The numbers are grim reading. I wonder when the next MCU film will come that does good numbers.
Deadpool should be fine even if it doesn't outgross D1 and D2. Its not going to be the 2nd/3rd lowest grossing MCU film (at least in North America). I'm also not interested in a Deadpool 4 movie, so there aren't a lot of stakes (imo) for its success, for future Deadpool movie, whereas Captain Marvel is now going to be a 2 and done like Wonder Woman, OG Fantastic 4 and Ghost Rider.
The 2025 slate isn't strong. It won't matter if they are good, if people aren't interested to watch the characters. Fantastic 4 is the only the classic Marvel IP imo out of the 4 and this is going to be 4th F4 film to be released in the cinemas and we know F4, at its peak, wasn't as popular as the X-Men, Spider-Man, Batman and Superman. Even if people already forgot about Fan4stic. Its still not a strong ip to be headlining a movie. If it is coming out after Spider-Man or Avengers or Deadpool, the chances of its boX office success would be a lot stronger. And its maybe coming out 2 months after Sam Wilson...
Captain America Brave New World is really going suffer from the lead. Even though we have seen Sam Wilson in the previous movies, he was merely a supporting character that wasn't cool or interesting enough. The goodwill from Deadpool and opening the summer season should be in its advantages, however if its a bad movie, its not going to help F4 (an ip that should getting imo a trilogy in the mcu). I wish Brave New World was never made in the first place.
Thunderbolts, like I've said back in 2022, it is my least anticipated mcu film and the least interesting mcu film. If The Marvels flopped, this would need to be really good but being good didn't help Birds of Prey and The Suicide Squad 2021... so Marvel Studios should cancel this, or pause it and return to it years later, with much stronger line up.
And then there's Blade. Like F4, I want this to succeed but for different reasons. I haven't liked any of the Blade movies from the past and the Blade movies haven't grossed more than $100 million in North America. I always look at boX office numbers and this is the only Marvel ip that had 3 movies released in the cinemas, without having any films to gross more than $100 million at the boX office. So when this was announced, I thought the possibility of better boX office success and a Blade movie that I would enjoy would finally come to fruition. But I'm not sure anymore. A Blade movie shouldn't take this long, and now I'm thinking Marvel Studios probably just don't know what to do with this and the end result wouldn't be good. Like with Thunderbolts, after the floppage of The Marvels, I don't know how this would gather more public interest? The lead actor isn't a big draw and Blade isn't an a-lister superhero. I think I'd prefer to see this in the backburner instead of finally releasing it in two years, with bad results.