BoX Office Thread

Discussion in 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' started by psylockolussus, Feb 1, 2023.

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BoX office worldwide gross

Poll closed May 2, 2023.
  1. $600 million plus

    66.7%
  2. $700 million plus

    16.7%
  3. $800 million plus

    16.7%
  4. $900 million plus

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. $1 billlion plus

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Joined:
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    Is this going to be first GOTG film to hit the 1 billion mark?

    I think this should outgross both Ant-Man and Marvels Xpecially its opening the summer movie season. But anything above $330 million in North America and $800 million worldwide is good. Though ideally GOTG's final film should outgross the last 2 films.
     
  2. Luigi Futurism

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  4. Ctfxcwatcher Civilian

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    There doesn't seem to be big buzz for this sadly. I think we are looking at a potential massive underperformance here. I hope to be wrong as this is one of the films I was already looking forward too. But everything seems to be pointing to an underpformance.
     
  5. MagnarTheGreat Web Ninja

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    #5 MagnarTheGreat, Apr 23, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2023
  6. AndrewGilkison Superhero

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    I wonder if Marvel is soft on the marketing and promotion for this one because Gunn is now in charge of the competition.
     
  7. Sithborg Gundam Utena

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    Disney likes money too much.
     
  8. AndrewGilkison Superhero

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    I don't know. I don't see a very strong promotion for this movie.
     
  9. Spider-Fan SHHFFL 2014/2019 Champion

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    Wouldn't make sense to spend $200 mil on this and actively sabotage it. Would be like shooting yourself in the face
     
  10. Joined:
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    Most people are watching this is for the Marvel Studios brand and Guardians of the GalaXy instead of James Gunn. So I doubt it.
     
  11. Boom I got nothin'

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    Are presales even reliable indicators of BO these days, post-pandemic?

    I almost never buy my tickets before the day of.
     
  12. MagnarTheGreat Web Ninja

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    GoTG3 presales are being compared to the other recent MCU movies, namely BP2, Thor 4, AntMan3.

    Marvel (along with Star Wars) is more heavily dependent upon presales than most other franchises.

    Right now it looks like between a $12.6M and $16.5M Thursday preview for Guardians based on the current presales according to M37's sales data on BoT.

    Thor4: $29M preview, $144,165,107 opening weekend (4.97 multiplier)
    BP2: $28M preview, $181,339,761 opening weekend (6.48 multiplier)
    AM3: $15.5M preview, $106,109,650 opening weekend (6.85 multiplier)

    Guardians 3
    12.6M * 4.97 = $62.2M opening weekend
    12.6M * 6.48 = $81.6M opening weekend
    12.6M * 6.85 = $86.3M opening weekend
    16.5M * 4.97 = $82.0M opening weekend
    16.5M * 6.48 = $106.9M opening weekend
    16.5M * 6.85 = $113.0M opening weekend
     
  13. HammerDown High Tide Or Low Tide

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    That would be bad. 120 would be average at best, below that it’s unthinkable for me anyways.

    Wait a minute I just noticed BOP is predicting between 110-130! Oh dear…
     
    #13 HammerDown, Apr 28, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2023
  14. Zyraquis Civilian

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    Open weekend 110 domestic 280 worldwide 590

    unfortunately buzz remains tepid this late to opening.
     
  15. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Damn, that would be pretty bad to not even get to $600m.
     
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    Definitely not great for pr.
     
  17. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    A lot of people seem to have prebooked weekday showings compared to what I normally see when booking tickets. Anecdotal of course but I’ll take any good sign I can get. :D
     
  18. HammerDown High Tide Or Low Tide

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    'Guardians of the Galaxy 3' Box Office Opening Weekend Projection - Variety
     
  19. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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  20. HammerDown High Tide Or Low Tide

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  21. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Damn, another step lower for domestic. The marketing for this film never blew up. Feels like quite low engagement/general excitement.
     
  22. Filmfreak Sidekick

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    I have a feeling that this will be a pattern for most of the upcoming Marvel films.
     
    legendkillin, Iceman and Ene like this.
  23. Webfoot Hero West Coaster

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    I think Marvel has to rethink how they do marketing for films as they wait almost way too long to get going, likely because they have so many projects in the pipeline that divert their attention and then never give fans a chance to actually miss the MCU.
     
    samsnee and Iceman like this.
  24. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    The marketing for this seems to have been understated and a bit too little too late.
     
  25. Webfoot Hero West Coaster

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    It feels like I've been seeing like only one commercial a night for the last few weeks for it, which just seems strange for a film that's supposed to kick off the summer film season and end one of the MCU's best trilogies. Marvel has been dropping the ball with their marketing for the past couple years.
     
    Iceman likes this.

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