🇺🇸 Discussion: The DEMOCRATIC P - Part 3

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Dave Wasserman: "I've seen enough: Tate Reeves (R) wins reelection in #MSGOV, defeating Brandon Presley (D)."

Defeating an incumbent Republican there was always a difficult task, and sadly not to be this time.
 
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Split Ticket thinks the VA R majority is toast:

"Republicans have officially lost their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. Democratic wins in HD-64 (Cole) and HD-84 (Clark) move the party up to 50 seats in the chamber. Democrats are expected to secure an outright majority soon."

Dave Wasserman, Redistrict: "A House of Delegates: by my count, Dems have now won 50 seats, meaning Republicans have lost sole control. There are still 4-6 tight races that could put Dems over the top for outright control."
 
Split Ticket thinks the VA R majority is toast:

"Republicans have officially lost their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. Democratic wins in HD-64 (Cole) and HD-84 (Clark) move the party up to 50 seats in the chamber. Democrats are expected to secure an outright majority soon."

Dave Wasserman, Redistrict: "A House of Delegates: by my count, Dems have now won 50 seats, meaning Republicans have lost sole control. There are still 4-6 tight races that could put Dems over the top for outright control."

The VA Republican majority in the House of Delegates is toast and Ds are still in control of the state Senate. The fact that Dems have already secured 50 seats while Rs are still at 44-45 is not good, especially with mail ballots and ED votes trickling in.

Youngkin should be writing his obituary for his presidential ambitions.
 

Dave Wasserman: "I've seen enough: Tate Reeves (R) wins reelection in #MSGOV, defeating Brandon Presley (D)."

Defeating an incumbent Republican there was always a difficult task, and sadly not to be this time.
Anytime a Democrat wins over a Republican makes my day. :D
 
Kyle Griffin: "Democrats flipped multiple assembly seats in New Jersey and held onto some competitive state Senate seats, according to election results from the Associated Press."
 
 
What if Mississippi is the GOP's only major victory of the night. :lmao:
 
Dave Wasserman, Redistrict: "I've seen enough: Democrats win control of the Virginia House of Delegates, flipping the GOP majority and giving them control of both chambers."

Dave Wasserman, Redistrict: "With Michael Feggans' (D) win in #HD97, VA House of Delegates count is 51D-46R w/ three races still too close to call:
#HD57 Gibson (D) vs. Owen (R)
#HD71 Anderson (D) vs. Batten (R)
#HD82 Adams (D) vs. Taylor (R)"
 

Taniel: "Pennsylvania Dems are on track to FLIP the Superior Court. What's that? It's the court right below state supreme court that handles appeals in most criminal cases, & some civil cases. They are up to gain 2 GOP-held seats. (This is on top of Dems winning a supreme court seat.) " "Democrats also won a vacant seat on the COMMONWEALTH's court, which is the other intermediate court in Pennsylvania. (It handles the rest of the civil cases.) The GOP was sure to keep a majority on this one."



“I think this race really comes down to someone who’s willing to stand up and protect rights and our constitution, constitutional rights, reproductive rights,” McCaffery said in an interview outside his polling site.

“We all understand what happened at the federal level with the Dobbs decision. I think we all understand that could be coming soon to a state near you.”

Democrats turned this election into a referendum on protecting reproductive rights after The Keystone caught Carluccio removing anti-abortion language from her website in May. Planned Parenthood Voters, the reproductive rights group’s political arm, ran a seven-figure ad campaign highlighting the story in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh markets.

McCaffery was able to overcome the onslaught of money Pennsylvania’s richest billionaire, Jeffrey Yass, spent supporting Carluccio. The Commonwealth Leaders Fund, which receives most of its funding from Yass, spent over $4 million supporting Carluccio through TV ads and political mailers.

McCaffery called Yass’ outsized influence on Pennsylvania politics “corrosive.”

“I think it’s really a corrupting influence. It’s corrosive,” he said.

“Judicial elections used to be kind of sleepy affairs. They used to be the kind of situations where you would talk about your credentials, you’d talk about your qualifications, make sure that you have a well earned history and an established reputation going to be fair and impartial,” McCaffery added. “That’s no longer the case. These have become partisan elections.”







David Wildstein: "New Jersey
Senate: 25 Democrats, 15 Republicans
Assembly: 51 Democrats, 29 Republicans

Democrats beat Ed Durr in the Senate race and flipped five Assembly seats, including one in the solidly GOP Lakewood-based district in Ocean County."

Ethan C7: "In the end, looks like NJ Democrats will pick up five Assembly seats and one Senate seat, increasing their majorities to 51-29 in the Assembly and 25-15 in the Senate. Technically Dems lost party-switcher Sam Thompson’s seat to the GOP, but that seat doesn’t really count." "For reference, just prior to the red wave of 2021, the Democratic majorities were 52-28 D in the Assembly and 25-15 D in the Senate. NJ Democrats have recovered nearly all of their 2021 losses this year."




 
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Great news all around! I feel less pessimistic about next year.
 
Marc Levy: "HARRISBURG, Pa. (@AP) _ Democrat Timika Lane won a seat on a statewide appellate court in Pennsylvania, giving Democrats a sweep of four statewide judicial races in Tuesday's election, including an open seat on the state’s highest court."
 
Sadly, it looks like 2 Dem mayoral vicotries in MI means the lower legislative chamber is now 50/50 in terms of reps. So, Dems don't have complete control of the government at this time.

Hopefully, we have a quick special election to fix that problem.
 
Let's not forget North Carolina.

State Democratic Party chair Anderson Clayton's hard work has already made gains with some key municipal election wins. Dems won all the open seats in New Hanover County, they flipped the mayor and council seats in Huntersville and swept several council races in three Republican-leaning counties. And the first Democratic Socialist won a council seat in Durham. Both Durham and Chapel Hill got new mayors as well.

 
Let's not forget North Carolina.

State Democratic Party chair Anderson Clayton's hard work has already made gains with some key municipal election wins. Dems won all the open seats in New Hanover County, they flipped the mayor and council seats in Huntersville and swept several council races in three Republican-leaning counties. And the first Democratic Socialist won a council seat in Durham. Both Durham and Chapel Hill got new mayors as well.

Does that qualify as a blue wave?
 
Does that qualify as a blue wave?

Considering that Anderson was beside herself with joy on her IG earlier today, it is a good dry run for next year. She has emphasized reaching rural voters, encouraging people to run for office and GOTV volunteer work, as well as maxing out blue turnout in the metro and suburban areas. She has given the party energy and life, as well as channeling voter anger at Tricia Cotham and the NC GOP.

Will that mean there will be a blue wave big enough to flip both NC state houses next year? No. But eliminating the GOP supermajority? 50-50 shot for sure.
 
For those who don’t know who Anderson is, here’s an interview clip with WaPo. She’s 11 years younger than me and she is determined.

 
Just saw that Manchin won’t seek reelection.
 
Just saw that Manchin won’t seek reelection.

He and Ms. Bag Lady stymied a lot of progressive legislation these past two years— and anything transformative was watered down to satisfy them.

But given how Manchin’s margin of victory greatly narrowed between 2012 and 2018– it’s best they don’t waste money on WV . Unless there’s a Fetterman style D populist that can peel off enough Rs to win statewide.

Given how abortion is still salient, I wouldn’t despair about losing the Senate quite yet. If they hold on to the MT and OH Senators and elect Gallego, there will be 50 pro choice and pro democracy Senators willing to nuke the filibuster. And if any red seat flips like MO, TX or FL, even better.
 
He and Ms. Bag Lady stymied a lot of progressive legislation these past two years— and anything transformative was watered down to satisfy them.

But given how Manchin’s margin of victory greatly narrowed between 2012 and 2018– it’s best they don’t waste money on WV . Unless there’s a Fetterman style D populist that can peel off enough Rs to win statewide.

Given how abortion is still salient, I wouldn’t despair about losing the Senate quite yet. If they hold on to the MT and OH Senators and elect Gallego, there will be 50 pro choice and pro democracy Senators willing to nuke the filibuster. And if any red seat flips like MO, TX or FL, even better.
Manchin was toast and he knew it. Him dropping out was not a blow to the Democrats keeping control of the senate. The way the map lines up in very difficult states is the problem.
 

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