Guardians of the Galaxy Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[InCali]

$7 million yesterday, so about $183 million domestic going into the weekend.

That was a good, solid first week. I thought 40M was optimistic, but possible, and it came in just a few million under that. 68M is just a couple under my optimistic 70M. So, if those figures hold, I'd say that is a very, very strong first 10 days.

EDIT: I'd say that with about 250M by the end of the weekend and anything approaching a 70M weekend, we are definitely looking at quite high 300Ms and possibly reaching 400M. Those are very, very good numbers.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

I'm not ready to buy into $400 million just yet, but I feel a lot better about $350 million.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Let's hope we continue giving it money through today and into the weekend starting tomorrow. I know I will. Seeing it again tomorrow in IMAX 3D.

 

[harryoscop]

I'm seeing it again tomorrow as well.

 

[InCali]

I'm not ready to buy into $400 million just yet, but I feel a lot better about $350 million.

Yeah. I didn't mean to imply that I thought it was going to reach 400M. That's optimistic to be sure. "If" it can hit 70M this weekend (a stretch, but that's what BOM is guessing), I think it puts 400M in play. Given the 2nd weekend generally shows the most significant drop, a 3X multiplier from the 2nd weekend BO #s isn't really out of the question. That would put it right on the heels of 400M.

That's the logic I used anyway.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Early results for the weekend put it at $62 million, which would be 58% drop. That would be pretty much par for the course for CBMs these days.

http://deadline.com/2017/05/king-ar...e-galaxy-vol-2-weekend-box-office-1202091662/

King Arthur cratering hard to $16 million, may open in third place. Ouch.

 

[InCali]

Early results for the weekend put it at $62 million, which would be 58% drop. That would be pretty much par for the course for CBMs these days.

http://deadline.com/2017/05/king-ar...e-galaxy-vol-2-weekend-box-office-1202091662/

King Arthur cratering hard to $16 million, may open in third place. Ouch.

That's not ultra surprising; just not optimistic. Still, that would make me think a final total of about 360-370.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

I was thinking a little lower, like 340-350, but maybe I'm just pessimistic.

 

[InCali]

I was thinking a little lower, like 340-350, but maybe I'm just pessimistic.

Oh god....another Marvel hater.....t:

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm thinking 365-385 m.

Don't forget the Memorial Day weekend bump.

 

[InCali]

I'm thinking 365-385 m.

Don't forget the Memorial Day weekend bump.

Oh god.....another Marvel apologist and DCEU hater....

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Oh god....another Marvel hater.....t:

Yup, ya got me! Hail Snyder! t:

 

[Tony Stark]

deadline estimates are against matinees only. I think the numbers will go up, probably -55% King Arthur is tracking at 15M, so I think a lot of people are going to opt for guardians instead.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/05/king-ar...led-at-the-box-office-guy-ritchie-1202092765/

King Arthur is expected to fall third behind Disney/Marvel’s second weekend of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 at $60M (-59% with 10-day cume of $243.1M), and 20th Century Fox/Chernin Entertainment’s R-rated Amy Schumer-Goldie Hawn movie Snatched with $16M.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Estimates dropping for all the films. GotG 62 > 60, Snatched 20 > 16, Arthur 16 > 14. Just looks like a slow weekend at the box office.

 

[iEquinox]

Friday estimate is $16,427,000 according to boxofficemojo.

Looks like it will get a weekend around 60M, so a 59% drop, pretty much like other MCU sequels (CW and AoU both had a 59% drop as well)

 

[HammerDown]

The predictions for the weekend are around 60M which it would mean GOTG2 would end up with 245M domestically after its second weekend. GOTG did 176M. So a 69M increase from the first movie.

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http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-bomb-king-arthur-limps-14m-debut-behind-statched-1003531

14M for King Arthur! BOMB!

 

[MadVillainy]

Wow I didn't think Snatched would do that well. I didn't see any promo for it.
Never even saw the trailer before any movies

 

[iEquinox]

The predictions for the weekend are around 60M which it would mean GOTG2 would end up with 245M domestically after its second weekend. GOTG did 176M. So a 69M increase from the first movie.

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http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-bomb-king-arthur-limps-14m-debut-behind-statched-1003531

14M for King Arthur! BOMB!

14M domestic OW with a $175M production budget for arthur. Ouch.

International isn't much better either with a 6.8M opening day overseas. It might not even make it to $100M WW.
At least GotG won't have to worry about competition from that movie lol

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/05/king-ar...led-at-the-box-office-guy-ritchie-1202092765/

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 at $61.9M (-58% with 10-day cume of $245M, 39% ahead of GOTG at same point in time)

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Oh god.....another Marvel apologist and DCEU hater....

I can't resist those Disney bribes!

 

[Raiden]

Wow I didn't think Snatched would do that well. I didn't see any promo for it.
Never even saw the trailer before any movies

I think it's counter programming for women who didn't want to see Baby Groot (for shame!)
t:

 

[Chesterfield]

How the hell did KA get a budget of $175M?

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/t...-s-gotg2-164m-arthur-53m-snatched-5m/?page=45

27.6 m on Saturday (68% increase).

 

[LucDisfilm19]

I wonder about something. If Guardians 2 makes $65M this weekend and has a less steeper drop than the other Marvel sequels, could it manage to barely top Alien: Covenant next week or tie it with $37-40M for both movies? Because right now, Box Office Pro predicts a $37M OW for A:C.