Guardians of the Galaxy Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[ultradog]

Im gonna probably agree with Scott Mendelson and say $875M WW may be where Guardians 2 ends up.

As was pointed out above, Mendelson didn't really say that. In any case, I would call $875M very optimistic, but possible.

 

[Hammer!]

http://screenrant.com/guardians-galaxy-2-box-office-800-million/
http://comicbook.com/marvel/2017/05/31/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-800-million/
https://www.flickeringmyth.com/2017...reaches-800-million-at-the-global-box-office/
https://www.thestreet.com/story/141...ans-sequel-blast-to-800-million-globally.html
http://deadline.com/2017/05/pirates...orldwide-box-office-marvel-disney-1202104964/
https://variety.com/2017/film/news/...ldwide-box-office-800-million-1202448679/amp/
http://www.msn.com/en-us/lifestyle/...breaks-dollar800-million-worldwide/vp-BBBKGCR
https://www.google.com/amp/s/geekso...-vol-2-blasts-over-800-million-worldwide/amp/
http://m.imdb.com/news/ni61156407?p...rd_s=center-6&pf_rd_t=15061&pf_rd_i=homepage&
https://www.google.com/amp/www.comi...g-800m-today-pirates-5-adds-39-4m-tuesday/amp
http://on.aol.co.uk/video/guardians...00-million-worldwide-592f523f9e45105fa196e7d2
http://gamerpunk.net/box-office-guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-passes-800-million-worldwide/

Lol come on with the snarky garbage dude. If Guards 2 hasn't crossed $800 million today, then these sites shouldn't post this stuff - false news ain't cool.

 

[Hammer!]

Mendelson is clearly insinuating that he expects this film to make around $875.

 

[TheVileOne]

Which is still higher than this.

 

[ultradog]

Lol come on with the snarky garbage dude. If Guards 2 hasn't crossed $800 million today, then these sites shouldn't post this stuff - false news ain't cool.

Hammer, I apologize for my attitude. I did a quick google search before I posted my comment, and didn't see any of these at the time, so couldn't see where you were coming from. I asked for a dozen and damn if you didn't give them to me

Funny, a lot of the sites quote Variety and post stuff like this: "The movie passed the $800 million mark on Tuesday with earnings of $342.7 million in North America and $454.7 million internationally." Doh! Those numbers don't add up to $800M! I don't look at these hype sites, just the numbers sites. Perhaps they typically jump the gun like this so that they are seen as "up to the minute". Anybody who waits the 2 days to print the truth at this point will look like they are 2 days behind.

 

[iEquinox]

http://screenrant.com/guardians-galaxy-2-box-office-800-million/
http://comicbook.com/marvel/2017/05/31/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-800-million/
https://www.flickeringmyth.com/2017...reaches-800-million-at-the-global-box-office/
https://www.thestreet.com/story/141...ans-sequel-blast-to-800-million-globally.html
http://deadline.com/2017/05/pirates...orldwide-box-office-marvel-disney-1202104964/
https://variety.com/2017/film/news/...ldwide-box-office-800-million-1202448679/amp/
http://www.msn.com/en-us/lifestyle/...breaks-dollar800-million-worldwide/vp-BBBKGCR
https://www.google.com/amp/s/geekso...-vol-2-blasts-over-800-million-worldwide/amp/
http://m.imdb.com/news/ni61156407?p...rd_s=center-6&pf_rd_t=15061&pf_rd_i=homepage&
https://www.google.com/amp/www.comi...g-800m-today-pirates-5-adds-39-4m-tuesday/amp
http://on.aol.co.uk/video/guardians...00-million-worldwide-592f523f9e45105fa196e7d2
http://gamerpunk.net/box-office-guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-passes-800-million-worldwide/

Lol come on with the snarky garbage dude. If Guards 2 hasn't crossed $800 million today, then these sites shouldn't post this stuff - false news ain't cool.

Not all of those websites are stating it passed $800M on Tuesday.

But some of those sites did make that mistake. It didn't pass $800M on Tuesday. I think Deadline was the first to publish an article saying it was probably going to pass $800M on wednesday(Read their article, you even linked it here). I guess when they said "today", other journalists thought that, since wednesday numbers weren't in yet, they were talking about tuesday. But they weren't.

The dozens of sites earlier proclaiming Guards 2 officially crossed $800 million should probably take their stories' down then.

The Tuesday total was $797,422,917. So yeah, the articles stating it passed $800M on Tuesday should probably take them down, since they're flatout wrong.

It's just another case of media misinterpreting an atricle, posting a false one, and other outlets then jumping the gun to copy paste it for their website without checking if it's actually correct (some of them are even contradicting themselves in the article ). It's best to actually read the articles and look for sources before believing their headlines, since stuff like this happens all the time.

Like I said, GotG2 probably passed - or got very close to - $800M on wednesday. And if it didn't pass it on wednesday, it will definitely pass it on thursday.

EDIT: It seems like they even overestimated the Tuesday total. It was actually $796,921,652. After adding wednesday's domestic number that gives it $798,533,381, which is still about $1.5M short of the $800M mark. Since it made 2.6M OS on Monday+Tuesday combined, it didn't pass the $800M mark yet by the end of wednesday, but it will definitely pass it on thursday, like I said.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

They're saying Guardians 2 passed $800M on Wednesday, yesterday, they were just reporting Tuesday's numbers yesterday.

 

[ultradog]

5/31 (day 27) domestic: $1,611,729

Totals as of 6/1/17:
Domestic Box Office $344,334,646
International Box Office $454,614,200
Worldwide Box Office $798,948,846

GotG2 has beaten the dailies of Age of Ultron for 7 straight weekdays now, excluding Memorial Day. Let's see if and when it can beat AoU on a weekend. This weekend is a tough matchup against Wonder Woman, but perhaps starting next weekend it can start beating AoU.

If it matched AoU from here on, it would finish with $388M. So $400M is pretty optimistic, but it can't be ruled out.

 

[TheVileOne]

I just think summer season is too crowded to actually reach $400 million.

 

[iEquinox]

As I expected, GotG2 is holding on to its theaters well. It will only lose 364 theaters, and will still be playing in 3,507 theaters this weekend.

That's more than Age of Ultron (3,228), Civil War (3,084) and Iron Man 3 (2,895). And only a little behind The Avengers (3,670). The weak wide releases over the past few weeks definitely seem to be helping in that respect.

That being said, I don't know why boxofficemojo is being so very optimistic with their weekend prediction. They're predicting $13.5M, which seems like a lot after a $20.9M holiday weekend, with direct competition opening agianst it.
A 13.5M weekend would mean a weekend drop of only 35.6%.
That's much better than AoU (47.5%), CW(49.1%), IM3(56.3%) and even The Avengers(44.2%).

It's only a little bit ahead of Age of Ultron's daily gross, and AoU made $11.4M, with significantly weaker, and less direct, competition to fight against (its only real competition was San Andreas which opened to 54.6M). I think the weekend number will be closer to AoU's $11.4M this weekend.

 

[ultradog]

I don't know why boxofficemojo is being so very optimistic with their weekend prediction. They're predicting $13.5M, which seems like a lot after a $20.9M holiday weekend, with direct competition opening against it.
A 13.5M weekend would mean a weekend drop of only 35.6%.
That's much better than AoU (47.5%), CW(49.1%), IM3(56.3%) and even The Avengers(44.2%).

It's only a little bit ahead of Age of Ultron's daily gross, and AoU made $11.4M, with significantly weaker, and less direct, competition to fight against (its only real competition was San Andreas which opened to 54.6M). I think the weekend number will be closer to AoU's $11.4M this weekend.

I agree, I thought $11M this weekend would be great considering WW. But if it manages to do better than $12M, that bodes really well for it reaching $400M domestic. Its legs seem to be gaining strength every week over last.

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

Damn, so the covfefe is hitting the fan and the fake news is even spreading to BO returns? Do those dastardly Russians know no bounds?!

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Continues to hold well.

Disney/Marvel’s Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol 2 looks like $3M today and a fifth weekend of $11.5M, -45% for an estimated running cume of $357.2M by Sunday.

http://deadline.com/2017/06/wonder-woman-captain-underpants-weekend-box-office-opening-1202106462/

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Box Office Mojo officially has Guardians 2 at $800M WW, though since it passed it on Wednesday, BOM should've reported the overseas numbers earlier. My guess is by Sunday, it'll barely hit $820M WW. $850M WW is now likely. $875M WW is still possible, so let's see what happens.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Deadline now backing down to 9.5, -55 for the weekend. Will be interesting to see if they are underestimating Sunday again.

 

[iEquinox]

Friday estimate is $2,667,000

Should end up somewhere close to $10M this weekend.
Deadline is saying $9.7M.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Friday estimate is $2,667,000

Should end up somewhere close to $10M this weekend.
Deadline is saying $9.7M.

If it has higher increases in Saturday and 25% drops on Sunday, it should end up with say maybe $10.5M (-50%) for $355M in 31 days, which would be $80M ahead of Guardians 1, although on Monday, it'll go down to $75M ahead of Guardians 1.

 

[chicagodave]

So proud of this movie looks like this will still be the box office king for the summer, WW is doing good but not great. Spidey has a chance to dethrone but kudos to Gunn and marvel they just keep bringing it.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=marvel17a.htm

Domestic: 355,474
Foreign: 461,100
Worldwide: 816,574

GOTG Vol 2 is already at 355 million DOM after this weekend. This is fantastic. Initially I thought it'll finish it's run at 355 million but Vol 2 should easily reach 372-375 million nao. Great result for Vol 2.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

Coming at the back of a 10 million weekend, I think late legs will push the DOM over 380 million mark.

 

[TheVileOne]

Not sure it will make it that high with all the new movies coming out, but we'll see. It's tough with the summer movie season because movies only have one or two weekends now before they get replaced.

 

[Iceman]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=marvel17a.htm



GOTG Vol 2 is already at 355 million DOM after this weekend. This is fantastic. Initially I thought it'll finish it's run at 355 million but Vol 2 should easily reach 372-375 million nao. Great result for Vol 2.

Yeah, looking good both dom and overseas. If there was any doubt then GotG 3 happening for sure now!

 

[HammerDown]

That's a decent drop for this particular weekend in comparison to the first GOTG which did 17M. GOTG2 is still 80M ahead in total though.

 

[Grootster]

Any chance this movie will break the 1 billion mark and/or possibly become the highest-grossing movie of the year?

 

[chicagodave]

Any chance this movie will break the 1 billion mark and/or possibly become the highest-grossing movie of the year?

Not likely on either count but it has a chance of being the highest for the summer will see how Spidey does. Still its a huge success for marvel.