The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

[Infinity9999x]

http://www.comingsoon.net/news/weekendwarriornews.php?id=86827



I think the person writing the article is completely underestimating the draw of spidey especially if webb knocks this movie out of the park.

No, I think that's pretty accurate. I'm expecting a Batman Begins performance from this if it's good. BB was a great film, but people were hesitant with it. But it's good legs led to it making a good amount of money.

I see a similar thing happening with TASM. He's a popular character, but it's got two negatives.
1.) You'll have the people who loved the Raimi series pissed and not going to be super excited to rush out and see this.
2.) You'll have the people who hated SM3 who are going to be gunshy and not willing to rush out and see this.

So I don't see a big opening. However, I do think if it has good legs it will do well. The one thing I don't agree with is that TDKR will crush it's legs even if the film is good. Sherlock Holmes still managed to have good legs through Avatar, so I think it's possible it could still do modestly through the opening of TDKR. Though that opening weekend will probably hit it hard.

 

[UltimateWebhead]

I don't understand why everyone keeps bringing up the fact that TDKR comes out 2 weeks after TASM. TASM will have made most of it's initial gross before that, so why would that affect it at all?

I don't understand this either. I'm sure TAS will suffer slightly once TDKR comes out because it will be new and more people will be going to see that instead but in the long run it won't matter.

 

[spider-neil]

No, I think that's pretty accurate. I'm expecting a Batman Begins performance from this if it's good. BB was a great film, but people were hesitant with it. But it's good legs led to it making a good amount of money.

I see a similar thing happening with TASM. He's a popular character, but it's got two negatives.
1.) You'll have the people who loved the Raimi series pissed and not going to be super excited to rush out and see this.
2.) You'll have the people who hated SM3 who are going to be gunshy and not willing to rush out and see this.

So I don't see a big opening. However, I do think if it has good legs it will do well. The one thing I don't agree with is that TDKR will crush it's legs even if the film is good. Sherlock Holmes still managed to have good legs through Avatar, so I think it's possible it could still do modestly through the opening of TDKR. Though that opening weekend will probably hit it hard.

the original trilogy was hugely successful and there hasn't been a spidey movie for 5 years, you may get similar numbers if for no other reason than curiosity. this new movie is an unknown quantity and there is still huge interest in the movie if looking at the number of downloads for the new trailer is any indication.

it's all speculation that people wont come out in their droves to watch this. I can speculate that TDKR wont do TDK numbers because it doesn't have the joker or the death of one of it's main actors or how about the single avengers movies did modest numbers so why will the collection of heroes do huge numbers? I'm speculating and there is no way to be sure of ASM numbers until the movie comes out.

also people were saying TF3 would fail hard after the awful TF2, yeah great prediction there guys.

 

[Infinity9999x]

the original trilogy was hugely successful and there hasn't been a spidey movie for 5 years, you may get similar numbers if for no other reason than curiosity. this new movie is an unknown quantity and there is still huge interest in the movie if looking at the number of downloads for the new trailer is any indication.

it's all speculation that people wont come out in their droves to watch this. I can speculate that TDKR wont do TDK numbers because it doesn't have the joker or the death of one of it's main actors or how about the single avengers movies did modest numbers so why will the collection of heroes do huge numbers? I'm speculating and there is no way to be sure of ASM numbers until the movie comes out.

also people were saying TF3 would fail hard after the awful TF2, yeah great prediction there guys.

That's a good point. The difference between the BB and Spider-man is that BB came of B&R which was pretty much universally panned. SM3 wasn't. The general audience was pretty much "meh" towards it. However, I do think the completley new cast and look of it will influence it, but it's really hard to say either way.

This is all pure conjecture though, I've never said that I think what I'm predicting will come true absolutely. And honestly, I would love it if I"m wrong. Heck, I hope all three films do amazingly well and this summer is ruled by superheroes. But if I had to pick one of them not doing as well, I would probably go with TASM simply because it is a relatively quick reboot of a largely successful franchise.

 

[chaseter]

Who said TF3 would fail? Why listen to them? I predicted it wouldn't get near TF2 even with a 3D bump and....

It's fine to hope it does good but let's be realistic. It won't be the #1 movie and it won't make more than any of the previous Spidey flicks because it has more working against it than for it as far as the GA is concerned.

 

[Troy_Parker]

I think we're all underestimating this movie just because it's a reboot. The first trailer wasn't liked that much by the GA... but when the second trailer came out, look at how positive people became towards it.

I don't think 300-400 is too crazy, tbh.

 

[spider-neil]

One thing to bear in mind is the female demographic and of the 3 movies ASM looks most female friendly. I'm not saying that's a good thing

 

[spider-neil]

I don't think ASM will have the biggest domestic or the biggest worldwide but I think it has a shot at the biggest overseas take.

 

[Troy_Parker]

One thing to bear in mind is the female demographic and of the 3 movies ASM looks most female. I'm not saying that's a good thing

How so?

 

[spider-neil]

How so?

for the reasons listed in that previous article

 

[chaseter]

I think we're all underestimating this movie just because it's a reboot. The first trailer wasn't liked that much by the GA... but when the second trailer came out, look at how positive people became towards it.

I don't think 300-400 is too crazy, tbh.

400 domestic is way crazy. It will get lucky if it reaches 300. No way in hell it gets near 400 domestic.

You know how many movies have reached 350 domestic? 19. How many have reached 400? 12.

People over estimate box office takes...I have done it before.

 

[Troy_Parker]

400 domestic is way crazy. It will get lucky if it reaches 300. No way in hell it gets near 400 domestic.

You know how many movies have reached 350 domestic? 19. How many have reached 400? 12.

People over estimate box office takes...I have done it before.

Mhm.

I'm still going to stick with 300-400.

 

[grieven]

I voted $210 to $300 million (domestic).

Though I think this will be the best Spider-Man movie ever and worthy of $400 million+, I'm expecting this first movie will need to convert doubters of a reboot, like Batman Begins had to (BB made $205 million domestic).

Sorry if I've repeated what others have said, I'm posting my thoughts without reading previous pages.

 

[LarryLegend]

200-225 million. Is a reboot really needed after 5 years? SM3 was not Batman and Robin.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

People are forgetting all the viewers the Raimi movies lost over the years who may regain interest in the reboot. Spider-man 1 sold 69 million tickets and Spider-man 3 sold 48 million.

That's around twenty million people who lost interest in the Raimi movies over the years who might return for the reboot.

Then then you have a 3D boost, a holiday release date, inflation, one of the biggest superheroes, and an exciting trailer.

No way this misses 300 million. Worldwide it could hit a billion.

 

[Micromind]

I think this is possible -

US Domestic - 300 mil.
Overseas -400 mil.

Overall Worldwide - 700 mil.

 

[lordofthenerds]

300 mil domestic sounds like a good bet.

 

[spider-neil]

People are forgetting all the viewers the Raimi movies lost over the years who may regain interest in the reboot. Spider-man 1 sold 69 million tickets and Spider-man 3 sold 48 million.

That's around twenty million people who lost interest in the Raimi movies over the years who might return for the reboot.

Then then you have a 3D boost, a holiday release date, inflation, one of the biggest superheroes, and an exciting trailer.

No way this misses 300 million. Worldwide it could hit a billion.

domestically spidey was losing viewers internationally it was gaining viewers. SM3 made more money that TDK internationally.

also I think there were reasons why every spidey movie made less money (domestically) than the previous movie.
SM2 made less than SM1 because it opening midweek and also opening in july rather than may.

SM3 made less than SM2 despite opening in may but had bad WOM.

this movie is opening middweek and in july but had the advantage of bigger ticket prices

 

[Green Day]

I don't think ASM will have the biggest domestic or the biggest worldwide but I think it has a shot at the biggest overseas take.

The Hobbit and ice Age will beat it.

 

[spider-neil]

The Hobbit and ice Age will beat it.

probably.

I don't even know why I am concerning myself with box office. it will make enough for a sequel so my primary concern should be quality of movie

 

[SpaceWay2009]

There will be a sequel anyway. It was reported back in August 2011, I believe. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/08/05/the-amazing-spider-man-sequel-2014_n_919759.html

 

[spider-neil]

There will be a sequel anyway. It was reported back in August 2011, I believe. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/08/05/the-amazing-spider-man-sequel-2014_n_919759.html

that doesn't mean anything. wasn't SR confirmed for a sequel?

 

[SpaceWay2009]

I guess. lol But anyway, I agree with you. I believe TASM will do well enough in the box office to get a sequel.

 

[LarryLegend]

A billion? No way.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

That's what they said about Transformers 3.

It flew past one billion, thanks to China and 3D.