The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[I SEE SPIDEY]

It did an estimated 37.2mil, which is a 59.3% drop. And it hit 403mil internationally.

 

[kbrooksgohan]

Im also happy they tied up some elements in this movie which could really help with the next film.
I thought got a lot of things right in this movie. I think they should keep those elements and filter out
the less favorable stuff. The next film could be the Empire Strikes
Back of the series. I think they
need to cut back on the trailers...or
at least not spoil elements of the movie. I like the way Fox did Xmens marketing. They didnt spoil elements of the movie and it left u wanting more. I also was not a fan of them releasing the movie early in other places. That was stupid and i think it played apart in the domestic numbers. The movie was already online. Why would someone pay to see a movie when they could watch it for free?

 

[kbrooksgohan]

It did an estimated 37.2mil, which is a 59.3% drop. And it hit 403mil internationally.

Which isnt unusual. They usually drop 50 percent.

 

[JOE]

$523M, where was TASM at this stage of the game?

 

[Tobias]

Its at 550 WW already which means another 200 million to get to the "magic" 750 million. That should be quite doable. 800 million not out of the picture after these numbers.

 

[ironman_rick]

Well it has grossed $72.7M in china so far (as of Saturday).... That's not bad I think...

BTW...gotta ask this question. Do you think interest in ASM3 will increase if Sam Raimi was announced as the director ? At least the villains will have a more compelling arc with him around.

 

[kguillou]

Its at 550 WW already which means another 200 million to get to the "magic" 750 million. That should be quite doable. 800 million not out of the picture after these numbers.

I think that would be do-able if it weren't for Gozilla and X-men crashing the party in the next couple of weeks. There's good buzz for both of those films so they are really gonna handicap Spidey's take for the next few weeks.

 

[Tobias]

I think that would be do-able if it weren't for Gozilla and X-men crashing the party in the next couple of weeks. There's good buzz for both of those films so they are really gonna handicap Spidey's take for the next few weeks.

It'll be the international market that brings TASM2 to 800 million possibly. Deadline last I saw said TASM2 does 225 - 235 million US. Not bad all things considered.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

I think the fact that Captain America : The Winter Soldier has been out for 6 1/2 weeks and it's overall gross is at $695,597,000, while The Amazing Spider-Man 2 has been out for 3 1/2 weeks and it's overall gross is at $523,801,000, is something.

Where was CA : TWS at around 3 1/2 weeks?

 

[Ms. Marvel]

It's pretty bad when considering that TASM3 could make a domestic total of $190 M.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

I think the fact that Captain America : The Winter Soldier has been out for 6 1/2 weeks and it's overall gross is at $695,597,000, while The Amazing Spider-Man 2 has been out for 3 1/2 weeks and it's overall gross is at $523,801,000, is something.

Where was CA : TWS at around 3 1/2 weeks?

Around $500 million.....After 2 1/2 weeks or so it was at $450.

 

[ironman_rick]

$148M Domestic
$403M Overseas
$551M WorldWide.

I think it should have enough juice to get another $150M to get over $700M.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

Around $500 million.....After 2 1/2 weeks or so it was at $450.

Ah, thought I was onto something lol. Nvm I guess. I really think their numbers look the same, while Spidey's just trails short of Cap's.

 

[JKKS085]

It did an estimated 37.2mil, which is a 59.3% drop. And it hit 403mil internationally.

59.4%. I'm still expecting a 60%+ drop once actuals land on monday. I find the sunday estimated hold quite optimistic/convenient.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Ah, thought I was onto something lol. Nvm I guess. I really think their numbers look the same, while Spidey's just trails short of Cap's.

Yeah the movies are really frontloaded...they slow down after a while.

 

[NJCaliboi]

Ya it definitely looks like Marvel got the best part of the deal. The problem is all this movies have the Marvel logo to start and the GA isn't going to differentiate between Marvel studios and other companies so it behooves Marvel to get as much control as possible. You dont want people in August going "I liked CA:TWS but the new SM was garbage so I don't know if I want to see GotG" I try and make sure everyone knows that they aren't the same but a lot of people have that misconception because they see a logo. ...

It's actually all just the same to the GA, god bless u for trying to clear things up but u might as well give up cuz the GA doesnt even differentiate between Marvel and DC.

I talked a real good friend into seeing Cap2 and she loved it! She texted me afterwards and said, "glad I stayed for the post scenes- I can't wait to see the WONDER TWINS in the next one."

I tried explain the Wonder Twins were with DC, but midway through I realized she could care less so I said, "yeah the womder twins will be great"....lol ...baby steps

 

[kguillou]

Ah, if only we could have a Wonder Twins movie....

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

The Sony sequel earned $10.1 million yesterday, down 72% from last Friday. Now that’s about what the respective second Friday drops for Captain America: The Winter Soldier, Iron Man 3, and Thor: The Dark World were, but its weekday numbers are not holding up. The $250m sequel should earn around $38m for the weekend, a not-horrible 59% drop (about what Spider-Man 3 dropped, 61%, ironically), but it will have $147m after ten days, which is just $10m more than The Amazing Spider-Man had after its six day holiday debut and $4m less than Spider-Man 3‘s opening weekend and way off from Spider-Man 2‘s $180m 6-day debut. It’s already trailing Captain America 2 by about $10m and is neck-and-neck with Thor: The Dark World, a film that barely made it over $200m domestic. Whether Spidey makes it to $230m or barely scrapes by with $200m will largely depend on how well it fares against Godzilla next weekend. With a likely total of over/under $500m worldwide by tomorrow (it had $450m going into the weekend), these aren’t terrible numbers. But they aren’t befitting a franchise that was once the biggest in Hollywood, and a franchise with which Sony wants to expand into its own little “expanded universe” concept.

Forbes' Scott Mendelson, who loved the movie.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottme...y-box-office-neighbors-squashes-spider-man-2/

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

59.4%. I'm still expecting a 60%+ drop once actuals land on monday. I find the sunday estimated hold quite optimistic/convenient.

I usually don't trust estimates that give a film just under a certain drop that would look bad but Mother's Day could help it so I could be wrong. I'm undecided whether I trust the Sunday drop or not. It could go either way IMHO.

Where the film is headed domestically really depends on how well it holds up the next two weekends. I'm still seeing between 215-230mil. Until a week before it's release I thought it was going to slightly increase it's domestic numbers. Seems like TASM 3 could be in for a 190-205mil gross.

It's nice to see that Forbes guy giving the film's box office a fair assessment. He isn't panering to either side and that's how box office figures should be reported on because numbers are numbers.

 

[GuestStar2004]

I think its fair to say Sony is the problem here with this franchise, they want and feel they know what will get the fans but they do need someone to manage this franchise that isn't them who isn't just... venom = money... Do it!

 

[JOE]

They need to hold back on their marketing budget. They're spending way too much to promote the movie. Spider-Man sells, period. They could have saved a ton of money and the movie would be making the same money.

 

[marcvader]

They need to hold back on their marketing budget. They're spending way too much to promote the movie. Spider-Man sells, period. They could have saved a ton of money and the movie would be making the same money.

Couldn't agree more. Spider-Man is a proven commodity ww. No need to inundate people with spidey.

 

[InJustice]

It'll be the international market that brings TASM2 to 800 million possibly. Deadline last I saw said TASM2 does 225 - 235 million US. Not bad all things considered.

I highly doubt it, Godzilla is probably going to be huge in the Asian countries, which takes a huge chunk out of the market. As for the rest of the international market, DOFP may be the new toy of the week that they'll want to see for the next two weeks.

Also, 225-235mil is underwhelming when you consider how much other superheroes have made.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I've been thinking about it and I don't see them holding back on the marketing nor the budget for the next one.

 

[kbrooksgohan]

They need to hold back on their marketing budget. They're spending way too much to promote the movie. Spider-Man sells, period. They could have saved a ton of money and the movie would be making the same money.

Agreed. They showed TOO much of the film and way to many money shots. Unlike Xmen which is still full of surprises. I also think that they should have released the movie Worldwide around the same time. That also affected it's numbers. Piracy is real...