The Force Awakens Star Wars: Episode VII-The Force Awakens Box Office Thread

MrMaooz

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Might be a little premature, but why not? What are your predictions and thoughts for the box office for the upcoming SW film.

Here are the numbers of the previous films.

Domestic:

1 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $431,088,295
2 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
3 Star Wars Fox $307,263,857
4 Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones $302,191,252
5 Return of the Jedi $252,583,617
6 The Empire Strikes Back $209,398,025

Domestic Box Office Adjusted:

1 Star Wars Fox $1,159,000,200
2 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace Fox $688,785,500
3 Return of the Jedi Fox $657,585,100
4 The Empire Strikes Back Fox $640,361,400
5 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $481,715,600
6 Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones Fox $422,339,600

World Wide Grosses:

1 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace Fox $983.6
2 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $848.8
3 Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones Fox $640.9
4 Star Wars Fox $621.7
5 The Empire Strikes Back Fox $457.3
6 Return of the Jedi Fox $418.4
 
At the very least, probably 1.2 billion. If it's very good, it has a chance of pushing 1.8-2 billion.

If you do some basic inflation calculations for the last Star Wars (Episode III), and assume that at least as many people will come out to see Episode VII (which I think is very realistic, and if anything, undershooting it, since that movie had the negativity of its two awful prequels preceding it, and this movie has hype a la Episode I preceding it), the opening weekend for Episode VII comes out to around $200 million (up from $158 million for Thursday to Sunday in 2005, the number of viewers which I think we can all squish into the upcoming December 18-20, 2015 Friday-Sunday release), and the entire domestic take comes to around $490 million. Again, that's just straight inflation. It doesn't include the bump it will get from 3D/I-MAX premiums, or the good will that audiences have for JJ Abrams, or the fact that Episodes I and II are a much more distant memory than they were in 05. Considering those numbers, I think Star Wars making $210-$230 million its opening weekend and $520 total domestically is realistic. And this is if it's just passably good (a la Episode III). Add a cautious $700 million overseas estimate (Episode I made ~$500 million overseas in 1999 - 16+ years of exponential overseas growth in movie theater viewership will easily account for another $200 million, especially considering the growth in places like China, where Transformers 4 just made over $301 million), and I think $1.2 billion is the bar for success.
 
The correct answer is, all de monies.
 
1.5 billion, if it's awesome then 2 billion.

It's probably going to win the weekend box office for 6 or 7 weeks
 
I think it's going to be huge.

Opening weekend: 440 million

Total: 2.3 billion
 
In all honesty, i've no idea what to expect in terms of box office. It's Star Wars so it should be huge, but no clue. They have my money for at least a couple of viewings unless i really hate it, which would surprise me tremendously :oldrazz:. I might get a better sense of it once i see some actual footage, at least a trailer lol.
 
Well, it's Star Wars, so on that alone it'll probably break the billion mark.

If it's actually good, and has a strong word of mouth, there's a real possibility of it making 2 billion+.
 

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