Deadpool Deadpool Box Office Prediction Thread

[Sithborg]

I found the first TED movie to be underwhelming with very little laughs, so I can believe that the 2nd movie (which I haven't seen yet) was crap.



Yes, but none of that can prevent moviegoers from becoming numb,board, and jaded by the raunchy and bloody/gory hard R rated content and/or the jokes.

So, like pretty much any sequel, they have to work to keep it fresh. Being R rated isn't a special category that makes you more or less likely to be susceptible to this.

 

[def28]

Yes, but none of that can prevent moviegoers from becoming numb,board, and jaded by the raunchy and bloody/gory hard R rated content and/or the jokes.

You seriously need to lay off this Blade X. I know you would prefer it to be PG-13 but you got banned for endlessly going on about the rating less then a week ago. This is now just how it is.

The flick worked and this franchise is more then fine right now. Far more so then most. This is Fox's biggest weekend for a Marvel film and audiences love it. Hopefully the team brings a great sequel and the same passion. End of line.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

There is obviously some history here that I don't know anything about...

Personally R rated films don't offend me but that's just me.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Yes, but none of that can prevent moviegoers from becoming numb,board, and jaded by the raunchy and bloody/gory hard R rated content and/or the jokes.

Considering that the general public loves to watch the same generic stuff -- whether its superhero or rom coms -- over and over again and are largely meh to original content, I think it's safe so say they are not jaded easily.

 

[WilliamK99]

Curious if WB is having second thoughts about Suicide Squad being PG-13? Deadpool just tapped into an audience that proved it can support a superhero movie with an R rating...

 

[Blade X]

The Hangover 2 was a huge smash even though it made a little less. Iron Man 2 did less than Iron Man as well. Why do you insist on only comparing Deadpool to straight comedies? It's an action movie, neither Ted nor the Hangover are action films. Honestly many of the Marvel Studios movies are just as comedic as Deadpool. Your refusal to see Deadpool for what it actually is, is quite frankly baffling to me.

I haven't seen DP yet, but I'm pretty sure that the MCU films (with the possible exception of ANT-MAN) are no where near as comedic as the DEADPOOL movie. And I'm not refusing to see DP for what it is. I was comparing the raunchy hard R rated nature of those movies, not their sub genres. I also compared it to the KUNG-FU PANDA movies, which are action comedy's like DP. That being said, a better example would be the KICK-ASS movies. Regardless, my point was/is that the sequels of these movies could under perform at the box office because the audience has become jaded,bored,and used to the content and running gag/joke in the movies. All I'm saying is that we shouldn't automatically assume that a sequel will do just as good or better than the original movie.

 

[Blade X]

You all told us Deadpool I would flop now the sequel won't do as well. I guess X-Force will fail too

What do you mean "you all". I said that the DP movie was going to be a hit and I'm saying that there is no guarantee that a sequel will be a guaranteed hit.

 

[-JKR-]

Curious if WB is having second thoughts about Suicide Squad being PG-13? Deadpool just tapped into an audience that proved it can support a superhero movie with an R rating...

I would've loved if they had allowed David Ayer to make Suicide Squad R-rated. It's a great property to explore through a harder rating. But it's fine.

And it wouldn't make sense having any second thoughts now. When filming you're aiming for a certain rating the way you shoot action scenes and violence and the way you tell the story. Once you're set for a PG-13 rating, a tacked on R-rated version can never feel as natural as if they had shot it with that rating in mind.

 

[-JKR-]

I haven't seen DP yet, but I'm pretty sure that the MCU films (with the possible exception of ANT-MAN) are no where near as comedic as the DEADPOOL movie. And I'm not refusing to see DP for what it is. I was comparing the raunchy hard R rated nature of those movies, not their sub genres. I also compared it to the KUNG-FU PANDA movies, which are action comedy's like DP. That being said, a better example would be the KICK-ASS movies. Regardless, my point was/is that the sequels of these movies could under perform at the box office because the audience has become jaded,bored,and used to the content and running gag/joke in the movies. All I'm saying is that we shouldn't automatically assume that a sequel will do just as good or better than the original movie.

But that's the case with any movie, even a G-rated one. It depends on the movie.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I haven't seen DP yet, but I'm pretty sure that the MCU films (with the possible exception of ANT-MAN) are no where near as comedic as the DEADPOOL movie. And I'm not refusing to see DP for what it is. I was comparing the raunchy hard R rated nature of those movies, not their sub genres. I also compared it to the KUNG-FU PANDA movies, which are action comedy's like DP. That being said, a better example would be the KICK-ASS movies. Regardless, my point was/is that the sequels of these movies could under perform at the box office because the audience has become jaded,bored,and used to the content and running gag/joke in the movies. All I'm saying is that we shouldn't automatically assume that a sequel will do just as good or better than the original movie.

Guardians of the Galaxy and the 2nd and 3rd Iron Man films are pretty much comedies. I'd say the same for the Avengers as well. I'd say Winter Soldier was the only Marvel film that didn't have a lot of comedy in it. Marvel in general leans on comedy pretty heavily and that has worked for them in spades.

 

[Blade X]

Now here's the biggie question. Since it has such love by the audience more than critics with 96% audience praise compared to 84% critical acclaim on Rotten Tomatoes, an extensive marketing campaign that is akin to Star Wars and such love for this character, do u guys think Deadpool could end up as the first R-rated film of all time towns its worldwide total with $1 billion worldwide, even now with a record breaking opening weekend it's about to have?

Nope. However, I do think that it might gross a worldwide total of $300M to $400M, which would be pretty damn good.

And, do u think with Deadpool's record-breaking opening, do you guys think there's hope that the other Marvel movies in Phase Three could have a 3-day opening weekend of $100M+ like Dr. Strange and Black Panther and Inhumans?

It's possible, but I doubt it.

 

[DieSmiling]

But that's the case with any movie, even a G-rated one. It depends on the movie.

Do they even make G rated movies anymore? I feel like virtually all kids movies are PG these days -- shoot, Frozen was PG.

 

[-JKR-]

Do they even make G rated movies anymore? I feel like virtually all kids movies are PG these days -- shoot, Frozen was PG.

The last G-rated movie was Peanuts, which came out a few months ago. But mine was pretty much just an exaggeration to bring the point across in a more striking way.

 

[Marvel]

Even though after one viewing I'm placing Deadpool in the "fun but overrated" category I'm thrilled about the box office. It shows that "R" can work and best of all puts all the "comic book movie fatigue" crap talk to bed for a while.

Here's hoping Old Man Logan gets a bump to "R" by Fox!!!

 

[Blade X]

And again. You were against the rating, and that's fine. That's your opinion. But Deadpool is heading towards a $130m opening weekend, so your box office predictions were quite off.

Everyone's box office predictions for this movie were off. So what's your point?

Are now we're really talking about the sequel possibly flopping? Seriously? Are you on a crusade?

Seriously, do you enjoy reading too much into the statements of people that you disagree with? Go back and carefully reread my original posts on the sequels then get back to me later.

 

[-JKR-]

Everyone's box office predictions for this movie were off. So what's your point?

I don't have a point. I just noticed how you kept ranting about the R-rating decreasing the movie's possibilities at the box office, and now that it's opening to huge success, you've moved over to talk about how it's gonna affect the sequel in a negative way. It seems like a continuous stream of you talking about how bad it is that Deadpool is not PG-13.

But you're totally right. I should just back off instead of reading so much into any of your comments.

 

[Incarnadine]

Nope. However, I do think that it might gross a worldwide total of $300M to $400M, which would be pretty damn good.



It's possible, but I doubt it.

I hope you meant $300M to $400M Overseas rather than Worldwide. The early Saturday estimate is 41-43m giving it about $90m in 2 days (counting previews) with the 4 day total likely to be 140-150m. Deadpool could make a run at 300+ Domestic.

 

[Eddie]

Curious if WB is having second thoughts about Suicide Squad being PG-13? Deadpool just tapped into an audience that proved it can support a superhero movie with an R rating...

I've been hearing for awhile now that Suicide Squad cost 200 million just to make (wouldn't have guessed it during production, but then, I've heard 300+ on BvS). I don't think we're that much closer to $200,000,000 R rated films.

 

[Blade X]

Moviegoers can get bored by PG-13 action and comedy, as well. So that doesn't really mean anything.........

Of course, I never said that they didn't. However, once audiences are exposed to the most graphic raunchy content of a film (which was touted by some as being the main selling point of this movie) from the jump, then there is nothing else that can be done to "shock" the audience in regards to the graphic content. That all being said, my main point applies to ALL movies regardless of the ratings (which is why I sited the PG rated KUNG-FU PANDA movie sequels as another example of this type of thing happening).

 

[Blade X]

So, like pretty much any sequel, they have to work to keep it fresh. Being R rated isn't a special category that makes you more or less likely to be susceptible to this.

Very true. However, often times filmmakers overly rely on the R rated content as a selling point of the sequels by ratcheting it up. Hopefully the filmmakers will keep this franchise fresh regardless of the rating.

 

[Marvel]

Thinking more about these amazing numbers...

I paid to see it both days and I'm not even a big Deadpool fan. If I had to list my top 50 Marvel characters, I don't think Deadpool would crack the top fifty. Yet, here I am talking it up on other movie sites and supporting it fully. They captured lightning in a bottle and didn't even know it. Marvel fans WANT an "R" rated movie and we want to support anyone like Ryan who is passionate about a pure translation from book to screen. The fan base was energized!

That and the best damn marketing of a film this century.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

A tacked on R rating is just as bad as a tacked on PG-13 rating.

 

[Blade X]

You seriously need to lay off this Blade X. I know you would prefer it to be PG-13 but you got banned for endlessly going on about the rating less then a week ago. This is now just how it is.

First of all, I didn't get ban. I got an infraction/warning, for "GASP" responding back to people who were debating me about my opinion. And yes, I thought that warning/infraction was unjustly given to me.

Second of all, why don't you give a warning to the poster who first called me out on this thread? Of course, you won't do that because he agrees with your opinion.

Thirdly, this is less about my opinion of the rating and more about me simply saying that there is no guarantee that a sequel will be a hit (REGARDLESS OF THE RATING). Nothing more, nothing less.

The flick worked and this franchise is more then fine right now. Far more so then most. This is Fox's biggest weekend for a Marvel film and audiences love it. Hopefully the team brings a great sequel and the same passion. End of line.

Which is something that I acknowledged despite not having seen the movie yet.

 

[Blade X]

Considering that the general public loves to watch the same generic stuff -- whether its superhero or rom coms -- over and over again and are largely meh to original content, I think it's safe so say they are not jaded easily.

The success of DP is proof that they are open to original takes on genres films if they are marketed well.

 

[-Arya-]

I'm still not certain how well this movie will do overseas. Domestically, I think it'll reach 300M, but anyone's guess is as good as mine about OS.