Deadpool Deadpool Box Office Prediction Thread

How much will Deadpool make worldwide?

  • 600 million

  • 500 million

  • 400 million

  • 300 million

  • 200 million

  • 100 million

  • Under 100 million

  • 600 million

  • 500 million

  • 400 million

  • 300 million

  • 200 million

  • 100 million

  • Under 100 million


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Of course not. Another poster biasly speculated why this property couldn't work at another studio based on ideas I disagree with. The track record of both studios is the main reason why I would give Fox less credit then some are. You obviously disagree. I give Fox some credit, but a lot of this was just a happy accident which will hopefully open their eyes for the better.
I get what you're saying. I think my issue is that you're speaking of Fox as if it's one individual who's been around messing things up forever. Studios are made up of regimes. The regime that gave us Deadpool and DoFP, and even the recent FF (unfortunately) is not the same regime that gave us X3, XMO, and the first two FF films...
 
Best marketing campaign ever for Deadpool, I've said it multiple times, props.

Marketing for this film was second to none. Whoever was in charge of promoting this film needs a raise, and a big one.
 
I mean Green Lantern and Fantastic Four grossed a good deal more than any Blade movie, and weren't that far behind Ant-Man...

BLADE was R rated, those other movies weren't. Also, when BLADE came out, the Marvel movie brand name wasn't a huge box office draw like it currently is (which is one of the reasons why ANT-MAN did well at the box office).

I agree though that Iron Man and Guardians are good examples of fairly unpopular propreties that became huge hits based on the quality of the film. Really, I think it's more important to be "adaptable" in a way that works for 21st century audiences than it is to be "well known."

GOTG and Iron Man were not "unpopular" property's. They just weren't well known property's or as popular as other Marvel property's.
 
Of their currently slated films? Not really. Marvel arent changing anything in that regard, nor do they need to, they'll make bank anyway.

I wasn't talking about their current slate, but if they ever adapt the likes of Blade, Carnage, Morbius or even Ghost Rider into movies, a R Rating would suit those movies down to the ground. There are probably more I can't think of as well.
 
Marketing for this film was second to none. Whoever was in charge of promoting this film needs a raise, and a big one.

Quoted for the truth. Hell, the people behind the marketing of this movie need to teach a course in marketing and make it a required course.
 
BLADE was R rated, those other movies weren't. Also, when BLADE came out, the Marvel movie brand name wasn't a huge box office draw like it currently is (which is one of the reasons why ANT-MAN did well at the box]

Blade now there was a good one. 👍
 
Both were R rated raunchy comedy movies featuring unproven property's.
Deadpool is an action comedy comic book movie while Ted is not. People expect sequels to comic book films while comedy sequels are mostly a miss quality and box office wise. Also Ted 2 didn't ever look as good as Ted. It had some boring courtroom based plot about marriage rights and the jokes weren't very funny. I'm going solely based off of the trailers, I haven't seen the film.
 
Best marketing campaign ever for Deadpool, I've said it multiple times, props.

Of course directors have a vision, but the inference that Marvel Studios doesn't allow directors to have any is bogus. They've had issues with creative in the past, LIKE EVERY OTHER STUDIO, but my point is they've had a vision and respect for their characters (and bigger universe) right from the start, which is where they differ from others. Obviously helps if there is synergy from top to bottom.

It's a good thing that Fox won't try and put Deadpool into a larger cinematic X-universe in future films. We don't need his uniqueness bogged down by bloated corporate concepts.......

Never said that. Marvel Studios allow filmmakers to bring their vision on board, depending on the property (and how much the story can roam freely) and as long as they stay in their playground.

And they've gotten much better with that over their years, as some early movies felt too anchored to the bigger picture and too much like their story would simply end up falling into the next movie.

It's just a different way to make movies, but I'm glad that there is still a studio where the movie is director/filmmaker driven, and doesn't have to worry too much about fitting into a certain mold or a pre-existing 'skeleton.'

Variety is a good thing. Not every studio needs to go the Marvel Studios route. And I say that without taking a stab at Kevin Feige's team. After the first Iron Man the movies didn't do much for me, but ever since Shane Black's Iron Man 3 (which was the first movie since Jon Favreau's first entry where I felt that the script and overall movie had its own personality and tone and took risks and interesting turns with its independent story) I've been enjoying their output more and more, with the exception of Thor: The Dark World (even Ant-Man, despite being pretty upset that they didn't allow Edgar Wright to put his spin on it - I'm still convinced it would've worked well in the larger universe even if it was tonally 'off-kilter' in respect to the others).

I get what you're saying. I think my issue is that you're speaking of Fox as if it's one individual who's been around messing things up forever. Studios are made up of regimes. The regime that gave us Deadpool and DoFP, and even the recent FF (unfortunately) is not the same regime that gave us X3, XMO, and the first two FF films...

I hope that's clear by now. Even outside of comic book adaptations their approach has changed radically, and the quality of 'commercial' productions has improved immensely.
 
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To be fair, there's no guarantee that a DP sequel will do nearly as well as the first movie. TED had a $50M budget and had a domestic gross of $218M. TED 2 had a budget of $68M and grossed $81M. Just saying.

Ted 2 sucked though, and was not made to be a superhero franchise with decades of material.

There's plenty to pull from regarding serial superhero film sequels and numbers.

Fox wants an expanded universe, more Deadpool films, Cable and X-Force. The material more then allows it and will be expected. Now that Deadpool made money day 1, they can move ahead with confidence to bigger things.
 
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Went to buy tickets for 5:30 sold out. Drove to another theater 6:00pm sold out wanted to support a fourth time.
 
Deadpool is an action comedy comic book movie while Ted is not. People expect sequels to comic book films while comedy sequels are mostly a miss quality and box office wise. Also Ted 2 didn't ever look as good as Ted. It had some boring courtroom based plot about marriage rights and the jokes weren't very funny. I'm going solely based off of the trailers, I haven't seen the film.

You're missing my point. My point was/is that there is no guarantee that a sequel to a successful movie (especially a raunchy hard R rated comedy movie) will do as well as the original movie no matter how good sequel might be. You can only push the envelope so far before people get bored/tired/jaded/used to the joke and raunchiness. For example, the first HANGOVER mover had an opening weekend of $44M and a domestic gross of $277M,HANGOVER 2 had an impressive opening weekend of $85M and a domestic gross of $254M,and HANGOVER 3 had an underwhelming opening weekend of $41M and and domestic gross of $112M. And yes, the same thing can (and has) happened to PG rated comedy movies like the KUNG-FU PANDA sequels.
 
The Hangover 2 was a huge smash even though it made a little less. Iron Man 2 did less than Iron Man as well. Why do you insist on only comparing Deadpool to straight comedies? It's an action movie, neither Ted nor the Hangover are action films. Honestly many of the Marvel Studios movies are just as comedic as Deadpool. Your refusal to see Deadpool for what it actually is, is quite frankly baffling to me.
 
Deadpool 2 will do much better than 1.


You all told us Deadpool I would flop now the sequel won't do as well. I guess X-Force will fail too
 
Now here's the biggie question. Since it has such love by the audience more than critics with 96% audience praise compared to 84% critical acclaim on Rotten Tomatoes, an extensive marketing campaign that is akin to Star Wars and such love for this character, do u guys think Deadpool could end up as the first R-rated film of all time towns its worldwide total with $1 billion worldwide, even now with a record breaking opening weekend it's about to have? More reasons to think why it MIGHT be the first R-rated film to break a billion worldwide is because it has an "A" on Conemascorw which bodes well for Deadpool and The Dark Knight had some action that, despite the movie was PG-13 rated, was borderlined R-rated action. It also made a billion worldwide without China, which banned it because of the violence.

And, do u think with Deadpool's record-breaking opening, do you guys think there's hope that the other Marvel movies in Phase Three could have a 3-day opening weekend of $100M+ like Dr. Strange and Black Panther and Inhumans?
 
While China is not necessary for success, there is no way this is getting a billion without China.
 
Hangover sequels weren't nearly as good as the original, though. Negative word of mouth probably had a hand in that. And by the time the third one came out, no one really cared (the second wasn't loved as much, the trailers didn't exactly look great and the reviews were bad).

The trailers for Ted 2 didn't look that good, either. I actually liked it more than I thought I would, but it was far less memorable than the original.

If the team works as hard on the sequel as they did on this one, people will return for a second round.

And again. You were against the rating, and that's fine. That's your opinion. But Deadpool is heading towards a $130m opening weekend, so your box office predictions were quite off. Are now we're really talking about the sequel possibly flopping? Seriously? Are you on a crusade?
 
Going off Box Office mojo only 7 superhero films have made over $120m on their opening weekend. Avengers 1 & 2, TDK & TDKR, Iron Man 2 & 3 and Spider Man 3. Deadpool is going to be the 8th.
 
It's very hard for a non-sequel to cross 100 m opening weekend.

Only 3 superhero movies have done it, not including Deadpool.
 
Ted 2 sucked though, and was not made to be a superhero franchise with decades of material.

I found the first TED movie to be underwhelming with very little laughs, so I can believe that the 2nd movie (which I haven't seen yet) was crap.

There's plenty to pull from regarding serial superhero film sequels and numbers.

Yes, but none of that can prevent moviegoers from becoming numb,board, and jaded by the raunchy and bloody/gory hard R rated content and/or the jokes.
 
I found the first TED movie to be underwhelming with very little laughs, so I can believe that the 2nd movie (which I haven't seen yet) was crap.



Yes, but none of that can prevent moviegoers from becoming numb,board, and jaded by the raunchy and bloody/gory hard R rated content and/or the jokes.

Moviegoers can get bored by PG-13 action and comedy, as well. So that doesn't really mean anything.........
 
It's very hard for a non-sequel to cross 100 m opening weekend.

Only 3 superhero movies have done it, not including Deadpool.

It's going to be the highest grossing debut movie for a superhero franchise. That record is currently held by Man of Steel. If you were to have said to anyone a year ago Deadpool would outsell Superman most people would have called you crazy - and yet here we are.
 
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