Watchmen is the movie event of the spring, that just doesnt say anything. I have it pegged around 48/50-150 right now.
Yes, May is going to be full of huge blockbusters, but WV will be equal to this year's Narnia 2 and T4 will be released by the end of the month. So I can imagine St making $200-250m.
Well no, at the box office ANGELS AND DEMONS will no doubt be the narnia of this year, but itll get a lot of coverage. Star Trek is more a wildcard that I would say is put in a position to dissappoint.
Epic lulz at you putting Angels & Demons on that list. If that even does come up on the list it would probably be closer to 10.
Its a Tom Hanks film opening mid May based on a big selling book that is a sequel to a film that made nearly 800 million.
Itll have no problem getting press.
Angels and Demons? Please, I doubt people will want to see that after The Da Vinci Code had everybody in the theater taking a nap. Also, people in my theater were booing when they showed the trailer.
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The source matirial is too famous & the 1st film made too much for it to not get coverage. That said, I see it being a dud.
You do realize that the last Trek film came out a week before Return of the King don't you? It's release date was awful and the previous mediocre Star Trek film(Insurrection) hurt the movie buzz for Star Trek Nemesis which wasn't marketed well.
Star Trek is currently considered the opposite of cool. That trailer IS cool though. With a HUGE marketing effort, it CAN change the tide and produce an opening week over 50 or even 60 million, but right now its pegged for low to mid 40's. The brand just isnt popular at all.
Any movie can do well with the right director, budget, release date, and marketing. Pirates of the carribean 1 is based off of a freaking ride and that film made fantastic money. Nobody expected that film to make over 300million and end up having a few sequels.
Pirates 1 had a much better release date. If Star Trek was opening in June or even better July, itd be a different story. Weekdays in the summer a huge and propel movies to absurd grosses, just look at TDK. Itll tough though its possible for Trek to obtain real box office legs in the middle of May.
I have faith in Abrams and the films quality, and I would love to love this film & see it top A&D the following weekend, but its very unlikely.
Avatar is a lot harder sell than King Kong, it's look is gonna be pretty unique and may well not connect with the general audience.
Well see, it is very dependent on the trailer. If it looked wierd or not that impressive (remember when the polar express footage leaked back in 2004? that was supposed to be "groundbreaking") it might stumble a bit. BUT, if it looks like I expect it to look, amazing, like all of Camerons other groundbreaking effects have, buzz surrounding the project is gonna skyrocket. Its the bonafide film event of the christmas just like Kong was due too the lack of other competition. This will help it a lot.
2012 looks like more of the same from Emmerich, I don't see it doing any better than The Day After Tomorrow.
TDAT adjusts to well over 200 million today, and ww over 600 million.
Don't you think Terminator is like BB, with a lot to prove
Yup, but I would say Star Trek is even more like BB in terms of position, except it has a much worse release date. But hopefully itll have better marketing. Begins marketing was horrendous.
