2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions)

[The Morningstar]

I know it did, and it's probably THE dumbest decision by Fox in the Tom Rothman era. Yea, get Ridley Scott, director of the Oscar winning Gladiator... then tell him how to make a historical epic. Idiots.

But looking at the wiki it made over 200 million whereas Black Hawk Down made 180 million.

 

[dark_b]

please explain to me how do we know that teh directors cut wouldt make a profit based on that budget?

 

[The Morningstar]

It probably wouldn't, seeing as the source material is very sensitive. Probably the same reason why Body of Lies bombed.

Now if the Muslims were made to be the out and out bad guys and the Christians the shining beacon of righteousness? Might be a different story. But that line of though gets controversial and i can't be bothered to get into it with anyone lol.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Kingdom of Heaven will be more appreciated with time, like Blade Runner.

 

[Shifty]

I know it did, and it's probably THE dumbest decision by Fox in the Tom Rothman era. Yea, get Ridley Scott, director of the Oscar winning Gladiator... then tell him how to make a historical epic. Idiots.

But looking at the wiki it made over 200 million whereas Black Hawk Down made 180 million.

Those were domestic grosses that I posted. KOH made more overall, that $211 was worldwide, it made 70% of its money from overseas. KOH made $47.7 million in USA/Canada, BHD did $108m.

 

[The Morningstar]

Ahh i see, cool. Anyway I hope Prometheus does well, if it's a good movie that is.

 

[:eek:]

Get ready to hear a lot more about "The Hunger Games" than you ever expected. The adaptation of Suzanne Collins 2008 novel has been the center of tremendous hype ever since it was labeled the "next" "Twilight" franchise after Lionsgate acquired the big screen rights in 2009. However, with only 2.9 million copies in print the fan base isn't anywhere near the level Stephenie Meyer's franchise (116 million copies in print as of Oct. 2010). Well, much to even Lionsgate's surprise it appears lightning has struck twice and "Hunger Games" is about to ravage your local movie theater.

Opening in less than two weeks, pre-release polling has the Gary Ross film drawing more movie audience interest than the first "Twilight" which debuted to $69.6 million in 2008. In fact, while the studio is sticking by a $75 million projection for now, rivals say the data actually points to anywhere from a $130-150 million debut. That estimate puts the franchise in the gaudy range of "New Moon" ($142 million) and "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Pt. 1's" ($125 million) debuts. That figure would also break "Alice in Wonderland's" all-time March opening gross of $116 million which had the benefit of higher 3D ticket prices. "Hunger Games" will only be released in IMAX and conventional 2D theaters

Needless to say, at the moment it looks like Lionsgate's $90 million gamble will pay off in spades and its no surprise the company locked a date for the sequel, "Catching Fire," for Nov. 22, 2013.

The rosy outlook is also affecting the films debuting the weekend after "Hunger Games"; "Wrath of the Titans" and "Mirror, Mirror." Both films appeal to different demographics, but are each polling around a $35 million opening. And, most likely, they'll be fighting for a distant second place to another huge "Hunger Games" gross in its second week. This has to be disconcerting for Warner Bros. after "Clash of the Titans" soared to $61 million two years ago, but no one in Hollywood thought "Games" could realistically come close to a $100 million debut so the date appeared "safe." Now? We'll have to see how far Sam Worthington can take a "Wrath" that's intended to be far superior than its predecessor.

If tracking stays on target, "Games" is also set to join "The Vow," "Safe House" and "The Lorax" as the fourth film to easily cross the $100 million mark in just the first tree months of 2012. What's more remarkable is that only one of those films is benefiting from those previously mentioned inflated 3D ticket prices ("Lorax").

 

[craigdbfan]

Yeah that movie is tracking some huge numbers.

If the film is actually well received critically it will have some crazy strong legs.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Tracking has proven to be incredibly flawed in the past. Hunger Games will open big but to say its going to blow past the last Twilight (at the peak of its popularity) is nuts.

 

[kickass]

That article is incorrect. The Hunger Games does not have 2.9 million books in print. It's sold over 23 million in the US alone.

 

[BestGirl]

Tracking has proven to be incredibly flawed in the past. Hunger Games will open big but to say its going to blow past the last Twilight (at the peak of its popularity) is nuts.

I agree. I think the opening will be more like $100 million, which would still be incredible for a new franchise like this.

 

[:eek:]

Top 10 worldwide so far:

1. Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $292,6 million
2. The Intouchables $270,9 million
3. Safe House $179,1 million
4. The Vow $158,7 million
5. Underworld Awakening $152,5 million
6. The Secret World of Arrietty $144,1 million
7. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $137,4 million
8. Chronicle $112,1 million
9. John Carter $110,3 million
10. Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance $106,8 million

 

[craigdbfan]

By the end of the year that list is going to look very different but I'm sure that's a given.

 

[rayc1971]

Get ready to hear a lot more about "The Hunger Games" than you ever expected. The adaptation of Suzanne Collins 2008 novel has been the center of tremendous hype ever since it was labeled the "next" "Twilight" franchise after Lionsgate acquired the big screen rights in 2009. However, with only 2.9 million copies in print the fan base isn't anywhere near the level Stephenie Meyer's franchise (116 million copies in print as of Oct. 2010). Well, much to even Lionsgate's surprise it appears lightning has struck twice and "Hunger Games" is about to ravage your local movie theater.

Opening in less than two weeks, pre-release polling has the Gary Ross film drawing more movie audience interest than the first "Twilight" which debuted to $69.6 million in 2008. In fact, while the studio is sticking by a $75 million projection for now, rivals say the data actually points to anywhere from a $130-150 million debut. That estimate puts the franchise in the gaudy range of "New Moon" ($142 million) and "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Pt. 1's" ($125 million) debuts. That figure would also break "Alice in Wonderland's" all-time March opening gross of $116 million which had the benefit of higher 3D ticket prices. "Hunger Games" will only be released in IMAX and conventional 2D theaters

Needless to say, at the moment it looks like Lionsgate's $90 million gamble will pay off in spades and its no surprise the company locked a date for the sequel, "Catching Fire," for Nov. 22, 2013.

The rosy outlook is also affecting the films debuting the weekend after "Hunger Games"; "Wrath of the Titans" and "Mirror, Mirror." Both films appeal to different demographics, but are each polling around a $35 million opening. And, most likely, they'll be fighting for a distant second place to another huge "Hunger Games" gross in its second week. This has to be disconcerting for Warner Bros. after "Clash of the Titans" soared to $61 million two years ago, but no one in Hollywood thought "Games" could realistically come close to a $100 million debut so the date appeared "safe." Now? We'll have to see how far Sam Worthington can take a "Wrath" that's intended to be far superior than its predecessor.

If tracking stays on target, "Games" is also set to join "The Vow," "Safe House" and "The Lorax" as the fourth film to easily cross the $100 million mark in just the first tree months of 2012. What's more remarkable is that only one of those films is benefiting from those previously mentioned inflated 3D ticket prices ("Lorax").

mirror mirror is only tracking at 18mill not 35! snowwhite and the huntsman will be the bigger snow white film!

 

[:eek:]

Lionsgate's The Hunger Games is poised to make March feel more like July at the box office this coming weekend.
The exhibition side of the industry has been bugging distributors to release tentpoles throughout the year—not just during the summer and the holiday season—and now distributors are finally listening. The Hunger Games would have no problem competing with the likes of The Dark Knight Rises and The Amazing Spider-Man this summer, but Lionsgate is wisely avoiding any unnecessary battles by releasing its prized property now. It's a smart move that is going to pay off in a major way.
Based on strong Facebook and Twitter activity, it's clear that The Hunger Games is not only connecting with the millions who have read the books but also with casual moviegoers looking for blockbuster entertainment. Early on, The Hunger Games was being labeled as "the next Twilight." Forget it. The "next Harry Potter" is beginning to make more sense. The first Twilight film opened to $69.6 million or $76 million when adjusting for inflation, while the first Harry Potter debuted to $90.3 million or $125.1 million adjusted. All signs indicate that The Hunger Games will end up closer to Potter than Twilight this weekend.
Early sales on Fandango are phenomenal. The ticketing site reports that The Hunger Games is now in fifth place on the list of advanced sellers, right behind The Twilight Saga: Eclipse. More tickets have been sold on Fandango for The Hunger Games than the first Twilight film sold during its entire theatrical run. 2,000+ shows of the sci-fi flick are already sold out.
Look for The Hunger Games to grab $125 million from more than 4,000 locations during its debut frame. That will be enough to top the March opening-weekend record of $116 million set by Alice in Wonderland in 2010.

 

[jmc]

I've been saying this for ****ing years, spread the tentpoles out , if a film is good people will see it no matter when it's released.

 

[Micromind]

I want to see some movies that look interesting, show something new without using cheap twists, forced humor, gore but so far only a few movies look somewhat good.

Avengers, The Amazing Spiderman look entertaining but are not exactly in the same league as the first Jurassic Park, Gladiator, Avatar, LOTR where you were eagerly awaiting the movie's release.

Even some of the low budgeted movies were able to generate a interest in GA, for example Sixth Sense, Signs, First Alien movie, Inception but somehow the original ideas have died down.

 

[The Morningstar]

Nothing is original anymore. It all depends on how those unoriginal ideas are presented to make them appear fresh and innovative. It's all about execution.

My most anticipated film this year is Prometheus, because it seems to be getting back to pure sci fi, big ideas, makes you think about things. But the idea of "ancient astronauts" that created mankind and other species throughout the universe isn't entirely original. ****, even the comics has that concept with Marvels Celestials.

 

[Project862006]

^i agree people always say i want original

moon
district 9
source code

for instance people think are original but in reality are not original at all

no such thing as originality anymore anything that could be thought of has been and done over 100 times

it is all in the execution and adding your own flavor to it

 

[:eek:]

Top 10 worldwide so far:

1. Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $303 million
2. The Intouchables $281 million
3. Safe House $188,2 million
4. John Carter $183,4 million
5. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $178,3 million
6. The Vow $165,8 million
7. Underworld Awakening $156,9 million
8. The Secret World of Arrietty $144,5 million
9. Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance $122,5 million
10. This Means War $120,1 million

 

[:eek:]

'The Hunger Games' Delivers Incredible Opening Day

March 24, 2012 07:57 AM

by Phil Contrino
Forget Twilight. The Hunger Games is shaping up to be the next Harry Potter.
With $68.25 million in the bank on Friday, The Hunger Games should end up with a debut haul that exceeds $140 million. That will easily be the best March opening of all time—Alice in Wonderland holds the record for now with $116 million. A $142 million debut would also rank The Hunger Games in fifth place on the all-time openings list, and it would mark the best non-sequel opening of all time. The sci-fi flick already holds the best non-sequel opening day of all time.
Word-of-mouth is very promising thanks to a 95% approval rating from more than 35,000 Flixster users. Expect strong holds—at least by blockbuster standards—in the weeks to come.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

This movie is going to do over 300mil. Wow.

 

[rayc1971]

This movie is going to do over 300mil. Wow.

wow is right! they were only lookin at a 75mill opening weekend and a 200 mill domestic gross it is killing those numbers!this really blew up bigger than anyone thought

 

[chaseter]

$68 million on a Friday in March is incredible.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

wow is right! they were only lookin at a 75mill opening weekend and a 200 mill domestic gross it is killing those numbers!this really blew up bigger than anyone thought

I wonder what it's overseas numbers are going to be?