2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

Discussion in 'Misc. Films' started by Marvin, Dec 11, 2012.

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  1. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    Sorry for the lame title, clearly not my game. Seeing as how this is the follow up to the supposed monster year, I found that title fitting.

    Figure I'd start this now. Predictions later, once we get a good feel for the line up, but no need for discussions to wait.

    This has to be the Rocks year, he has 4 pretty significant films dropping in 4 back to back months and if even 3 of them are solid, he will be cemented as the modern 80's action star re incarnate.

    Snitch in Feb
    GI Joe in March
    Pain & Gain(and Bay) in April
    Fast 6 in May
    ...and hercules the year after.

    High hopes for him. However if they all flop, sheesh.
     
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  2. Mace Dolex

    Mace Dolex Powerful User

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    I didn't know he had that many movie coming out, it's too bad he hasn't been able to build an action type of franchise like Arnold, Sly and Bruce Willis have done.
     
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  3. bullets

    bullets bang bang

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    Rock could of been the next Arnold , but chose too make bad Disney movies. Hopefully this year will turn things around for him.
     
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  4. Warhammer

    Warhammer Half Monk, Half Hitman

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    I love The Rock. I hope that 2013 is more successful then 2012 was for him. And hopefully, it was all worth it that GI Joe: Retaliation got delayed 9 months.
     
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  5. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    He would be ideal for a Terminator film..in some ways.

    Fast 6 is going to have to deal with Ironman 3 and one other big thing next may. I'd like to see them repeat the success of fast 5 but, that will prove to be difficult I think.
     
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  6. Moridin

    Moridin Death Contagious Deity

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    I was going to make this thread later this week :p.

    Anyway, this is a pretty good list of what 2013 has in store.

    Some of the bigger films (feel free to add any I miss):
    February
    14th - A Good Day to Die Hard

    March
    1st - Jack the Giant Slayer
    8th - Oz: The Great & Powerful
    29th - G.I. Joe: Retaliation / The Host

    April
    5th - Jurassic Park (3D re-release)
    19th - Oblivion

    May
    3rd - Iron Man 3 (though it's the week before in many places)
    17th - Star Trek Into Darkness
    24 - Fast & Furious 6 / The Hangover 3 / EPIC

    June
    7th - After Earth
    14th - Man of Steel
    21st - Monsters University / World War Z

    July
    3rd - Despicable Me 2 / The Lone Ranger
    12th - Pacific Rim / Grown Ups 2
    26th - The Wolverine
    31st - The Smurfs 2

    August
    2nd - 300: Rise of an Empire

    November
    8th - Thor: The Dark World
    22nd - Hunger Games: Catching Fire

    December
    13th - The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
     
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    Last edited: Dec 12, 2012
  7. Ultimatehero

    Ultimatehero Life is infinite

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    1) Iron Man 3
    2) Star Trek Into Darkness
    3) Hunger Games
    4) Man of Steel (I'd like to see it further up, but this would be a GREAT spot after SR and as a new franchise)
    5) After Earth
    6) Hobbit
    7) Thor
    8) Oblivion
    9) One Thousand AD
    10) The Lone Ranger
     
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    Last edited: Dec 12, 2012
  8. JP

    JP Smelly

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    Hunger Games and IM3 (and maybe The Hobbit) will be battling for the top spot.

    Smurfs 2 and Monsters University getting the family dollar after that.

    Then Star Trek and Thor.

    MoS and The Wolverine after that.
     
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  9. Visceral

    Visceral A Shadow

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    hunger games, im3, wolvie will all have modest to huge takes.

    i'd like to think that star treks great reception puts it into the running for something great, possibly the biggest take of the year.

    I also want to see mos do good and secure some more dc films.
     
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  10. Warhammer

    Warhammer Half Monk, Half Hitman

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    Don't forget about Fast and Furious 6, guys. It will no doubt make over 500 million worldwide since it will be an absolute juggernaut internationally. Who could have predicted Fast Five making that much money? It was crazy.
     
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  11. Ultimatehero

    Ultimatehero Life is infinite

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    The reason I'm hesitant on Hobbit is because if audience is just as mixed as the critics it might downplay the second one, HOWEVER if the audience similarly loves it- that's looking at top spot.

    With Man of Steel, as said it's the classic "fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me" that great films coming back after a 'bad' film has always had to face. MOS has SR. BB had B&R. However the Nolan name should somewhat help with that, yet not completely.

    Wolverine is going to face a GREAT challenge, seeing it possibly below F&F. While a great and fan favorite character, it's seen as the worst film in the series which it will need to battle against. They might be able to do that in the trailer by battling it somewhat, but it would have to be night and day level differences.
     
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    Last edited: Dec 12, 2012
  12. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    Sry moridin :)

    The thing that played a factor this year that people don't always take into consideration is the timing and the competition.

    Fast 6, is going for a slightly different genre group than Trek(though this isn't the traditional trek), but unlike last year, this year it's going to have to actually deal with a crowd hording film.
    The thing about StarTrek before(and why it's box office was on the more humble side) is that people thought it was going to be more of that rich genre stuff they avoided their entire lives. Turns out now the world knows different. It's even accessible to the fast crowd.

    Marvel always like to bunker their films in early may, looks like they are going to have tons of breathing space, possibly before and after IM3 to make money.

    July is probably going to be a war zone this time.

    And those November releases are brilliant. I remember walking into Lincoln and just looking around hoping for a big genre picture to get excited for...I had had was bond, and look what happened there.
    Hunger Games was waiting for Twilight to end so they could start milking that spot.
     
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    Last edited: Dec 12, 2012
  13. amazingfantasy15

    amazingfantasy15 Well-Known Member

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    I doubt The Hobbit will battle for the top spot, it'll do well, but I don't think it'll have enough crossover appeal. I don't see a lot of girls/women rushing out to see it.

    I think the audience might have user fatigue and a case of warriness about the quality with the X-Men films, First Class showed that.

    Star Trek will do well, but not near biggest take of the year, even the the expanded audience I don't think it's enough to get close to bigger movies.
     
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  14. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Fast Five was very well recieved so I wouldn't underestimate it. The Wolverine is going to be hurt by the last movie's reception and Star Trek 2 is going to be helped by it's last film and 3D. I'm still taking a wait and see attitude to Superman and I'm hoping they move it from that death slot of June 14.
     
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    Last edited: Dec 29, 2012
  15. Ultimatehero

    Ultimatehero Life is infinite

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    What's wrong with June 14?
     
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  16. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    Aside from animated movies mid-June usually isn't a prime spot for movies to do big business. At least not recently.
     
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  17. terry78

    terry78 I'm gonna need more rope

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    June usually is when the sleeper hits in the form of comedies and cartoons hit big. You notice all the big action flicks are usually released in May, July and August.
     
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  18. redhawk23

    redhawk23 Wrestlin'

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    Yeah June is kind of a weird month. Early June is sometimes doable, mid to late June is not.

    Best I can remember recently is Wanted in 2008 and even that didn't do that well.

    The Incredible Hulk that year didn't make back it's budget domestically.
     
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  19. terry78

    terry78 I'm gonna need more rope

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    It's like June is the breather month. You go and watch some R-rated comedy or a Dreamworks/Pixar/Disney/Fox animated movie.
     
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  20. Ultimatehero

    Ultimatehero Life is infinite

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    I really wouldn't use that because that movie had the "fool me once, shame on you. fool me twice, shame on me" factor. If the last movie in a franchise is bad, inevitably the follow up will not do as well. If the last film in a franchise was well, the follow up will do equally as well if not higher.

    People were turned off by The Hulk, thus The Incredible Hulk didn't do good.

    It's also why Wolverine has a very hard uphill battle and I'm on the fence on the Hobbit - if audiences are just as mixed as critics? That won't bode well for the second film. The first one, yeah I see it probably doing great. I'd be surprised if doesn't. BUT, if the reaction is "this is a lower LOT" then yeah - the second will reflect that.

    -------

    I also thought the date sound familiar for some reason, lol.

    JUNE 15 - BATMAN BEGINS

    It faced a similar uphill battle that Batman did. Batman and Robin for Batman Begins. Superman Returns for Man of Steel. They're not looking to be top dog at box office, after Superman Returns that's just not in the deck for this film. What they're looking for is to return faith and trust to the Superman brand and then to capitalize on that with the sequels just like Batman did.
     
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    Last edited: Dec 12, 2012
  21. redhawk23

    redhawk23 Wrestlin'

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    Superman Returns is not at all well loved.
     
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  22. Ultimatehero

    Ultimatehero Life is infinite

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    Unsure where anyone said it was?

    If you say me? I'm comparing it to BATMAN & ROBIN for crying out loud lol.

    I'm saying June didn't kill Hulk - Hulk killed Hulk. People hated Hulk, thus "fool me once, shame on me. fool me twice, don't even both - I'm not going."
     
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  23. redhawk23

    redhawk23 Wrestlin'

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    How do you guys think April's films will do?

    Its kind of a weird genre mix with Oblivion, but then also two horror films, with Evil Dead and Lords of Salem. Lords will probably see only a very limited release knowing Anchor Bay. Evil Dead I think should have been scheduled for August. For whatever reason, horror films seem to do well then.
     
    #23
  24. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    Would any of those films do big business had they been released during may or july?

    honest question.
     
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  25. redhawk23

    redhawk23 Wrestlin'

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    Not of that year. The Summer of 2008 was stacked, or maybe it just seemed that way because that was year I started seeing a lot more films than I had previously due to having a job and such. I honestly think Hulk would have done better in 09. Marvel Studios didn't have anything out that year, whereas in June of 08, Iron Man was still tearing it up to a certain degree, and TDK was not far off in the horizon. There seemed to be long stretches in July of 2009 where we had basically nothing, except crap like G-Force.
     
    #25
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