No Way Home No Way Home Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

[Silver Surfer]

BOT guys are saying the Omicron effect is finally here, expect an extraordinarily gigantic drop this weekend.

 

[Dragon_316ca]

It's official: NWH joins the billion-dollar club.

 

[Iceman]

BOT guys are saying the Omicron effect is finally here, expect an extraordinarily gigantic drop this weekend.

I guess it’s inevitable but hopefully leads to longer legs as people postpone rather than cancel planned cinema visits.

 

[samsnee]

I think it would have hit $2B in normal times and both studios know it.

 

[Iceman]

I think it would have hit $2B in normal times and both studios know it.

Feel like a strong possibility given what we’re seeing despite all the restrictions and people less willing to go. Certainly with a China release too.

 

[Silver Surfer]

As expected, massive drop.

 

[The Caped Knight]

Tom Holland has been in several projects in the MCU that have spun into the billion dollars club . That's an impressive accomplishment for the actor.

1. Captain America: Civil War
2. Avengers: Infinity War
3. Avengers: Endgame
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home
5. Spider-Man: No Way Home

 

[The Caped Knight]

 

[Primal Slayer]

Hits a billion at the BO and they still arent outwardly promoting all 3 Spideys! Come on!

 

[Primal Slayer]

Just a fun look at the Spidermens domestic BO.

 

[Iceman]

Hits a billion at the BO and they still arent outwardly promoting all 3 Spideys! Come on!

They’re taking this “secret” to the grave.

 

[Iceman]

Just a fun look at the Spidermens domestic BO.
View attachment 51847

This one is going to finish a long way out in front, although the first couple of Raimi films are very old and were huge in their day.

 

[psylockolussus]

Wow kaching kaching $ony! Fitting that its the highe$t gro$$ing $pider-Man movie given whos in it!

 

[Dragon_316ca]

 

[kguillou]

Kind of crazy how movies need to gross 1B to be in the black but thats a convo for another day. Lets see how far this baby can go!

 

[metaphysician]

Kind of crazy how movies need to gross 1B to be in the black but thats a convo for another day. Lets see how far this baby can go!

Eh, most movies don't. Even No Time To Die, whose budget ballooned pretty severely, still "only" needed to make 700M or so to break even. Insofar as this idea has any truth, its more about a movie needing to make a billion in order to "meet expectations" on revenue. Those expectations are based one half in "we aren't investing hundreds of millions of dollars just to break even, we are doing it to earn major profits", and one half in "our business model is built around having at least a few blockbuster successes pay for the costs of our entire studio operation". A movie making less than a 100M of profit in theaters might mean that other, money-losing, movie productions put the studio into the red, and definitely would have investors asking pointed question about why they didn't just put their money in index funds.

( And a lot of it probably isn't based in reality, but Hollywood Accounting. "Oh, that movie won't make a profit unless it breaks a billion!" Which coincidentally means they don't need to pay taxes or royalties on it, because it didn't make a profit. Hollywood has nearly a century of experience at "losing" money when its convenient. Did you ever wonder why Hollywood seems to produce so many money-sink award's bait films? This is part of the reason. )

 

[mclay18]

It’s crazy seeing how this movie continues to pillage the box office.

 

[The Caped Knight]

 

[Primal Slayer]

This talk about the Mulitverse wherein Spiderman had never become part of the MCU....how do you think the Tom-Trilogy wouldve done BO wise?

 

[InCali]

That was a very sharp 2nd weekend drop, but you would expect that from a movie that grossed that much in the first week in COVID times.

 

[The Caped Knight]

‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Is Sony’s Top-Grossing Movie Ever At $1.16 Billion – Deadline

 

[InCali]

‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ Is Sony’s Top-Grossing Movie Ever At $1.16 Billion – Deadline

Does Marvel get a cut of the money? Did they share in expenses?

 

[InCali]

This talk about the Mulitverse wherein Spiderman had never become part of the MCU....how do you think the Tom-Trilogy wouldve done BO wise?

Not nearly, NEARLY as well. It would have done fine, but nothing spectacular.

 

[The Caped Knight]

Does Marvel get a cut of the money? Did they share in expenses?

25% of the profits while Sony get 75%. Disney & Marvel will make bank on all the toys, licenses and promotional material.

 

[InCali]

25% of the profits while Sony get 75%. Disney & Marvel will make bank on all the toys, licenses and promotional material.

Cool. Thanks for that