Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread

[Rowsdower!]

I think that my prediction is going to be wrong but this is one of my fun out on a limb predictions.

Opening weekend: 78mil

Domestic Total: 245mil

International Total: 305mil

Worldwide Total: 550mil

If I weren't going out on a limb.

Opening weekend: 58mil

Domestic Total: 150mil

International Total: 235mil

Worldwide Total: 385mil

It could do even worse and I wouldn't be surprised.

I know you're going out on a limb but damn, do I ever hope you're right.

 

[Sith Scotti]

This is going to bomb bigger than Trum's presidential campagn . I think the ga is too stupid to appreciate this

 

[The Morningstar]

The GA is too stupid to appreciate this? It's not some highly intelligent and complex psychological thriller.

I think it'll make about the same as Thor. 400 million WW give or take.

 

[Karelia]

I think this will do better than all CBM's this year. Just have a really good feeling about it.

 

[TheIncredibleSk]

This film won't bomb. Marketing has been good. Reviews will probably be good and it has little competition for two weeks for being number 1 since I think Cars 2 marketing has been very ****y,

 

[The Riddler]

the numbers for first class were a bit troubling...

i won't go as far as to predict total gross, but i'd say a $50 million weekend is possible, though i'm hoping for a number in the $60+ million range.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

^Those numbers weren't troubling and mean nothing for GL one way or the other. First Class was never going to reach the 70mil predictions, that was just fanboy wishing at it's finest. First Class had to contend with not having Wolverine and staring a bunch of up and coming actors. 56mil was the best it could have hoped for.

56mil is still not a great result even if it did do it's best as it has the lowest amount of tickets sold for the weekend than anyother X-film.

 

[Sith Scotti]

Xmen first Class came off a couple of bad films 56 million is excellent . Look at Batman Begins , it opened up to about 45 million . WOM and strong dvd sales is where it made its coin . Green Lanten is a film that need excellent wom and reviews in order to make coin and get a sequel . I do not excpect mopre than 40-50( 55 million if lucky) million opening weekend for it

 

[SatEL]

I am going to have to go with I See Spidey here this could be the comic book movie that makes a dent this year, I just hope the rumoured length time is false.

 

[Sith Scotti]

I am going to have to go with I See Spidey here this could be the comic book movie that makes a dent this year, I just hope the rumoured length time is false.

what is the rumored time of the fiim?

 

[SatEL]

what is the rumored time of the fiim?

Its 113m 52s don’t know if its been confirmed as legit but last I checked it was merely speculation.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Xmen first Class came off a couple of bad films 56 million is excellent . Look at Batman Begins , it opened up to about 45 million . WOM and strong dvd sales is where it made its coin . Green Lanten is a film that need excellent wom and reviews in order to make coin and get a sequel . I do not excpect mopre than 40-50( 55 million if lucky) million opening weekend for it

55mil is not excellent in the least. Batman Begins can not be compared to this film because it came out mid-week and it came out in 2005, which means that it sold more tickets than First Class.

First Class had a meh opening and will fail unless it has legs.

 

[Sith Scotti]

55mil is not excellent in the least.

Yes it is . This iain't Batman or Spiderman

 

[Karelia]

It wasn't in 3D either.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Yes it is . This iain't Batman or Spiderman

It's not X-Men either because it sold the least tickets out of all of them in it's opening weekend. It also opened lower than Iron Man, Iron Man 2, Hulk, Fantastic Four 1 and 2, The Incredible Hulk and may have sold less tickets than Thor.

The movie could still have legs but it's opening is not good.

If GL, with 3D tickets prices, opens with less than 70mil I'm not going to be impressed in the least.

EDIT:

This isn't a Marvel v. DC thing to me. I'm simply talking about the boxoffice numbers and I calls them as I sees them.

 

[The Morningstar]

This film won't bomb. Marketing has been good. Reviews will probably be good and it has little competition for two weeks for being number 1 since I think Cars 2 marketing has been very ****y,

How can you say reviews will probably be good? And reviews don't really mean **** when it comes to box office results.

Cars 2 is competition. It's a Pixar film and it will steal a lot of GLs 3D screens, whether it's good or bad. That's just how it works.

Then Transformers 3 will come along and probably blow both GL and Cars 2 out of the water.

GL simply HAS to open big and have a great first week. Because after week 2, and especially after week 3 when TF3 hits theatres, it's gonna struggle.

 

[dnno1]

Morningstar, if you use the Twitter comments as a sample of what the critics reviews will be you will find that most of them (at least 85%) were positive.

 

[Chewy]

Which raises the question: why would anyone ever use the Twitter comments as a sample of what the critics reviews will be?

 

[The Morningstar]

Twitter comments, full reviews... doesn't mean a thing when it comes to box office really. How many utterly atrocious films have made big bucks? How many brilliant films have bombed?

 

[Octoberist]

With this crowdedsummer it's not so much money you make on the opening weekend, but your legs.

 

[The Morningstar]

I dunno, I think it's the opposite. You gotta open fast and big. Make as much money as you can in the first week. Because there is another big film coming out the following week.

 

[Octoberist]

Well ts a combo of both really because if you made 70 mill in the first week then drop to 20 the next, that isn't a success if you can barely crawl to 150 mill mark.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

OW - 42 m
Dom - 105 m
OS -185 m
WW - 290 m

no sequel

 

[dnno1]

Which raises the question: why would anyone ever use the Twitter comments as a sample of what the critics reviews will be?

If the sample is of film critics like Robert Burnett, Trey Alex (who seems to have removed his comment), Ashley Williams, Natasha Eloi, and Chris Gore (who didn't give a response), then it might be a valid sample (of critics) to use as a crude estimate. It's not the top critics, but you do get an idea of what the consensus might be leaning towards.

Twitter comments, full reviews... doesn't mean a thing when it comes to box office really. How many utterly atrocious films have made big bucks? How many brilliant films have bombed?

Social media outlets like Twitter and Facebook are a different animal from just reading the critics reviews in the newspaper. Since people become followers/friends of the reviewer, there is now a level of trust established between that person and his fans/followers. Now what he/she says bears a stronger level of credibility and also serves as a launching platform for buzz as well as a faster medium for spreading word of mouth (which is important). Now a person can say I got it from a friend of mine or a person that I am following that this is pretty good and that gets passed on to others and have it spread around the world almost instantly. It kind of reinforces the already established marketing as well.

 

[SuperDaniel]

I predict this movie is going to be AMAZING!