Worldwide Box Office thread

[dark_b]

after seeing how short everything is and how bad some dialoge is i think there is a chance that it will bomb.

 

[TLH]

Actually. I'm changing my estimate. It will be largely frontloaded, with a huge drop off the following week.

Barely $200 million worldwide (60 domestic, 140 international).

 

[SolarTiger]

Yeah Yas I see that happening too, alittle like CloverField but more money.

 

[Lobo]

Actually. I'm changing my estimate. It will be largely frontloaded, with a huge drop off the following week.

Barely $200 million worldwide (60 domestic, 140 international).

I agree with this.

 

[Cartman Blues]

I agree with your avi. And Trunks' prediction.

 

[dark_b]

there is a chance that this movie has a really really low budget. if true then it can make a profit.

 

[Water Wagon]

No its budget is $100 million. After the horrible clips and reviews along with the runtime, rating and lack of marketing.

I now also think this movie will flop.

 

[dark_b]

there is no way that this movie cost 100 millions

 

[Water Wagon]

Well it did.

 

[dark_b]

i will say again..................no way.

and sorry but you dont know 100% if it did.

 

[TLH]

I've been doing some tracking on SBD and boxofficemojo, plus marketing (which will probably be very lackluster) and with a theater count of, just an estimate, maybe 2700 - 3100 theaters, DBE will probably open like this:

Wed: 4.1m
Thur: 2.1m
Fri: 5.5m
Sat: 6.9m
Sun: 4.2m
-----
3-day OW: $16.6 million
5-day: $22.1 million

Probably won't even have a x3 multiplier. I don't see $60 million domestic for it anymore...the PTA average won't be high enough to sustain its legs. Maybe $50 million if it's lucky.

Of course, then there is the crazy chance that enough curious fans of the show, or a lot of parents take their kids, and go see it, making the opening larger (maybe somewhere north of $25 million) but it's bound to have -70% drop in its second weekend, maybe even larger.

 

[xwolverine2]

I've been doing some tracking on SBD and boxofficemojo, plus marketing (which will probably be very lackluster) and with a theater count of, just an estimate, maybe 2700 - 3100 theaters, DBE will probably open like this:

Wed: 4.1m
Thur: 2.1m
Fri: 5.5m
Sat: 6.9m
Sun: 4.2m
-----
3-day OW: $16.6 million
5-day: $22.1 million

i agree with these numbers...

it might've been higher before watchmen and during paul blart/madea's reign over the box office... but not now.

 

[Cartman Blues]

Seriously, if the Epic Movies makes a good amount of money, this isn't gonna make a low number. It's targeted towards everyone, including kids.

 

[TLH]

Seriously, if the Epic Movies makes a good amount of money, this isn't gonna make a low number. It's targeted towards everyone, including kids.

Apples and oranges. DBE has a different demographic than those types of movies.

The type of audience a movie is targeting doesn't influence its success. It's if the movie successfully appeals to that target audience, and if it's good enough to have some sort of staying power within that audience.

 

[DorkyFresh]

Seriously, if the Epic Movies makes a good amount of money, this isn't gonna make a low number. It's targeted towards everyone, including kids.

i'd argue that the target audience is ONLY kids. the way they made this movie would make a 13 year old feel like a scholar.

 

[Cartman Blues]

i'd argue that the target audience is ONLY kids. the way they made this movie would make a 13 year old feel like a scholar.

Yeah it's targeted towards kids, noobies, families, and people who enjoy boobs, explosions, and crazy hair. Basically everyone below 14.

 

[Theweepeople]

Comingsoon.net predicts that Dragonball will make 6 to 8million for this weekend and end up with 20million domestically.

 

[Water Wagon]

Seems about right, should make around $70-80 million WW.

 

[saiyanaida]

HANNAH MONTANA




#1 Family Film Of All Time



FRIDAY 6:45 PM PT: East Coast exhibitors are starting to report their overall Friday numbers, and "it looks like the movie is doing fantastic," a studio source tells me. Disney had been expecting a Fri-Sat-Sun North American gross of $17M for Hannah Montana, The Movie. "But now this means that we will probably end up in the $20+sM for the weekend," one of my insider gushes. "That will make this the #1 family film of all time over Easter weekend. Fingers crossed!" Although rival studios had expected numbers in the low- to mid-$20sM because of the rabid fanbase for the Disney Channel TV show and Miley Cyrus, Disney has been especting the pic to play like another Disney Channel small screen to big screen hit, The Lizzie McGuire Movie, which opened on a non-Easter weekend with $17M. As for the huge success of the Hannah Montana concert flick, that was helped by Disney's hyping it as a week-only engagement, which created a frenzy among tweens who couldn't get tickets to see Cyrus live in concert. Disney now will own the 3 top family film Easter openings of all time (#2 was 2003's Holes with $16.3M, and #3 was 2002's The Rookie $16M). MORE


http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/



sry guys

 

[TheVileOne]

$200 million worldwide, no ****ing way.

$60 million US, no ****ing way.

It doesn't open on Wed. and its opening opposite Miley Cyrus and Observe and Report

****ING BOMB

 

[SolarTiger]

I can't believe I voted $200-$250 mill World wide.

 

[XSpidercideX]

I'm thinking 80-100 million WW now.

 

[saiyanaida]

EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES


Hollywood’s Biggest Easter Weekend Ever!: ‘Hannah Montana’ beats expectations with $15M Friday & possible $33.6M 3-day, making it #2 Easter weekend opening!





EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Hanna Montana The Movie (Disney) - $15M, $4,811 PTA, $15M cume
2. Fast & Furious (Universal) - $10M, $2,880 PTA, $99.25M cume
3. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $8.1M, $1,958 PTA, $126.5M cume
4. NEW – Observe & Report (Warner Bros) - $4.25M, $1,558 PTA, $4.25M cume
5. The Haunting in Connecticut (Lionsgate) - $1.7M, $625 PTA, $42.28M cume
6. I Love You Man (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $2.11M, $798 PTA, $54.7M cume
7. Knowing (Summit) - $1.95M, $667 PTA, $63.28M cume
8. NEW - Dragonball: Evolution (Fox) - $1.92M, $880 PTA, $1.92M cume
9. Adventureland (Miramax) - $1.1M, $586 PTA, $9.11M cume
10. Duplicity (Universal) - $750,000, $382 PTA, $34.6M cume

EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Hanna Montana The Movie (Disney) - $33.6M, $10,776 PTA, $33.6M cume
2. Fast & Furious (Universal) - $26.4M, $7,604 PTA, $115.65M cume
3. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $20.6M, $4,981 PTA, $140M cume
4. NEW – Observe & Report (Warner Bros) - $11M, $4,034 PTA, $11M cume
5. The Haunting in Connecticut (Lionsgate) - $6.06M, $2,227 PTA, $46.64M cume
6. I Love You Man (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $5.7M, $2,157 PTA, $58.28M cume
7. Knowing (Summit) - $5.6M, $1,915 PTA, $66.93M cume
8. NEW - Dragonball: Evolution (Fox) - $4.85M, $2,224 PTA, $4.85M cume
9. Adventureland (Miramax) - $3.41M, $1,818 PTA, $11.42M cume
10. Duplicity (Universal) - $2.47M, $1,260 PTA, $36.32M cume



She has a hit TV show on the Disney Channel, a pair of albums that have debuted at #1 on the Billboard charts, a concert tour with 69 sold-out arenas in North America, and now a second #1 movie in as many years. Miley Cyrus is the biggest teen star in the world.

With most of Hollywood (including myself) expecting an opening in the mid-$20M’s for Hannah Montana The Movie (Disney), Miley has surprised “grown-ups” with her box office clout once again. The picture opened with $15M on Good Friday, and it could reach an estimated $33.6M by the end of Easter weekend, making it the all-time #2 opening for the bunny holiday weekend.

ALL-TIME TOP 5 EASTER WEEKEND OPENINGS
1. Scary Movie 4 - $40.2M
2. Hannah Montana The Movie - $33.6M (projected)
3. Panic Room - $30M
4. The Matrix - $27.7M
5. Guess Who - $20.7M

That is also stronger than Miley Cyrus’ 3-D concert movie last year. 2008’s Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour was promoted as a one-week-only motion picture event and benefited from a 3-D upcharge, delivering a stunning $31.1M last February. This 16-year-old has outdone herself.

For the business overall, it appears to be a spectacular frame as Hannah and some strong holdovers will likely score the biggest Easter Weelend in modern box office history, surpassing 2002’s holiday 3-day.

ALL-TIME BIGGEST GROSSING EASTER WEEKENDS
- totals are for the top 10 films for the holiday 3-day -
1. 4/10/09 - $119.69M [#1 - Hannah Montana The Movie - $33.6M] (projected)
2. 3/29/02 - $108.8M [#1 – Panic Room - $30M]
3. 4/14/06 - $107.08M [#1 – Scary Movie 4 - $40.2M]
4. 4/06/07 - $104.5M [#1 - Blades of Glory - $22.5M]
5. 3/21/08 - $94.65M [#1 - Dr. Seuss’ Horton Hears A Who! - $24.6M]
6. 4/07/04 - $87.9M [#1 – Passion of the Christ - $15.2M]
7. 3/25/05 - $86.8M [#1 – Guess Who - $20.6M]
8. 4/18/03 - $83.8M [#1 – Anger Management - $25M]
9. 4/02/99 - $72.7M [#1 – The Matrix - $27.8M]
10. 4/21/00 - $70.3M [#1 – U-571 - $19.5M]

Hollywood wouldn’t be making history were it not for the continued high octane ticket sales of Fast & Furious (Universal). The fourth in the F&F franchise will be down about 63% from its rubber-burning $71M opening, but it will still likely manage a possible $26.4M, more than enough for second-place. The Diesel-Walker-Brewster-Rodriguez “speed machine” will have about $115.65M in the bank on Monday, putting it miles ahead of the other movies in the franchise.

10-DAY GROSSES FOR FAST & FURIOUS FRANCHISE
1. Fast & Furious (2009) - $115.65M opening (projected)
2. 2 Fast 2 Furious (2003) - $83.6M opening
3. The Fast & The Furious (2001) - $77.9M opening
4. The Fast & The Furious: Tokyo Drift (2006) - $43.2M opening

Monsters Vs. Aliens from Dreamworks Animation continues to perform in monstrous proportions. The cutting edge 3-D spectacle added another $8.1M on its third Friday (no school for lots of kids), and it may hit $20.6M thanks to big family matinees on Saturday and Sunday. MVA is the fifth-best performer for Dreamworks Animation after 17 days, trailing only the Shrek franchise and Kung Fu Panda.

TOP 10 GROSSES FOR DREAMWORKS ANIMATION AFTER 17 DAYS
1. Shrek 2 - $287M
2. Shrek the Third - $255.9M
3. Shrek - $148.3M
4. Kung Fu Panda - $155.8M
5. Monsters vs. Aliens - $140M (projected)
6. Madagascar 2 - $137.1M
7. Madagascar - $128.4M
8. Shark Tale - $118.7M
9. Over the Hedge - $112.3M
10. Bee Movie - $93.6M

But Monsters Vs. Aliens looks even better when compared to other animated films released during non-peak times. Jeffrey Katzenberg’s latest is almost keeping pace with Fox’s Ice Age: The Meltdown.

TOP GROSSES FOR NON-SUMMMER, NON-HOLIDAY ANIMATED MOVIES AFTER 17 DAYS
- excludes movies released May-August and November-December –
1. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $147.2M
2. Monsters vs. Aliens - $140M (projected)
3. Shark Tale - $118.7M
4. Dr. Suess’ Horton Hears A Who! - $177.5M
5. Ice Age - $116.8M

Not all good news for the studios. Observe & Report, the new Seth Rogen, R-rated comedy from Warner Bros, is off to a sluggish start with about $4.25M. Reviews are very good, and this one could benefit from positive word-of-mouth, but at the moment I am projecting only $11M or so for the weekend.

Meanwhile, Fox’s Dragonball: Evolution is a bomb with estimated sales of just $1.92M on opening day and a target of $4.85M (8th place). Lionsgate’s strong-holding The Haunting in Connecticut will probably round out the top five with just over $6M for a new cume of almost $47M

http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/

 

[dark_b]

I can't believe I voted $200-$250 mill World wide.

well like everyone you thought that at least the action will be good. you thought that the budget is 100 millions.

not 45 millions

 

[craigdbfan]

Meanwhile, Fox’s Dragonball: Evolution is a bomb with estimated sales of just $1.92M on opening day and a target of $4.85M (8th place). Lionsgate’s strong-holding The Haunting in Connecticut will probably round out the top five with just over $6M for a new cume of almost $47M

http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/