The Dark Knight Rises The Box Office Thread

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I think TDKR might perform similarly to TDK domestically if it is at least the same standard. The goodwill from TDK is higher than that from Begins, the ending of the trilogy if done right and the answer to what happens to Batman (if unspoilt) could lead to a similar crazy level of anticipation to that created by the inclusion of The Joker and Heath Ledger's unfortunate circumstances. If the film has that same quality it will hold well being near the end of summer. 170-180m OW x3 is possible.
 
I agree with you I SEE SPIDEY. Although I liked The Avengers and thought it was a very good CBM (in my Top Five all-time), I still hold Iron Man as Marvel Studios' best. I had a few gripes with the film that prevented it from being the studios' best, in my opinion, but I still adored a significant portion of the movie.
 
I agree with you I SEE SPIDEY. Although I liked The Avengers and thought it was a very good CBM (in my Top Five all-time), I still hold Iron Man as Marvel Studios' best. I had a few gripes with the film that prevented it from being the studios' best, in my opinion, but I still adored a significant portion of the movie.

THis is kind of my feeling too. I actually felt more worried for iron man at the end of IM than I ever felt for the city of ny or any of the avengers at the end of The avengers. I guess for me the whole final act was like a fireworks display..a very pretty, explosive one, but ultimately one that felt extremely empty because the outcome was painfully pre-determined. THe aliens just were..lame. I loved the rest of the movie but the climax was anything but climactic for me.
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I think most people here are logical and get that there isn't a "real" competition, but all this talk about "Oh, can we beat $200M" is just nonsensical. Without 3-d screens, it's damn near impossible. I honestly don't know if it can even beat the overhaul to be honest, even if it has good word-of-mouth. To me, it will really depend on if Hardy's performance is as "You have go to see it for yourself" as Ledger's was.
 
I'm not so worried about TDKR's box office. I still think it has a chance of beating TA's opening weekend record as illogical as that sounds. For one simple reason: I haven't see the Avengers yet - you know why? Because none of my friends are really that interested in going. However, every single one of them is planning on going to see TDKR opening day. None of them are comic book fans. It's not some DC vs Marvel thing. They just aren't that intrigued by the popcorn spectacle offered by a "comic book movie" like The Avengers. However, they are dying to see what Nolan does with the end of Batman's story. For them, there is something different and special about Nolan's Batman. Don't underestimate that portion of the general audience.
 
I think it has a good shot of hitting $175. But that's probably close to the ceiling.
 
I think most people here are logical and get that there isn't a "real" competition, but all this talk about "Oh, can we beat $200M" is just nonsensical. Without 3-d screens, it's damn near impossible. I honestly don't know if it can even beat the overhaul to be honest, even if it has good word-of-mouth. To me, it will really depend on if Hardy's performance is as "You have go to see it for yourself" as Ledger's was.

Hardy was made to play these roles and he's a stellar actor but Hathaway is the one getting the rave reviews from HQ. Catwoman is rumored to be one of Nolan's best written characters in his resume as well.
 
Hardy was made to play these roles and he's a stellar actor but Hathaway is the one getting the rave reviews from HQ. Catwoman is rumored to be one of Nolan's best written characters in his resume as well.

God, these rumors from certain sources are killing me...because just when I think I have my expectations in check, someone spikes the buzz up just a few notches higher because they know inside info.

I'm trying to stay calm....
 
TDKR id going to be a monster hit ... The fillm that really is the question mark is TASM .... I can see it doing Batman Begins type business and than it gets destroyed 2 weeks later by TDKR ... TASM was overshadowed by Avengers and TDKR this year .
 
TA needed this record in order to validate Marvel's plan of having different movies leading up to this.

TDKR does not need an opening record. The hardcore anti-Marvel fans need it for bragging rights.

Quality-wise, both movies will hold up in my opinion. But here again, even if TDKR sweeps the Oscars, I don't think that takes away from the enjoyment of TA.

These kind of "us vs them" mentalities are self-destructive. We should want all quality comic-book movies to do well, as a rising tide lifts all boats. I'm sorry, if you honestly think that TA is not one of the top 5, if not top 3 comic book movies of all time, then there is no argument that will persuade you.


Amen to this. It's pretty sad that some have to piss on other people's parade. Granted there's people on both sides that have contributed to the problem, but I find if funny that some of the people who were predicting 140-150 for Avengers (which is basically a lower attendance than IM2), suddenly come out and have to talk down the success of this film.

Unfortunately this kind of behavior probably goes back to Spider-man 1, saying that it was the best because it made the most money. Then when TDK broke SM3's record I remember someone posting a .gif of Batman punching Peter Parker, it goes on and on from there.

Bottom line, people loved TDK, and people love Avengers. But for those of you who said there's no way that Avengers would do this, time to eat your crow and move on. The film was at least going to open to 160M, and anyone who studies Box office knew this. 160M was the conservative estimates. When the 18.1 M midnight came in, I knew it would break 200M, because typically midnight May movies represent a much smaller percentage.

If you read the BOM articles even they knew that, and they said they didn't have any models to accurately represent what was happening, because when they plugged in IM2 numbers they were coming up with 240M, and SM3 numbers, they came up with over 300M, so they reverted back to "about what TDK did"

This wasn't just about 3D either, because there's a good chance that Avengers will have a higher attendance than TDK, and that's shouldn't shock anyone, because TDK was not a "kid friendly" movie. Where Avengers probably appeals to a wider demographic. That doesn't make it better or worse, that's just stating something that should be obvious.

TDKR will do fine, and I agree that if any film should worry it's TASM which basically needs to get excellent reviews or it will largely be ignored.
 
The narrative for Rises has been written with those kind of numbers. It will be seen as a disappointment because it didn't match Avengers and because of the phenom that was Knight.

Write it down. The media will spin the idea that Rises is a disappointment because it couldn't match Stark and friends.

Save this post because I'll be right in about 2 and a half months.

Lol its obvious you're taking this pretty hard. Lighten up dude. It aint your money, and this is the last Nolan Batmovie (and hopefully the last batmovie of any kind for a few years). Its all good.
 
If it makes a billion, I doubt TDKR will be declared a 'disappointment'.

Anywho, I'm more focused in hoping TDKR delivers. If it's better than TDK, then who cares?


Exactly correct. TDKR will make an enormous amount of money regardless of what the Avengers does. In fact, the historic Avengers bo will only help, if that matters to you.

I just want the damn movie to be GREAT. If its a step down from TDK, THAT will be a disappointment.
 
Lol its obvious you're taking this pretty hard. Lighten up dude. It aint your money, and this is the last Nolan Batmovie (and hopefully the last batmovie of any kind for a few years). Its all good.

I'm not taking it hard. It's just you can see the narrative in the media coming a mile away after this past weekend.

These cats don't tend to have original thoughts.
 
You can judge how big a Nolanite pseud-pseudo-intellectual drone you are by how upset you are over the ridiculous TA box office numbers. If you're actually excited by it, or merely indifferent, then you're a Nolan fan and a movie buff like the rest of us.
 
Lol its obvious you're taking this pretty hard. Lighten up dude. It aint your money, and this is the last Nolan Batmovie(and hopefully the last batmovie of any kind for a few years). Its all good.

Umm no. Why hopefully? Hopefully for Marvel fans?
 
You can judge how big a Nolanite pseud-pseudo-intellectual drone you are by how upset you are over the ridiculous TA box office numbers. If you're actually excited by it, or merely indifferent, then you're a Nolan fan and a movie buff like the rest of us.
Do you really have to troll both the NolanFans board and this board? :whatever:
 
You can judge how big a Nolanite pseud-pseudo-intellectual drone you are by how upset you are over the ridiculous TA box office numbers. If you're actually excited by it, or merely indifferent, then you're a Nolan fan and a movie buff like the rest of us.

That's nice.
 
If the shoe fits...

haha whatever happens we'll have 2 comic book movies with a billion dollars to their name.
 
I'm not so worried about TDKR's box office. I still think it has a chance of beating TA's opening weekend record as illogical as that sounds. For one simple reason: I haven't see the Avengers yet - you know why? Because none of my friends are really that interested in going. However, every single one of them is planning on going to see TDKR opening day. None of them are comic book fans. It's not some DC vs Marvel thing. They just aren't that intrigued by the popcorn spectacle offered by a "comic book movie" like The Avengers. However, they are dying to see what Nolan does with the end of Batman's story. For them, there is something different and special about Nolan's Batman. Don't underestimate that portion of the general audience.

Your friends aren't going to increase the number of theaters in the country. Try to understand. Even if Rises sells the exact number of tickets as TA it will still fall short by 20 million. There literally isn't enough room to do anymore.
 
:D I'm just saying, if the shoe fits, you gotta wear it.

But like i said, this is a great time to be a comic fan. Who would a thunk we'd have 2 comic book movies that will gross over a billion at the box office?

Superhero fatigue... where are you?
 
:D I'm just saying, if the shoe fits, you gotta wear it.

But like i said, this is a great time to be a comic fan. Who would a thunk we'd have 2 comic book movies that will gross over a billion at the box office?

Superhero fatigue... where are you?

We don't know if TDKR will gross a billion yet. Avengers will make close to one and a half billion.
 
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Oh i'm sure it will hit a billion. If i'm wrong, i'll eat my Batman action figure from 1989.
 
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