No Way Home Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Discussion in 'Spider-Man: No Way Home' started by Detective Conan, Jun 9, 2021.

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How Much Do You Think This Will Make?

  1. Over $1 billion

    39 vote(s)
    72.2%
  2. $900 mil - $ 1 billion

    5 vote(s)
    9.3%
  3. $800 mil - $900 mil

    7 vote(s)
    13.0%
  4. $700 mil - $600 mil

    2 vote(s)
    3.7%
  5. $600 mil - $500 mil

    1 vote(s)
    1.9%
  6. $500 mil - $400 mil

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. $400 mil - $300 mil

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. $300 mil- $200 mil

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Under $200 million

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. The Caped Knight Shield Avenger

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    The proof is in the product, Two Spider-Man films In the MCU made a billion dollars. Something Sony didn't do with all their previous Spider-Man films or spinoff.
     
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  2. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Yeah, they’re going to try and do more like this haha.
     
  3. metaphysician Not a Side-Kick

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    "Proof" is probably stretching things a tad, especially in light of inflation. . . but yeah. Certainly neither of the TASM movies came close, and I strongly suspect that without Marvel's involvement, more TASM is exactly what you would have gotten out of Sony going it alone.
     
  4. GuestStar2004 Registered

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    Lets be honest. FFH made a billion because it was on the shoulders of the MCU. Riding that wave of Endgame and Infinity War. As really FFH isn't exactly a billion-dollar movie. And with HC it's hard to deny there is a reason why they included RDJ.

    NWH made over a billion because it had Endgame/Infinity War hype to it.
     
  5. Dweet Registered

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    Happy its doing so well. It deserves it.
     
  6. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    Bottom line is that Spidey does better at the box office when the MCU is involved because there are more interesting characters he can interact with. A solo Spidey will do well in just about any world, but as part of the MCU, it's just more interesting.

    It occurs to me that Marvel seems to be moving in the direction of more characters interacting in their "solo" movies rather than complete focus being on a single character as in some of the earlier phases. I'm thinking of movies like Civil War, Ragnarok, NWH, and, upcoming, Dr Strange and Thor. I think it makes for a more interesting movie. When Avengers hit, maybe they started thinking that they were REALLY on to something as opposed to true standalone movies focusing almost exclusively on a single character.
     
  7. Spider-Fan SHHFFL 2014/2019 Champion

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    Let's be fair, the Tobey movies are effectively billion dollar films once you factor in inflation
     
  8. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    The first 2, in particular, were as successful as just about any movie out there at the time. I never use inflation as a factor when evaluating box office. I think it's better to compare it to the movies of its time. The comparisons over time have too many variables to really do accurately.
     
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  9. Green Goblin Crawling on walls

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    Harry Potter and Lord Of The Rings were more popular, globally. I think a few Pirates movies too.
     
  10. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    Yeah. That's entirely possible. Still, there aren't a lot of movies during that time that measure up. I would put them in the same ballpark though; and that's a really nice ballpark. :D
     
  11. The Caped Knight Shield Avenger

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    Well our favorite Wall-crawling spider is about to swing past $600m soon domestically


    Go Spidey Go!!!!
     
  12. The Caped Knight Shield Avenger

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  13. The Caped Knight Shield Avenger

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    20220102_130639.jpg
     
    #213 The Caped Knight, Jan 2, 2022
    Last edited: Jan 2, 2022
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  14. Green Goblin Crawling on walls

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    I think it'll surpass The Avengers.
     
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  15. Mysteryman Registered

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    Just be happy with what it’s done so far.
    With the pandemic, this could have gone either way.
     
  16. Nardz937 In The Chill Of Night

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    2 billion looking promising. It's getting a China release, right?
     
  17. kguillou Registered

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    I predict it'll finish JUST above The Avengers which would be an INCREDIBLE result for this movie in a pandemic and without China!

    My goodness though, it easily would've sailed to 2 billion if it didnt have those two aforementioned roadblocks though. So its performance now just further demonstrates how well this is hitting with global audiences everywhere.
     
    #217 kguillou, Jan 2, 2022
    Last edited: Jan 2, 2022
  18. RetrogradeOrbit Do I look like I'm joking?

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    I've always considered ticket sales to be a better comparison, especially when there are a lot of years between the movies being compared...

    Edit
    I meant the total number of tickets sold, this to me gives a better number as to how many people saw the movie. Which surely is a better indication of popularity?
     
    #218 RetrogradeOrbit, Jan 2, 2022
    Last edited: Jan 7, 2022
  19. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    I think that's what "inflation" tries to do, but, here's the thing. Streaming D+, HBOMax, etc weren't a thing in that era. Gaming has become much bigger. There are more movies and release windows are shorter. Bottom line is that the times they have changed and different types of entertainment exist. Also, it may be that ticket prices don't necessarily track inflation in general. This could mean that ticket prices are relatively cheaper or more expensive. I just don't see a way to compare those apples to those oranges.
     
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  20. Mysteryman Registered

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    I don’t believe it has a China release at this time.
     
  21. DlAMONDZ Registered

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    This is going to settle around 1.7 billion if it doesn't get a China release which is unfathomable

    This really had Endgame potential in normal times
     
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  22. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    The weekday numbers are still looking good with Xmas and New Years out of the way. Hopefully this is here to stay for a good while.
     
  23. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    Yeah. This is a slow time of the year (which makes mid/late December releases a good time of the year) and I don't see anything on the horizon that will cause NWH any major issues until The Batman. I'm not saying it will stay at the top of the charts until then, but there's nothing really big hitting the screens any time soon.
     
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  24. The Caped Knight Shield Avenger

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  25. Nardz937 In The Chill Of Night

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    NWH released under very compromised circumstances in Canada. I have a feeling when things simmer down again probably in spring/summer it's going to get another run.
     
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