Iron Man 3 The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Raiden]

I submit Sean Connery's "Russian accent" in The Hunt for Red October.

How about Kevin Costner's Southern California accent in Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves?

 

[Tony Stark]

I submit Sean Connery's "Russian accent" in The Hunt for Red October.

"It rrreminds me of the days of Schputnik and Yurrri Gagarrrin. When the worrrld trrrembled as the schound of our rrrocketsch. Well they will trrremble again at the schound our our schilence."

 

[spideymouse]

How about Kevin Costner's Southern California accent in Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves?

Let's not forget Halle Berry's disappearing accent in the X-Men trilogy.

 

[schiz0id]

You guys should leave and start and new thread with that topic

 

[Iceman]

$400m can't be far away now!

 

[schiz0id]

$400m can't be far away now!

Do you think it can beat TDKR's $448m?

 

[Iceman]

Probably not enough to get there with the competition coming out. Shouldn't be too far off though.

 

[kedrell]

2 more weekends and it should cross $400M then. The better question is whether it'll have the juice to cross $424.6M DOM. That would tie it with IM2's multiplier.

 

[schiz0id]

2 more weekends and it should cross $400M then. The better question is whether it'll have the juice to cross $424.6M DOM. That would tie it with IM2's multiplier.

I actually predicted it to gross a final of $442m. It's decline percentages are relatively on par with The Avengers now so that was my multiplier.

 

[Xeno]

After this weekend, Iron Man 3's overseas tally should reach $790 million. That means that $800M OS is in the bag, as is $400M domestic and $1.2B WW. Not bad at all for a movie that so many claim has bad word of mouth.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Yeah $1.2b is a lock. IM3 and A2 alone will outgross Phase 1.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Yeah $1.2b is a lock. IM3 and A2 alone will outgross Phase 1.

Then you add Thor 2, Cap 2, and GotG. t:

and then phase 3 begins.

What an insane amount of money Disney is going to make from Marvel.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Add in the Star Wars franchise and its clear that Disney will dominate the market for the next decade.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Pixar is a money printing press for Disney too.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah this company is going to be dominating the box office for a long time.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Lucasfilm
Marvel
Pixar

It's almost unfair. I mean, it's not just movies, they'll be dominating merchandise as well. Not to mention all kinds of mixed media. I just glad we'll finally get the SW and Marvel fix we've deserved for years. Multiple cartoons, live-action TV shows, movies every year, and even AAA video games for SW from DICE, Visceral, and Bioware. Good times.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah it's great all round. Even a trip to the Disney Store is going to be a lot more interesting than it once was!

 

[schiz0id]

Yeah it's great all round. Even a trip to the Disney Store is going to be a lot more interesting than it once was!

Not to mention Disneyland/Disneyworld. They could have StarWars and Marvel themed rides to further the merchandise business too. Crazy.

 

[Iceman]

Not to mention Disneyland/Disneyworld. They could have StarWars and Marvel themed rides to further the merchandise business too. Crazy.

That would be awesome. I mentioned it a while ago but was told that it isn't possible for some reason. Can't remember the reason but probably to do with other theme park rights and contracts.

 

[kedrell]

That would be awesome. I mentioned it a while ago but was told that it isn't possible for some reason. Can't remember the reason but probably to do with other theme park rights and contracts.

I think that's only for Disneyworld because of Universal Studios in Florida already having a pre-existing deal with Marvel which is effective for everything east of the Mississippi river. Disneyland out here in L.A. can do what it wants with the Marvel characters.

 

[Iceman]

I think that's only for Disneyworld because of Universal Studios in Florida already having a pre-existing deal with Marvel which is effective for everything east of the Mississippi river. Disneyland out here in L.A. can do what it wants with the Marvel characters.

Great! Is Disneyland as good/big as Disneyworld? I've only been to the Florida one.

 

[ironman_rick]

$8,006,000 for the weekend. (60% down from last weekend)

$384,751,285 so far.

Wow, it looks like the new releases are taking its toll. Hopefully IM3 can kit $410 by the end of its run to take the 13th position domestic.

 

[Pickle-El]

That would be bigger than Spiderman 3's 61% drop. I mentioned last week to wait till the Avengers bullet-proof inspired first week numbers happen and WOM kicks in weeks 2 and 3....

Seems like it will not have Avengers or IM1 legs. Avengers multiplier was 3.0 and IM1 was 3.2.

At the week 2 rate, if it continues with a similar multiplier of around 2.23 (lets call it 2.3 to be nice) You are looking at damn near exactly 400 million. (400.2). But, we don't know how Star Trek 2 and the rest of May affects IM3 numbers. Could be less, could be worse.

Here are your multiplier #'s

2.2 = 382 million
2.3 = 400 million
2.4 = 417 million
2.5 = 435 million

No point going above 2.5.....likely won't happen. Worst case, 380ish. And best case (if over 60% drop week 2 is true) is somewhere around 430.

Internationally is where this film is really overreaching. Those numbers are truly incredible.

Let's see....how'd my 2.3x multiplier prediction from a month ago do? Preeeeettty close. Might very well end up closer to 2.4.

 

[Pickle-El]

$8,006,000 for the weekend. (60% down from last weekend)

$384,751,285 so far.

Wow, it looks like the new releases are taking its toll. Hopefully IM3 can kit $410 by the end of its run to take the 13th position domestic.

The weekdays will be near 1million a day this week if it's lucky...but, closer to about 600-700k-ish I think.

It could still hit somewhere around 410million if it stays in theaters long enough and keeps chugging along. Though, MOS and Monsters will take a significant amount of theaters in the next 3 weeks. I'm guessing Disney keeps this IM3 out long enough to cross 400 million...and it should That's the magic number.

 

[Iceman]

So the foreign grosses for IM3 are going to be not that far off from Avengers' total!

Avengers 2 is going to be a monster everywhere.