Deadpool Deadpool Box Office Prediction Thread

[I SEE SPIDEY]

It is nice to see another smash R rated sci fi film.

After last year's PG 13 rated Terminator debacle, the success of Deadpool feels so good.

I didn't think February could be a player because of the weather but obviously Deadpool proves that theory wrong.

 

[Blade X]

It's just more evidence that the PG-13 strategy is nonsense and R-rated movies can make money.

Just saying, look what the studios did with Die Hard, RoboCop, and Expandables. Cardinal rule for filmmaking: Don't turn R-rated franchises into PG-13 ones. Fans don't tolerate that nonsense. You can't honey pot the fans with a PG-13 rating.

Every time I think I'm out, they pull me back in. LOL.

1. The first 2 DIE HARD sequels were both rated R and they both sucked. The lesson is that there should have never been a sequel made for DIE HARD, let alone 4 sequels. Some movies just shouldn't have sequels made for them.

2. The ROBOCOP sequels and remake were crap NOT because they were rated PG-13, but because they were not fun and funny like the first movie was, and because the overall stories were crap. Those movies would have sucked even if they were rated R.

3. The first EXPENDABLES movie (which I loved) was a hit not because it was rated R (the movie wasn't that gory or bloody, and had the blood CGI in), but because it was a novelty and the first of it's kind. It's like that Bugs and Daffy cartoon where Daffy blows himself up with his ultimate act, but he could only do it once.

[YT]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjMHOVxd8Yc[/YT]

As for the sequels, I didn't care for the 2nd movie, but I loved the 3rd movie. I'm also pretty sure that those movies would have still done around the same box office even if those movies were rated R. FYI, E2 made more money worldwide then the first movie. The 3rd movie made about $68M less then the first movie worldwide.

OMT, the first ALIENS VS PREDATOR movie, which was rated PG-13, did better then it's R rated sequel. It's all about the story/concept, not the rating that determines whether or not people will enjoy a movie. The only affect that ratings have on a movie is who can watch it (which could effect the box office) and the tie in merchandise for said movies (in regards to merchandise aimed at kids).

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Die Hard With a Vengeance was a good film in my and most fans opinions.

 

[BlackFox]

It's just more evidence that the PG-13 strategy is nonsense and R-rated movies can make money.

Just saying, look what the studios did with Die Hard, RoboCop, and Expandables. Cardinal rule for filmmaking: Don't turn R-rated franchises into PG-13 ones. Fans don't tolerate that nonsense. You can't honey pot the fans with a PG-13 rating.

I wish this could be printed out and stapled to every studio exec's office so they see it every damn day.

 

[Blade X]

On top of that all, Deadpool being this successful now means that blockbuster movies can make money year round. As many of us have been saying for years the release date is irrelevant. If the film and the marketing is good it will be a success. The film will hopefully remove a lot of outdated tactics in Hollywood.

This is very true.

 

[BlackFox]

20th Century Fox’s Deadpool is bigger than anyone thought possible. After posting the biggest opening day in February with $47.5M, the Marvel character has also scored the second biggest day ever during the month with an estimated $41.88M. This now raises Deadpool‘s 3-day take to $133.4M, making it the second best debut ever for the first installment of a superhero property behind Disney/Marvel’s The Avengers ($207.4M). The Tim Miller-directed movie’s 4-day is now projected at $151M per industry calculations; some studios have it as high as $155M over FSSM.

 

[Blade X]

Die Hard With a Vengeance was a good film in my and most fans opinions.

Ticket sales prove that you are wrong.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/search/?q=Die Hard

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

No they don't. It's fine if you don't like it though. I don't like the 4th movie and most fans do. The 4th film copying the buddy format of the 3rd film showed that somebody at the studio thought that it was successful. Why copy a movie that wasn't successful?

 

[antonydelfini]

Ticket sales prove that you are wrong.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/search/?q=Die Hard

Low ticket sales mean that a movie is bad?

 

[marieylee]

$133 Million 3-day?

So, only behind both Avengers, TDK, TDKR and IM3?

Forty-seven percent of the audience on Friday cited Reynolds as the main reason they showed up, while 59% said it was because Deadpool is a superhero movie.

Wow, only 59%. I guess it shows you how great the marketing has been. I know a quite a number of people who went to watch it because they found the viral videos hilarious and that it was marketed more of R-rated comedy.

 

[Blade X]

Low ticket sales mean that a movie is bad?

No, low ticket sales means that most people didn't agree that it was a really good film.

 

[Blade X]

No they don't. It's fine if you don't like it though. I don't like the 4th movie and most fans do. The 4th film copying the buddy format of the 3rd film showed that somebody at the studio thought that it was successful. Why copy a movie that wasn't successful?

But the 3rd movie wasn't financially successful. And I say this as someone who really wanted to like the 3rd film and who thought the overall premise made much more sense as a sequel than the 2nd movie did. And yes, I liked the 3rd DH movie better than the 2nd one, but that's not saying much.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

$133 Million 3-day?

So, only behind both Avengers, TDK, TDKR and IM3?

Avengers 1 and 2
TDK and TDKR
IM3
SP3

Deadpool will be the 7-th biggest superhero and the 17-th overall biggest weekend ever.

Without 3D... rated R ... in February.

 

[Blade X]

$133 Million 3-day?

So, only behind both Avengers, TDK, TDKR and IM3?


Wow, only 59%. I guess it shows you how great the marketing has been. I know a quite a number of people who went to watch it because they found the viral videos hilarious and that it was marketed more of R-rated comedy.

DP is the perfect pitch character for any kind of viral marketing or advertisement of any kind. He's the Flo and Geico lizard of superheroes.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

But the 3rd movie wasn't financially successful. And I say this as someone who really wanted to like the 3rd film and who thought the overall premise made much more sense as a sequel than the 2nd movie did. And yes, I liked the 3rd DH movie better than the 2nd one, but that's not saying much.

Why was the Die Hard 3 (buddy formula) format used for Die Hard 4 and 5 if Die Hard 3 was unsuccessful?

 

[antonydelfini]

No, low ticket sales means that most people didn't agree that it was a really good film.

That's a stretch.

Shawshank Redemption was a beloved movie when it came out. It even got Academy Award recognition. But it had low ticket sales.

BTW, Die Hard 3 is Willis' 5th highest grossing movie worldwide (unadjusted for inflation) and would gross $200 million in North America if adjusted for inflation. It was also 1995's box office champ worldwide.

 

[Zarex]

I almost can't believe the numbers. You know like how last year everything went wrong for Fantastic Four? Everything went right for Deadpool, every single damn thing.

Kinberg, Trank and even the cast of FFINO made it very clear early on that they absolutely HATED the source material, which put the film at a severe disadvantage in comparison to the work of Reynolds and Miller.

 

[Spiderine]

Die Hard 3 without a doubt is my favorite DH sequel. Loved that film. Definite improvement over 2.

I thought DP would do well.....but damn........not like this. This is amazing. And in February?
Hope this is a good year for all comic films coming up.

 

[Spiderine]

Furthermore this should continue to reassure FOX that you don't have to be ashamed of the source material and having a good marketing strategy can go a long way for the success of these films. Of course Deadpool is probably the perfect pitch guy for anything.

 

[The Endless]

Die Hard with a Vengeance is awesome. It's correctly regarded as the second best film in the franchise. It also helped propel Sam Jackson to superstardom.

Anyway this is just unreal. Deadpool with one of the biggest ow of all time. It's insane. I bet this means so much to Reynolds and Miller and Reese and Wernick. It's great to see the "little guy" win. Especially when there is genuine love and passion.

Hell they could make a movie about the making of this movie!

 

[-JKR-]

This is awesome! I always thought it would be a hit, but this... this just turned into a juggernaut!

 

[def28]

Speaking of Juggernaut, I really hope to see him in pt 2 with Cassidy.

But yeah, this is ****ing insane.

 

[jmc]

This kinda puts it all in perspective.

 

[def28]

Haha Awesome

 

[-JKR-]

Considering its word of mouth, I think this is easily going to make $300m in the US alone.

And I always thought $300+m worldwide would have been quite impressive for this - esp. considering its budget!