Will Marvel Studios retain or lose its winning streak in 2016?

[Erzengel]

Marvel and DC will both have a fair share of $2.2B WW for their films.

Marvel/Disney: Civil War - $1.4B WW
Doctor Strange - $800M Worldwide
______________________________
$2.2 billion worldwide

Warner Bros/DC: Batman V. Superman - $1.2B WW
Suicide Squad - $1 billion worldwide
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$2.2 billion worldwide

There's only been 24 movies that have hit $1B or more.

None of them have been a late Summer movie. Not that it won't happen but $1B is no easy feat.

 

[Flint Marko]

Suicide Squad will not hit a billion.

 

[Spider-Aziz]

And Doctor Strange will not reach $800 million.
Only figure I can imagine actually happening is the $1.2 billion for BvS.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Suicide Squad will not hit a billion.

Tell that to the people who gave the comi-con trailer 64 million views & the regular trailer 41 million views on YouTube as well as a positive reception for the trailers, way way more positive than Batman V Superman

 

[psylockolussus]

I highly doubt Suicide Squad will cross $1 billion, I mean Superman alone didn't even hit $700million back in 2013. Then a DC villains film will cross $1billion? Well who knows, maybe the hype/success of BVS will help it.

 

[Flint Marko]

Tell that to the people who gave the comi-con trailer 64 million views & the regular trailer 41 million views on YouTube as well as a positive reception for the trailers, way way more positive than Batman V Superman

None of this means it a shoe in to gross a billion. That's a fairly ridiculous prediction.

 

[NHawk19]

The one thing Suicide Squad does have going for it is that it's next "direct" competitor doesn't come out until Nov 4. Plenty of room to stretch it's legs if the DCCU makes a good showing. Still don't see a billion but it does have some room, just like Deadpool

 

[Erzengel]

A likely comparison is GOTG.

An August release which did over $750 million WW and that had tremendous word of mouth.

I think if SS gets over $600, I'd consider that successful.

 

[NHawk19]

^ According to Boxoffice Mojo there are only 24 films that have ever crossed the 1bn WW mark.

I'd say you've got a fair assessment. Any idea what the budget was? If we say 4x budget, which if it was 150, puts it right where your number is.

 

[CaptainWagner]

Suicide Squad I doubt will get too close to a billion. Making GOTG money is about what I'd shoot for.

 

[ernesth100]

That's what I set too SS will be the next GtoG.

 

[Greens]

Guardians of the Galaxy didn't have some of the most popular characters of all time. If Deadpool can creep to 700 million, Suicide Squad can go 800+.

 

[See Cap Run]

Well, I figured I'd resurrect this thread since it looks like it's about 99.9% certain that Marvel Studios will retain its winning streak it's had since 2010 of having the highest grossing CBM each year both domestically and worldwide. What makes this streak even more impressive however is that since 2010, Marvel has pulled it off despite strong competition from X-Men films, Spider-Man films, a Batman film, a Superman film as well as a Batman vs Superman film.

So, any predictions on which year from 2017-2020 said streak will finally come to an end and which film will take the crown from Marvel Studios? Or will Marvel keep the streak at least through 2020?

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

It depends on if you count Spider-Man Homecoming as being a Marvel film (since he is in the MCU and they are handling the creative side) or a Sony film (who are financing and will get the profit from the film). I see that being the biggest superhero film of next year.

If you do count Spider-Man as Marvel, then they've got the number 1 spot basically locked up through 2019 when Infinity War Part 2 comes out and after that we don't have enough information to go on.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Marvel:

CW - 1.14 b
Strange - 660 m

Total: 1.8 billion

WB:

BvS - 875 m
Suicide Squad - 825 m

Total - 1.7 billion

Fox -

Deadpool - 770 m
X-men Apocalypse- 550 m

Total - 1.32 billion

Looks like a closer than expected battle between Marvel Studios and Warner Bros.

 

[Erzengel]

I think most people here prior to WB laying a divisive egg with BvS thought that this was WB's to lose.

 

[See Cap Run]

Marvel:

CW - 1.14 b
Strange - 660 m

Total: 1.8 billion

WB:

BvS - 875 m
Suicide Squad - 825 m

Total - 1.7 billion

Fox -

Deadpool - 770 m
X-men Apocalypse- 550 m

Total - 1.32 billion

Looks like a closer than expected battle between Marvel Studios and Warner Bros.

Having the highest culminative gross of all their films each year vs CBMs from other studios is another streak Marvel Studios has had since 2010, one that also makes for an interesting discussion, especially now that other studios are starting to release more than one CBM per year as well.

In that regard this year will certainly be closer than others. Then in 2017 Marvel Studios will start releasing 3 CBMs per year. I forget if WB will also be releasing 3 per year, or just 2?

Oh, and Kahran Ramsus, you brought up a very good point with Spider-Man Homecoming: if Spider-Man is the highest grossing CBM of next year, it would count as both Marvel Studios and Sony having the highest grossing film, thus continuing Marvel Studios' streak, imo.

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

I think most people here prior to WB laying a divisive egg with BvS thought that this was WB's to lose.

I sure did.

 

[Flint Marko]

I'm in the same boat. And truth be told, I think it was a solid prediction at the time. WB had it in the bag, all they had to do was make a movie that audiences didn't dislike.

 

[hafizbat]

Marvel:

CW - 1.14 b
Strange - 660 m

Total: 1.8 billion

WB:

BvS - 875 m
Suicide Squad - 825 m

Total - 1.7 billion

Fox -

Deadpool - 770 m
X-men Apocalypse- 550 m

Total - 1.32 billion

Looks like a closer than expected battle between Marvel Studios and Warner Bros.

Think that's a bit too high for SS. Deadpool was a cultural phenomenon; I think DP's take is the ceiling for SS, and by no means a sure thing.

 

[Doctor Octopus]

Agreed. I don't think Suicide Squad make as much as that. 700 million range I think.

 

[spider-neil]

Batman and Superman should have made a billion. Easily.
Just like Spider-Man 3 should have made a billion.

Batman and Superman are the world's most iconic characters going head to head for the first time. All the movie had to do to make a billion was not suck.

Spider-Man 3 was coming off the back of two commercial and critical successes. All the movie had to do to make a billion was not suck.

 

[The Joker]

Spider-Man 3 came very close to a billion in fairness. A lot closer than BvS did, and BvS was in an age where CBMs making a billion had happened several times (Batman being one of them and he was in BvS). Not to mention BvS had no competition in the theaters at the time, which makes it's failure to make a billion even more embarrassing.

 

[metaphysician]

Really, Spider-man 3 was not a failure, in terms of box office. It made more than either prior movie, and by a decent margin. Even with its higher budget, it still probably made as much profit as Spider-man 2. Now, critical and audience response. . . that was much more dubious, but it wasn't exactly a Green Lantern level disaster. The only reason they didn't make a sequel was because the director quit, and took much of the cast with him.

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

Spider-Man 3 came very close to a billion in fairness. A lot closer than BvS did, and BvS was in an age where CBMs making a billion had happened several times (Batman being one of them and he was in BvS). Not to mention BvS had no competition in the theaters at the time, which makes it's failure to make a billion even more embarrassing.

When Spider-Man 3 came out, two movies EVER had made a billion (Titanic and Return of the King).

By comparison, FIVE movies made a billion just last year alone.