Spiderman is hardly a threat. Sony is short changing the budget and it won't draw beyond the teens and the fanbase if they are going in the mold of Twilight. I am sorry if Spidey fans want to get uptight about that, but a low budget featuring high school kids and that's a pretty valid model which is seemingly what Sony is shooting for. Trek is probably as big a threat.
I honestly still can't believe that this is true.
I mean Sony spend more then 200 million on both spidey movies and they go back to the high school with "just" an 80 million budget ??
That stuff just CANNOT be true. That pretty much alienates everyone from the general audience who has come on board during the times of Spider-man 1-3. Spider-man core audience are kids and their parents and of course geeks & nerds. Not tween girls and (ugly) milf moms.
Spider-man is Sony's big money maker capable of bringing in 300 million domestic and 800 million at the WW BO. Why the heck would they go all twilight with lame ass VFX.
As for Trek i don't think that will be a problem. Even though it has opened to critical and commercial acclaim it is still too far away from batman , should bats get released in july 2012. Assuming of course that they won't go 3-d on it. Trek would be an ideal candidate for 3-d. And if Michael Bay has had intense discussions with Paramount over either shooting or converting the next Transformers movie in 3-d , then you can bet that they are also seriously considering doing the same thing with Trek. If i remember correctly JJ Abrams is a fan of 3-d ( hell he wore a Avatar short at COMIC-CON) so there could be a big chance of seeing Trek in 3-d.
Even so i think that because the movie is too far away from Bats , it won't cause that big of a problem.
Edit :
For the record. I'm not considering Spider-man 4 ( or for that matter John Carter of Mars) as a threat in the sense of it making far more then Batman. I'm looking at things from a business perspective. Considering the amazing response TDK got , i;m pretty sure that the world will be hyped to see another Batman movie. But when you have a blockbuster like Spider-man looming over you , that cuts into your BO performance pretty hard.
Ask yourself this ? If you were a WB studio exec. and you were making Batman , would you consider releasing it at a date where it would struggle to hit 350-400 million or release it during a time when the movie could easily fly past the 400 million mark.
That is why i keep bringing SPidey as a potential threat.
