Iron Man 2 The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[rashad]

No doubt. Prince of Persia could do well, but I think that'd be a big surprise. I get a Scorpian King vibe from it, which probably could go either way Box Office-wise.

Scorpion King? That's a poor comparison imo. I think it has the potential to challenge Tomb Raider's $131M domestic gross.
http://boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=videogameadaptation.htm

 

[kedrell]

I feel that they're further than they let on. I mean, Vaughn didn't put up with Fox's crap once, I don't think he'd suddenly change his mind on that sort of thing.

But yeah, boo Fox. :

Yeah, him coming on board has been a serious WTF? moment for me given the past relations.

 

[Rumpy Bulge Dubz]

As a true fan, I'm going to buy a ticket to IM2 and walk in to see Robin Hood. So, my money is going to the right place regardless.

^good man

 

[kedrell]

Scorpion King? That's a poor comparison imo. I think it has the potential to challenge Tomb Raider's $131M domestic gross.
http://boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=videogameadaptation.htm

That's about the best scenario for it that I can see happening. As I said, TS numbers.

 

[kedrell]

Bruckheimer doesnt make cheap videogames and Scorpion KIng type of movies.

will it make POTC numbers? who knows. but i dont think POP will be a bomb.

No but he does make junk food cinema. Probably why he works with Bay a lot.

 

[kedrell]

Robin Hood is getting beat up by some big guns. Total Film is literally calling it as bad as Battlefield Earth. Ebert and AICN absolutely hate it.

Good sign for Iron Man but bad sign for movie fans. I was hoping it was pretty good because I'm going to see it anyway. As a true fan, I'm going to buy a ticket to IM2 and walk in to see Robin Hood. So, my money is going to the right place regardless.

Nice.t: I'll be doing the same except I'll be bypassing the Robin Hood door and seeing IM2 again since RH hasn't all the uninteresting trailers haven't given me one reason to go see it.

 

[rashad]

$7 million Wednesday. It'll make somewhere in the $50-55M range this weekend.

 

[Tony Stark]

$7 million Wednesday. It'll make somewhere in the $50-55M range this weekend.

I don't see that happening unless Robin hood had smash success, and right now it's getting panned by the critics.

 

[kedrell]

$7 million Wednesday. It'll make somewhere in the $50-55M range this weekend.

It;s not great nor bad. It's just an average drop. Most people(BO analysts) were expecting this drop Tuesday and a stabilization yesterday. It ended up flipping it but still no big deal. Today's drop will be much lower, probably to around 6.5M. $60M or more is still very much in play for this weekend.

 

[Figs]

Something tells me that Robin Hood isn't going to hurt Iron Man's box office take. I wouldn't be surprised at all if(more like when)IM2 stays at #1.

 

[Tony Stark]

I think Robin Hood will be this years Kingdom of Heaven. It's getting panned by the critics, and I think it was never expected to compete for no 1, so if it ends up on the low end of expectations (under 20 mil) theres a chance some of that business could go back to IM2.

 

[kedrell]

I'd say KoH actually looked more interesting than RH. At least it was set during a period/place that we didn't usually get to see(the crusades in palestine). But this just looks like another Robin Hood movie like the Kevin Costner film that seems to morph into a war movie. When I think Robin Hood, I don't think war movie. Just seems kinda uninspired which is too bad since Crowe & Blanchette are good actors and Scott is a good director. But it just seems to lack a unique hook or draw factor. Seems like a very by-the-numbers historical film. I may rent it.

 

[Anita18]

Robin Hood is getting beat up by some big guns. Total Film is literally calling it as bad as Battlefield Earth. Ebert and AICN absolutely hate it.

Good sign for Iron Man but bad sign for movie fans. I was hoping it was pretty good because I'm going to see it anyway. As a true fan, I'm going to buy a ticket to IM2 and walk in to see Robin Hood. So, my money is going to the right place regardless.

Bad sign for Ridley Scott too. What happened to the guy who did Blade Runner and Alien?

 

[rashad]

Actuals for Wed.
$6,951,326 -17.1%

 

[hatebox]

Bad sign for Ridley Scott too. What happened to the guy who did Blade Runner and Alien?

Scott's always been a very tasteful filmmaker - the only time he's every really given into popularism/commercialism was with Gladiator. He's almost too tasteful for his own good. The trouble is his recent blockbusters like Kingdom of Heaven and Robin Hood don't really offer anything new like BR or Alien did, so all that's left is for them is to be fun and spectacular. Which, from the sounds of it, they aren't.

Robin Hood will be very lucky to get over $40m this weekend. If it had had great reviews it might have been the surprise hit of the summer, but surely not now.

IM2 seems to be holding well and will enjoy another good weekend. Nothing amazing, but the studio will be perfectly satisfied.

 

[Raiden]

I think Robin Hood will be this years Kingdom of Heaven. It's getting panned by the critics, and I think it was never expected to compete for no 1, so if it ends up on the low end of expectations (under 20 mil) theres a chance some of that business could go back to IM2.

I just read Harry's review for Robin Hood at AICN, and while I don't usually care about his opinion, his review does seemed to portray the movie as dready, dull, and not very Robin Hood-centric. And since the critics are trashing RH left and right, I too doubt that it will mount a serious competition to IM2. I'm beginning to worry about Ridley Scott's upcoming reboot of Alien movie that he did almost 30 years ago.

 

[kedrell]

Scott's always been a very tasteful filmmaker - the only time he's every really given into popularism/commercialism was with Gladiator. He's almost too tasteful for his own good. The trouble is his recent blockbusters like Kingdom of Heaven and Robin Hood don't really offer anything new like BR or Alien did, so all that's left is for them is to be fun and spectacular. Which, from the sounds of it, they aren't.

I actually could appreciate KoH. At least it showed us a period and place that most historical movies don't. RH really doesn't have that going for it.

 

[DW4]

I actually could appreciate KoH. At least it showed us a period and place that most historical movies don't. RH really doesn't have that going for it.

The original theatrical cut for KoH was pretty bad.

...but the Extended edition was BRILLIANT. I can't believe how much they left out. If they stuck with the Extended edition and edited some things around this could of been one of the best(box office wise as well) historical movies ever.

 

[TheVileOne]

Iron Man 2 will beat the DOA Robin Hood this weekend. It will also get a nice boost from Memorial Day weekend.

 

[Agent Orange]

I can't believe that Ridley Scott thought that it was a good idea to re-visit Robin Hood today and make it deadly serious in the process.

Iron Man has this weekend.

 

[hatebox]

The original theatrical cut for KoH was pretty bad.

...but the Extended edition was BRILLIANT. I can't believe how much they left out. If they stuck with the Extended edition and edited some things around this could of been one of the best(box office wise as well) historical movies ever.

It's sort of Scott's own fault - he's obsessed with recutting his movies after release.

 

[Rumpy Bulge Dubz]

I can't believe that Ridley Scott thought that it was a good idea to re-visit Robin Hood today and make it deadly serious in the process.

Iron Man has this weekend.

I'll take a serious Robin Hood movie any day of the week, it's the casting, image, and lack of action that I have a problem with and helped me reach the conclusion that I'll be skipping this all together.

you know I saw him shoot 1 freaking arrow in the trailers, ONE!!!!!!!

 

[Marvin]

like in 2008 it looks like Ironman will coast past a few weekends due to duds being released.

 

[kedrell]

The original theatrical cut for KoH was pretty bad.

...but the Extended edition was BRILLIANT. I can't believe how much they left out. If they stuck with the Extended edition and edited some things around this could of been one of the best(box office wise as well) historical movies ever.

I only saw the theatrical cut. Even so, the time/place aspect was enough to pique my curiosity since I couldn't remember seeing a film about the crusades before. But I had no desire to see it anymore after I had seen it once, unlike movies like Braveheart which have more re-watchability.

 

[chiefchirpa]

Marvel should release Thor full pic this week or the next.

That should boost some Iron Man 2 interest again before POP comes in.