Weekend Forecast (09/01-02)
01 (01) ¥328,000,000 ($3.0 million), -21%, ¥1,360,000,000 ($12.2 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥304,000,000 ($2.7 million), -18%, ¥2,400,000,000 ($21.6 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (---) ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥420,000,000 ($3.8 million), Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney) NEW
This weekend is tricky to predict. Saturday is going to be a very, very busy day, thanks to it being the first of the month (national discount day) and the last completely free day before schools/universities start back on Monday. And Sunday will likely be very weak since Saturday will greatly deflate it, and the evening/night showings, in particular, will probably be very slow.
So... expect some great holds across the board, and while Saturday pre-sales do suggest a couple films (other than One Cut of the Dead) could experience a weekend increase, I really think Sunday will be weak enough to lower the overall weekend to probably prevent increases. Still, this weekend is generally very strong every year, and this year's will be no different.
Ant-Man and the Wasp will be aiming to debut atop the box-office, and while it has a fair chance, its pre-sales for Saturday just don't look strong enough to do so despite leading the pack. Marvel films typically have some degree of frontloading to them, so I think it'll fall just shy.