Deadpool Deadpool Box Office Prediction Thread

[Sithborg]

I think the R rating helped the humor more than the action. Wolverine doesn't need to be an R unless you just want him to say the F word a lot.

Having seen the full Ninja fight, as well as the minor edits to the fights that really do add to the violence, I don't care about the language. I want Logan and Creed to go full out, no hold's barred. I can only imagine what the Shinjen fight would've been like if Mangold wasn't concerned with the rating.

 

[BlackFox]

I agree. Inherently R rated things should stay R rated. Something that just isn't R rated material shouldn't be shoved in that box just cause. Punisher and Blade for instance are just R rated characters.

Exactly. I think what studios might also look at even more so than rating is the marketing for this film. As many others have stated it doesnt have an OW like this without it, as well as being a well liked film.

 

[TheVileOne]

Look at a sharp guy like Jon Campea with Collider Movie Talk. He proclaimed that there was no way Fox would ever release this with an R-rating.

Does PG-13 appeal to the widest audience possible? Yes it may. However, it also potentially prevents you from making the best movie possible.

This movie is different. It's structured differently from most typical superhero movies. It looks different and it sounds different. That counts a lot for something. Deadpool is an antihero, so he can do things that other superheroes cannot. If this movie was PG-13, it would just be a slightly goofier experience than most of these movies we usually see.

The Hollywood studio executive mindset is that you can never release tentpoles with an R-rating when we know that's garbage. All these classics that Hollywood is constantly trying to emulate, a lot of them were R-rated films.

All these garbage Terminator sequels try to turn what started as an R-rated franchise into a PG-13 franchise. What is the result? They've dulled the edge. These films were ground-breaking. They were edgy. They pushed the envelope.

Deadpool with this R-rating gets to push the envelope and go to places these movies generally do not go to.

It's evidence that you can't make money without PG-13. It's absolute hogwash.

 

[chamber-music]

I have to wonder if Dredd would've earned enough for a sequel with the studio fully behind it.

Dredd was an indie movie. Lionsgate brought the distribution rights to the film and spent very little on marketing. If Dredd was one of Lionsgate's own movies they would of spent more money on marketing.

 

[Sithborg]

Exactly. I think what studios might also look at even more so than rating is the marketing for this film. As many others have stated it doesnt have an OW like this without it, as well as being a well liked film.

Yeah, the marketing deserves a HUGE bonus.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

[YT][/YT]DEADPOOL OPENS TO $260 MILLION WORLDWIDE!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4157&p=.htm

 

[Mike Murdock]

This movie is starting out VERY strong. The question is, will people go re-watch the movie now?

It's got weak competition for the next few weeks. Assume 50% drop off each week, it'll be 130, 75, 37 million (which is probably enough to beat Gods of Egypt, which looks terrible). It'll get kicked out of number one by either London Has Fallen or Zootopia, but that'll still be an impressive run.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Dredd bombed hard, there isn't a chance in hell that a sequel will be made.

 

[marieylee]

Exactly. I think what studios might also look at even more so than rating is the marketing for this film. As many others have stated it doesnt have an OW like this without it, as well as being a well liked film.

Yup, I think the marketing played a huge part. As popular is DP is, you still need to reel in the General Audience to these movies. Even after the 1st trailer dropped, it had some hype, but it wasn't really until the 12 days of DP that I heard people talking about it. My co-workers who rarely watch CBM (only Avengers) were excited about it, moreso because it was an R-rated comedy/action flick than a movie based on a superhero/comic book.

 

[Mjölnir]

Look at a sharp guy like Jon Campea with Collider Movie Talk. He proclaimed that there was no way Fox would ever release this with an R-rating.

Does PG-13 appeal to the widest audience possible? Yes it may. However, it also potentially prevents you from making the best movie possible.

This movie is different. It's structured differently from most typical superhero movies. It looks different and it sounds different. That counts a lot for something. Deadpool is an antihero, so he can do things that other superheroes cannot. If this movie was PG-13, it would just be a slightly goofier experience than most of these movies we usually see.

The Hollywood studio executive is that you can never release tentpoles with an R-rating when we know that's garbage. All these classics that Hollywood is constantly trying to emulate, a lot of them were R-rated films.

All these garbage Terminator sequels try to turn what started as an R-rated franchise into a PG-13 franchise. What is the result? They've dulled the edge. These films were ground-breaking. They were edgy. They pushed the envelope.

Deadpool with this R-rating gets to push the envelope and go to places these movies generally do not go to.

It's evidence that you can't make money without PG-13. It's absolute hogwash.

Pretty reasonable by Campea, seeing how it's this movie that shows what an R-rated movie can do in this genre in today's environment, and Fox hasn't exactly been known to be risk takers in this regard. They didn't even want to make this movie until the fan reactions blew up over the "leaked" footage.

It will be interesting to see what comes after this. Pretty much none of the other successful superhero franchises have any reason to be R-rated, and people will probably still try to make Avengers money, but this could certainly make studios try to dig up properties that do suit the R-rated tone to see if there's a demand for it. Deadpool is pretty unique in tone so it remains to be seen how things can follow it. I don't think the violence is nearly as much of a draw as the humor in this movie.

 

[CaptainCanada]

The key: Make good movies first and then the out there material in it is the icing on the cake.

Scott Rudin observed, probably correctly, that the studios are correct not to bank on quality, because most movies disappoint creatively.

 

[Primal Slayer]

What does DC have to do with this? Why do people keep bringing up DC in here? This thread is about Deadpool's box office last I checked. Deadpool is a Marvel character.

It's simple, people are thinking of DC's answer to Deadpool for a movie.

 

[Sithborg]

Which is kind of sad, as they already had their potential answer filmed.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

They don't need an answer to Deadpool.

 

[-Arya-]

This pattern of thought where DC needs to counter Marvel with something similar is getting very irritating. Let DC do whatever it decides to do.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Suicide Squad's trailers have been very well received and have massive views on YouTube. It needs to be a decent movie, it doesn't need to be R rated.

Also Marvel Studios didn't make Deadpool, Fox did. It's a Fox movie.

 

[Slushy]

The marketing for Deadpool was fantastic! The movie deserves every penny it gets!

 

[Sithborg]

This pattern of thought where DC needs to counter Marvel with something similar is getting very irritating. Let DC do whatever it decides to do.

It isn't exactly a Marvel/DC thing, but more of studio thing. Avengers got everyone high on the "cinematic universe" train. Superheroes is just, understandably, a big focus on this site.

While we are all hopeful that the studios will take away from this that R isn't exactly death of a movie, they are more than likely to take away that you can have success with tiny budgets.

Fox are probably recreating what Al and Weasel were doing off screen of the finale, though.

 

[Unbreakable Lex]

Really impressed and happy for Reynolds and Fox.

 

[TheVileOne]

Pretty reasonable by Campea, seeing how it's this movie that shows what an R-rated movie can do in this genre in today's environment, and Fox hasn't exactly been known to be risk takers in this regard. They didn't even want to make this movie until the fan reactions blew up over the "leaked" footage.

Well he was wrong though. He said there is no way this would happen...and it did. He made this prediction after the film was greenit in 2015.

And I'm not saying he didn't have good reason to make that prediction, but he still predicted wrong.

 

[InCali]

Really impressed and happy for Reynolds and Fox.

Me TOO. Can't wait to get back from the overpriced brunch (with endless mimosas.....so maybe not so overpriced....) and check this out on Monday.

REALLY happy for Reynolds and glad Fox did something that worked. Will be really happy though if FF goes back to MCU.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I thought people were being obnoxious blind fanboys when they predicted Deadpool to pull in massive numbers opening weekend. I'm never afraid to admit when I am dead wrong about something.

 

[kedrell]

Pretty reasonable by Campea, seeing how it's this movie that shows what an R-rated movie can do in this genre in today's environment, and Fox hasn't exactly been known to be risk takers in this regard. They didn't even want to make this movie until the fan reactions blew up over the "leaked" footage.

It will be interesting to see what comes after this. Pretty much none of the other successful superhero franchises have any reason to be R-rated, and people will probably still try to make Avengers money, but this could certainly make studios try to dig up properties that do suit the R-rated tone to see if there's a demand for it. Deadpool is pretty unique in tone so it remains to be seen how things can follow it. I don't think the violence is nearly as much of a draw as the humor in this movie.

Then by all means please, please, please let them take a whack at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Trouble_with_Girls_(comics)

The Trouble with Girls is a satirical action series starring Lester Girls, who wants to be simply an "average guy" with a dead-end job, a plain wife, and no adventures more exciting than a good night's sleep. But Lester can't go for a drive without terrorists launching missiles at him, or walk into one of his many mansions without a beautiful, talented, curvaceous woman reposing half-dressed on his bed. Wealth, adventure, sexual magnetism, dashing good looks, and the savoir faire of a Hollywood action hero are what he calls "the curse of Girls.

I always enjoyed this series as a kid in the 80's.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I think this film's success complicates the Fantastic Four situation. Will Fox give back the property after making Deadpool happen or will they try again and next time hire somebody who actually loves the Fantastic Four?

 

[Sithborg]

I thought people were being obnoxious blind fanboys when they predicted Deadpool to pull in massive numbers opening weekend. I'm never afraid to admit when I am dead wrong about something.

Even the fanboys were wrong...

And I don't think it complicates the FF situation. I think some deals were made when the the TV deals were made.