General Election 2020: Biden vs Trump

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national polling averages at FiveThirtyEight.com
19 days before election 2016:
H. Clinton 45.4% (H. Clinton +6.6) (15.8% were third party or undecideds)
19 days before election 2020: Biden 52.2% (Biden +10.3) (5.8% are third parties or undecideds)
Not all leading margins are equally secure: a big difference is the amount of third party voters and undecideds. There's less than half as many in 2020 as in 2016.
True, plus all the votes already cast which hopefully line up with this.
 
2020 General Election Early Vote Statistics

Voters have cast a total of 15,062,564 ballots in the reporting states.

Democrats are doing well in participating in the early vote, however most Republicans don't plan to vote until election day so that shaves that advantage considerably.

exit polls: electorate
2016: 36% Democrats, 33% Republicans, 31% independents
2018: 37% Democrats, 33% Republicans, 30% independents
 
national polling averages at FiveThirtyEight.com
19 days before election 2016:
H. Clinton 45.4% (H. Clinton +6.6) (15.8% were third party or undecideds)
19 days before election 2020: Biden 52.2% (Biden +10.3) (5.8% are third parties or undecideds)
Not all leading margins are equally secure: a big difference is the amount of third party voters and undecideds. There's less than half as many in 2020 as in 2016.

Actually just a little over 1/3.....sounds better. :cwink:
 
COVID getting anywhere near Biden is a worrying thought.

That's why he would've wanted an in person town hall debate with Biden to infect him. If you remember how Trump was stalking Clinton in 2016 and coming right behind her. He could've done the same thing and coughed on Biden.

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Then like all pantomime villains, the audience would have to shout "he's behind you!"
 


Even Rupert Murdoch sees the writing on the wall. Has he told Frau Ingraham, Judge 'Whine' Jeannine, Inanity, and Tuck Carlson yet?
 
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