Ant-Man Box Office Predictions

[Tony Stark]

Feige's already been on record saying they've considered squeezing in a new film or two.

But he's also been on record as stating they are having a problem that they are at a point where they are reaching critical mass. Marvel has never had more than two productions come out in the same calendar year. They might be able to squeeze in 3, but they also don't want cross competition within their own movies.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

That seems odd since Marvel tends to get release dates set fairly early. It'd be a huge miss if they don't in there soon.

As I understand it China is in one of its foreign film blackout periods right now and during those they don't announce any future release dates. Early to mid August is when we should hear something. FWIW Minions doesn't have a China date right now either.

 

[Whiskey Tango]

True. But they always leave open the possibility, that's part of their business model. If this thing opened up to 80-90+ million we'd be talking a definitive sequel.

I'm not so certain, with their slate already full for years and Ant-Man already scheduled for appearances elsewhere. This is not the same situation as GotG.

 

[kedrell]

Ant-Man not succeeding is a good news for us Marvel fans, because it means Marvel will try harder to make sure they make compelling movies that make audiences go see the movie, not distain them with negativity such as getting rid of Wright.

I have only one response to that line of thinking.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

As I understand it China is in one of its foreign film blackout periods right now and during those they don't announce any future release dates. Early to mid August is when we should hear something. FWIW Minions doesn't have a China date right now either.

Didn't know that. I still have so much to learn about China's BO.

 

[dalonewolf]

Hulk had a bigger draw, because of non-3D and inflation. Green Lantern did not have bigger draw. It was either about the same or less. Yes there's inflation, but that is somewhat offset by Green Lantern's larger percentage of 3D sales.

The Thursday thing is a wash. The Thursday previews only reduce the number of people going on Friday or the rest of the weekend.

Back then There was no Thursdays showings the movie would start at 12a.m Friday
Antman started at 7p.m Thursday and ticket prices are higher get over it green lantern did better opening weekend as well as hulk
There's no way a marvel brand is suppose to be sitting at 120-150 dom when it's all said and done and as empty as the theater was word of mouth can't save the domestic box office minions is gonna kick it's weekdays numbers for sure

 

[TeeKay]

I like what Faraci said: "Ant-Man has never been popular enough in 50 years to maintain his own title... but his movie opened at #1."

 

[dalonewolf]

False. The international box office was expanding even during 2011 when CA:TFA. It didn't perform all that well largely in part because of the "flag effect". I mean TF: Dark of the Moon did over $700 million worldwide.

The international boxoffice only have really expanded in the last 3 years it's much bigger in 2015 then it was in 2011

 

[kedrell]

Much as I don't like or agree with Faraci, his statement rings true.

 

[JtheDreamer]

The international boxoffice only have really expanded in the last 3 years it's much bigger in 2015 then it was in 2011

Not according to the numbers. Twlight did $430 million. Harry Potter did $960 million. Fast 5 did $416 million. Pirates did $804 million.

The expansion has been ongoing longer than that, but it has absolutely exploded in the last three.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Says the FFINO fan.

Sorry for being ignorant, but what's the full form of FFINO? I know it stand for the Fanstastic Four but what's the 'INO'

 

[TheVileOne]

Meanwhile, Minions made over $217 million, and it's easily going to finish over $300 million domestic. So if Tony Stark wants to still call Minions a flop, he's dead wrong.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Sorry for being ignorant, but what's the full form of FFINO? I know it stand for the Fanstastic Four but what's the 'INO'

In name only.

 

[Tony Stark]

Back then There was no Thursdays showings the movie would start at 12a.m Friday
Antman started at 7p.m Thursday and ticket prices are higher get over it green lantern did better opening weekend as well as hulk
There's no way a marvel brand is suppose to be sitting at 120-150 dom when it's all said and done and as empty as the theater was word of mouth can't save the domestic box office minions is gonna kick it's weekdays numbers for sure

Dude, Thursday showings doesn't mean more people going, it means that the people that would have gone on Friday went Thursday. Get it?

 

[dalonewolf]

Not according to the numbers. Twlight did $430 million. Harry Potter did $960 million. Fast 5 did $416 million. Pirates did $804 million.

The expansion has been ongoing longer than that, but it has absolutely exploded in the last three.

Those was all big draw moviez already dude none of them were comic book movies as big as the dark knight was domestily it only made 469,700,000 foreign that was 2008 it took a full 4 years for another comic book movie to gain more (the avengers )
And after that' the dark knight rises and ironman 3 gain huge ya see before 2 years ago yoi can count on one hand how many comic book movies was actual big over there and even made 300 mil foreign
So the over seas market wasn't drawn to the ideal of cbm but avengers changed all of that
This is all facts not imagination like your assessment is

 

[Spiderdevil]

The international boxoffice only have really expanded in the last 3 years it's much bigger in 2015 then it was in 2011

Aren't you the same guy who accuses people of 'being against WB/DC's ideals' if they ever question BvS's box office potential or question the movie in general?

I don't think anyone at Marvel is as worried as you are, Green Lantern had a budget of 220m and **** load of promotion, even TIH cost 150m, in comparison Ant-man's budget is 130m, almost half of GL's

Even if this movie makes 150m Domestic and 200m OS which should be the floor for it, it will end up making almost thrice its budget

 

[JtheDreamer]

Those was all big draw moviez already dude none of them were comic book movies as big as the dark knight was domestily it only made 469,700,000 foreign that was 2008 it took a full 4 years for another comic book movie to gain more (the avengers )
And after that' the dark knight rises and ironman 3 gain huge ya see before 2 years ago yoi can count on one hand how many comic book movies was actual big over there and even made 300 mil foreign
So the over seas market wasn't drawn to the ideal of cbm but avengers changed all of that
This is all facts not imagination like your assessment is

Hate to break this to you, but the expansion of the international BO isn't relegated to comic book properties.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Ant-Man not succeeding is a good news for us Marvel fans, because it means Marvel will try harder to make sure they make compelling movies that make audiences go see the movie, not distain them with negativity such as getting rid of Wright.

Negativity?
Wright overstayed his welcome, he dragged this project one whole decade and Marvel didn't question him, but him trying to make it 'his' movie was the straw that broke the camel's back

Don't get me wrong, I love Wright, just like how I love Edward Nortan, and I still harbor a sense of disappointment at not seeing his Ant-man, but someone has to make the ugly decisions, it takes balls to keep a universe this big up and running

 

[dalonewolf]

Dude, Thursday showings doesn't mean more people going, it means that the people that would have gone on Friday went Thursday. Get it?

Dude stop being bias if one movie had 3 days to gain you can't compare it to a movie that's had 4 days to gain the Thursdays gives the movie extra time to earn more money it's not for those who wants to avoid the crowd on friday-sun this isn't Christmas shopping
This is boxoffice .as many post you have posted I would think you'll be more understanding about box office and how it works
But just in case you don't understand
Ant man had a 6.4mil Thursdays you really can't compare it to hulk and green lantern which is why boxoffice mojo is comparing it to thor the dark world because it's not fair to do so with a flim that was released in 2011 because the market is extremely diffrent then it was
If it was fair to compare it to 2011 flims then bom would have compared it to marvel phase 1 flims and not the phase 2

 

[Drz]

You think it's bad for Marvel to not try harder with movies?

 

[Limonade]

Dude, Thursday showings doesn't mean more people going, it means that the people that would have gone on Friday went Thursday. Get it?

I do like them doing the Thursdays previews though. Leaves less Sold Out/crowded theaters on Friday and leaves Hardcore Marvel fans in Theaters on Thursday.

 

[Creo]

Sometimes it better to not scroll through without reading the comments
I responded to a comment that was saying The movie opened bigger than Green Lantern and the incredible hulk when in reality it didn't how can you compare the movies to antman when both of those movies was released a standard movies ticket was 7.50 now it's 10.50 and 3d was only 12.00 now it's 16.00
I went and saw a 9:40 last night and it was me and 30 others in a theater of 300 seats hell the movies wasn't that empty when I saw green lantern or hulk there was no line .and back then nobody ever started their movie on thursday you really have to take away that 6.4mil
If you want to really compare the movies and it will also be fair to do so
I think when we everyone compare they forget this Thursdays thing recently started

Sometimes it's better to remember what you said. Here's the comment that mine was coming from, made by you.

"In reality antman is marvels lowest opening ever.the box office is about 13% different then it was back so if you add 13% to the first avenger it would have opened to 75mil in today's market and the incredible hulk would have opened to 62mil
And in those two movies time antman would have opened to 50mil
Just a fact I thought I might put out there
And they also makes its marvels lowest ticket sales"

Looks like TFA to me. Yes, TIH is there too, but GL is not. Also, my comment still stands, which you failed to address in any meaningful way.

 

[Spiderdevil]

I am 100% certain this was the plan. Too much was already invested in the project to abandon it outright, so they pushed forward hoping for a modest hit but willing to settle for a chance to minimize their losses. Losses which aren't a drop in the bucket compared to the billions they've been raking in lately. And I get a cool movie out of the deal.

Absolutely, I find it hilarious that DC/FF fans are coming out of their caves to gloat at its 'disappointing' box-office and how it is not getting a sequel, lol, it was never supposed to, Marvel just went ahead because they had invested 7-9 years on this movie already and just wanted to get it over with

And this isn't a single movie franchise that the sequel depends on that movie's gross only, even if this movie crashed and burned, MCU is a huge franchise with Huge profits, they can release a sequel if they want to, irrespective of what the first movie makes

 

[GL's Light]

The opening weekend audience for Ant-Man was 58% male, 55% over 25, 13% teenagers.

 

[TeeKay]

You think it's bad for Marvel to not try harder with movies?

Mmmmm....