for the year, but we still got good #4 depth with Tramaine Brock and Eric Wright as well. The secondary will be find, and Kaepernick already embarrassed Green Bay's once already.
