Joker 2019 boxoffice predictions

[NotNickFury]

With all the shenanigans that WB pulled with Justice League in its current form, it losing out to Joker is only a good thing, given what the film could have been.

But great for Joker. Less so for all those pundits who tried to basically drive audiences away with fear, not to mention those who may have questioned whether people would see a Joker movie without Batman. Obviously audiences showed up with a resounding "Hell yes!"

 

[KaijuDude1992]

Nice to see the numbers only go up. After so much media BS with this movie it's great to see that the majority of the movie going audience decided whether or not to show up for themselves and no big surprise here that they showed up in droves.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

 

[8ulk87]

Actuals are $96,2 mil US opening weekend, smashed quite a few blockbuster movies.

01. Avengers EndGame - $357,7 mil (2019)
..
..
..
58. Transformers AOE - $100 mil (2014)
59. The F8 of the Furious - $98.8 mil (2017)
60. Iron Man - $98,6 mil (2008)
61. Transformers DotM - $97,9 mil (2011)
62. Fast & Furious 6 - $97,4 mil (2015)
63. Joker - $96,2 mil (2019)
64. Captain America TWS - $95 mil (2014)
65. Guardians of the Galaxy - $94,3 mil (2014)
66. Justice League - $93,8 mil (2017)
67. Harry Potter & the Prizoner of Azkaban - $93,7 mil (2004)
68. Godzilla - $93,2 mil (2014)
69. Spider-Man FFH - $92,6 mil (2019)
70. The Matrix Reloaded - $91,8 mil (2003)
71. TASM2 - $91,6 mil (2014)
72. Aladdin - $91,5 mil (2019)
73. It Chapter Two - $91,1 mil (2019)
74. X-Days of Future Past - $90,8 mil (2014)
75. Inside Out - $90,4 mil (2015)
76. Harry Potter atSS - $90,3 mil (2001)
77. Pirates of the Caribbean OST - $90,2 mil (2011)
..
..
..

 

[rashad]

 

[8ulk87]

^ And its going to be $180 mil after Sunday.

 

[geosphere]

I think it's important to post this here as well:

Mark Hughes from Forbes who essentially predicted that Aquaman would make 1.1 billion+ before it even came out thinks Joker has a shot at $800million or more in total. He also says that $700million is inevitable:

‘Joker’ Stuns With $450+ Million Haul, Headed To $750+ Million Finish

 

[ironwez20]

That’s great to hear. Movie is amazing

 

[8ulk87]

I think it's important to post this here as well:

2nd weekend estimates are in the $60 million range from the initial estimated $45 mil so im not surprised.

 

[8ulk87]

$750 mil here we go.

 

[8ulk87]

#1 spot for R rated movies of all time is up for grabs after all......

Top R-Rated movies of all time (over $400 mil WW).

01. Deadpool 2 (2018) - $785 mil.
02. Deadpool (2016) - $783,1 mil.
03. The Matrix Reloaded (2003) - $742,1 mil.
04. It (2017) - 700,4 mil.
05. Logan (2017) - $619 mil.
06. The Passion of the Christ (2004) - $611,9 mil.
07. The Hangover part II (2011) - $586,8 mil.
08. Fifty Shades of Grey (2015) - $571 mil.
09. Ted (2012) - $549,4 mil.
10. American Sniper (2014) - $547,4 mil.
11. Joker (2019) - $543,9 mil and counting, projected for $750+ mil.
12. The Revenant (2015) - $533 mil.
13. Terminator 2 (1991) - $520,9 mil.
14. Troy (2004) - $497,4 mil.
15. Saving Private Ryan (1998) - $482,3
16. The Hangover (2009) - $467,5 mil.
17. The Matrix (1999) - $463,5 mil.
18. Pretty Woman (1990) - $463,4 mil.
19. Lucy (2014) - $463,4 mil.
20. Gladiator (2000) - $460,6 mil.
21. The Last Samurai (2003) - $456,8 mil.
22. 300 (2007) - $456,1 mil.
23. It Chapter Two (2019) - $450 mil.
24. The Exorcist (1973) - $441,3 mil.
25. A Star is Born (2018) - $434,9 mil.
26. Terminator 3 (2003) - $433,4 mil.
27. The Matrix Revolutions (2003) - $427,3 mil.
28. Django Unchained (2012) - $425,4 mil.
29. Sex and the City (2008) - $415,3 mil.
30. Kingsman Secret Service (2015) - $414,4 mil.
31. The Kings Speech (2010) - $414,2 mil.
32. The Bodyguard (1992) - $411 mil.
33. Kingsman Golden Circle (2017) - $410,9 mil.
34. Prometheus (2012) - $403,4 mil.

Honourable mentions.

01. The Wolf of Wall Street (2013) - $392 mil.
02. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (2019) - $370 mil + China opening soon.

 

[KaijuDude1992]

Just wow at those OS numbers. As impressive as its domestic performance is OS it's on a whole other level and they really seem to be embracing it. They don't give a **** about any of the dumb media controversy that's here in the States, and honestly I could not respect them more for it.

 

[Predator jp]

i'd say 400-500 at max.

it's one of those times i'm glad the movie proven me wrong.

 

[geosphere]

Posting this here too since this is the more appropriate place to post it:

Another fantastic Monday for Joker albeit Columbus Day. DC Films is officially Warner Brother's most Bankable Franchise:

Box Office: ‘Joker’ Tops $200 Million, Confirming DC Films As Warner Bros.’ Most Bankable Film Franchise

I hope as a result of this confirmation Warner Brothers starts treating DC properties with love and respect when doing film adaptations from here on out.

 

[NotNickFury]

Has anyone here had a chance to see the film more than once?

Not that I'm (completely) jealous or anything. Just wondering.

 

[The Shape]

I saw it twice during opening weekend. Plan on going back one more time before it leaves theaters.

 

[Reel-Man]

Has anyone here had a chance to see the film more than once?

Not that I'm (completely) jealous or anything. Just wondering.

I have. Still holds up extremely well even on the second viewing.

 

[Greens]

Has anyone here had a chance to see the film more than once?

Not that I'm (completely) jealous or anything. Just wondering.

Saw it twice in one week.

 

[mclay18]

Regardless of my feelings towards the movie, I’m blown away by the numbers this movie is putting up. Simply amazing.

I’m convinced WB should earmark October for DC properties in the future. Just like Marvel Studios has done by earmarking February, late April/early May and late summer/November.

Still release big titles in prime spots like summer and Christmas (if Disney has to delay a SW or Avatar movie), but fall is no longer a dumping ground for the right movie.

 

[Erzengel]

JOKER Was Considered Such A Risk By Warner Bros., They Split Production Costs...And Now Have To Split Profits!

I didn't think a $55M movie would be considered a risk by WB?

 

[TheGuy]

Regardless of my feelings towards the movie, I’m blown away by the numbers this movie is putting up. Simply amazing.

I’m convinced WB should earmark October for DC properties in the future. Just like Marvel Studios has done by earmarking February, late April/early May and late summer/November.

Still release big titles in prime spots like summer and Christmas (if Disney has to delay a SW or Avatar movie), but fall is no longer a dumping ground for the right movie.

More importantly, international numbers aren't predicated by NA scheduling. The international audience is quite flexible and open minded than most studio heads about movie selection.

 

[DarkKnight88]

JOKER Was Considered Such A Risk By Warner Bros., They Split Production Costs...And Now Have To Split Profits!

I didn't think a $55M movie would be considered a risk by WB?

A 55M R-rated character piece lead by a psychopath would a be a risk for any studio in this day and age.

 

[Lantern Venom]

A 55M R-rated character piece lead by a psychopath would a be a risk for any studio in this day and age.

You're right to a degree, but this is a special case since this was the most well-known villain in comics. Joker has never been far from the heartbeat of pop culture, so there was a built-in audience for this film. Couple that with a tiny budget, and I'd characterize it as a moderate risk. There have been quite a few CBMs that were more risky when all factors are considered.

 

[Spider-Aziz]

It has potential to come close Venom's heights of over $800 million, or Suicide Squad's $750 million as a low point.

 

[Boom]

Justice League
Domestic: $229,024,295
Foreign: $428,900,000
Worldwide: $657,924,295
In Release: 119 days / 17 weeks

Joker
Domestic: $201,935,953
Foreign: $354,700,000
Worldwide: $556,635,953
In Release: 11 days / 1.6 weeks

Yikes.