t: 
IMO The top 3 contenders for the crown of top box office are Spider-man 3, Transformers, and Pirates 3. Simple as that. With Potter 5 coming in right after those 3. To me Spider-man 3s gross all depends on one thing..its first weekend. Bad word of mouth will KILL momentum. If the fans hate the movie trust me things will go down hill. The long run time may kill the deal for the average movie goer but I doubt that if so many people saw LOTR. Spider-man 3 will conquer May until Pirates 3 premiers in my eyes.
To me Transformers will come out on top this year. TF Fans have waited to long for a Transformers Movie and if the hate the movie or not they will see it because they dont know if it will be another 20 years until another Transformers Movie comes out. Plus I can gurantee the Special FX will be alot better than in Spider-man 3 for multiple reasons. 1. No were near of TFers budget needs to go to the cast as spidey 3 leaving cash for some cool graphics which is a understatement. 2. ILM is handling the CGI so you know there in good hands. 3. Metal and robots in general are easier to create than flesh and blood humans. Think about it. Well enough about CGI going against eachother.
Shrek 3 is looking down to me. I saw a trailer and I didnt even get a smile from my 8 year old cousin. The movie may do ok but nothing like Shrek 2 I'm betting. I saw another TV Spot and It made me cringe at the humor. It was one of the purposely akward humor scenes where Shrek was trying to talk slang to a character and It just wasnt funny. And I hate when movies add there offspring into the mix and it seems like Shrek 3 is taking that route.
Pirates 3 will move on its own momentum. People want to see the trilogy end for the good or bad. I want to see it. Hell, me whole family wants to see it and they are fans of 1 and 2. The love the Charming character of Jack Sparrow. Though I can live without Orlando.
FF2:ROTSS...........Ugh thats all I have to say.
Potter 5: Harry nerds and fantasy fans will come out in droves for this movie. I expect it to do well.
I disagree with you on all fronts. How on earth do you expect FF4 2 to beat out Transformers?? Seriously. Thats a flat out lie. Why would you say that People would not want a movie with Robots attacking the world?? They would want one because its cool. People saw 300 because it looked cool. Hell I asked people if they knew it was based off a comic book but they looked at me with a blank stare despite the fact the trailer just stated so. Because people were talking about how badass 300 looked they flocked to the movies and after they viewed the movie and noticed it was good more people flocked. Transformers will do the same thing except better in terms of boxoffice receipts. People may not think its good but they will see extremly well done CGI and action and go flocking to the film. Hell they may not like it but its still pretty. Plus Transformers isnt just some film franchise it is a fan base. You should know that. Transformers will be in the top 3 of this summer. TF Fans dont flame me. I'm talking the values that the TFers movie will have to people who have never heard of the franchise so quality isnt factoring into my box office ideas. Besides you know Transformers looks cool.Transformers ain't got no chance to do a number on Spidey, PotC, Shrek and Potter. Maybe not even the new F4 movie.
Even with Spielberg involved, it's still a Bay movie and though I enjoy most of them, they always fall short in their stories.
If anything will shine bigger than expected this summer it will be Die Hard 4! Think about it: It's the only movie with a terrorist plot this summer and it will show one of the biggest bad asses of the action genre ever saving the USA again and prolly for the last time! He's the guy Jack Bauer would ask for help. Just bigger and badder in all extremes.
Does anyone really think a movie about some robots attacking the world will move anyone in their seat??? It's 2007 not 1997.
They'll make a decent cut but that'll be it.
I disagree with you on all fronts. How on earth do you expect FF4 2 to beat out Transformers?? Seriously. Thats a flat out lie. Why would you say that People would not want a movie with Robots attacking the world?? They would want one because its cool. People saw 300 because it looked cool. Hell I asked people if they knew it was based off a comic book but they looked at me with a blank stare despite the fact the trailer just stated so. Because people were talking about how badass 300 looked they flocked to the movies and after they viewed the movie and noticed it was good more people flocked. Transformers will do the same thing except better in terms of boxoffice receipts. People may not think its good but they will see extremly well done CGI and action and go flocking to the film. Hell they may not like it but its still pretty. Plus Transformers isnt just some film franchise it is a fan base. You should know that. Transformers will be in the top 3 of this summer. TF Fans dont flame me. I'm talking the values that the TFers movie will have to people who have never heard of the franchise so quality isnt factoring into my box office ideas. Besides you know Transformers looks cool.
DH4 is overdone. The film is too late. Bruce Willis is no longer in his prime..at least not for action movies. The last role Bruce had that was great in recent memory to me was as Hartigan in Sin City. Not to mention the film has a ridiculous plot. Internet terrorists seriously?? Yes I know Internet Terrorism is all to real but it isnt good for film in my eyes. Also it has the IMO incredibly annoying Justin "I'm a Mac" Long.
The 3 Movies that will top this Summer undoubtedly are Spider-man 3, POTC 3, And Transformers. Shrek and Potter will have to settle with sloppy seconds. Think about Transformers only has DH4 to compete with and it will be crushed by the juggernaut that is Transformers. DH4 will be completely overshadowed by Transformers. DH4 will only have that one week before Transformers releases to recoupe its budget and "poof", its gone. Watch once people start saying ,"Have you seen the new Transformers Trailer?? Its awesome!!" ,you'll start also hearing, "McClane who??". Shrek 3 cant do much because it had to go and choose the time between Spider-man 3 and POTC 3. Its in a deadzone. POTC 3 will tear it apart the week after it releases and Spider-man 3 will still be nipping at its money as well. All IMO but hell what do I know??
How does Transformers have a slim to none chance of being in the top 3 of this Summer at the Box Office?? Why do you people keep underestimating Transformers?? It has all the makings to be a massive pop corn movie. It doesnt even matter about reviews. Look at 300. The reviews werent so hot and its still making money. What you dont seem to get is that Shrek 3 and POTC 3 are going to tear eachother apart. POTC 3 releases a week, not two weeks, one week after Shrek 3. Shrek 3 will have hardly anytime to gain the Shrek 2 gross. POTC 3 will most likely crush Shrek 3. Also Spider-man 3 will still be playing so its slim to none for that Shrek 3 will make as much as Shrek 2. Plus I've seen clips and the humor isnt all that great. Infact the only character that I have ever really enjoyed in the Shrek films was Puss N Boots and he came out in 2. Plus there introducing the IMO annoying concept of the Main Characters children which always leads to vomit and fart jokes. POTC 3 should be able to earn as much or more as POTC 2 but that just depends on FF 4 2(Ugh). Transformers has no real competition in the month of July save for Harry Potter a week later. Which doesnt matter because Transformers is fresh. I'm tired off seeing numbers on my movies. Lets get some new stuff in. Not to mention there hasnt been a Transformers movie in 20 years and fans might have to wait another 20 if they dont see this one. Transformers WILL be in the top 3.
If it happens fantastic, as long as it perfoms well I'm happy.
