The 'The Wolverine' Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

Discussion in 'The Wolverine' started by Thread Manager, Aug 25, 2013.

  1. Thread Manager

    Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]455183[/split]
     
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  2. kedrell

    kedrell Fork&SpoonOperator

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    Have your say. How much world wide do you think this film will make. Personally, I think about $350-400M.
     
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  3. Tehmeh

    Tehmeh Everybody likes bewbs

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    Wolverine hit 350 million mark worldwide. I'm glad.
     
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  4. X-Maniac

    X-Maniac High Evolutionary

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    It's not yet been released in Egypt, Venezuela and - notably - Japan. It should definitely get a boost from Japan. I'd say it could finish with $375m, maybe $385m. Not sure it will get to $400m at this stage, though it's still playing here in the UK (but mostly only in 2D now).
     
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  5. danoyse

    danoyse Snikt. Stab. Repeat.

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    So worldwide, it should finish up about even with the first solo film. I'll take that.
     
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  6. X-Maniac

    X-Maniac High Evolutionary

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    I guess so. It has had better legs, I think, but a weaker start.

    However, it's only actually been in cinemas for a month. It seems a lifetime ago when i first saw it. So the money will still trickle in for a while yet, and it should get a bump when the September 13 Japan launch happens. No sign of a China release, though.

    Films used to play on screens for about 3 or 4 months but it can be less now, depending on ticket sales.
     
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  7. Superhero 101

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    Man I really wish this movie can release in China glad it hit 350
     
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  8. JP

    JP Smelly

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    Just want it to pass Origins.
     
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  9. GuestStar2004

    GuestStar2004 Well-Known Member

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    It should be able to pass origins, the raised 3D ticket price will help or at least it should do

    Once apon a time I thought this film actually could have broken $500 mil
     
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  10. X-Maniac

    X-Maniac High Evolutionary

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    Not with the combination of poor marketing, a release coming after a summer of action movies and at the start of the holiday season, and not enough emphasis on a powerful idea (immortality vs mortality) as a selling point. That concept needed to be made a lot stronger and the trailers/marketing needed to be much more enticing.
     
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  11. def28

    def28 Well-Known Member

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    Only 4 non children films have made it to 500m ww this year. Been a tough year.
     
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  12. BlackFox

    BlackFox Red devil

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    Wow this film is only 3 million behind First Class WW now, very surprised and pleased by that, shows Fox are learning at least as it should go past that once it hits Japan.

    Wish I could see it once more in the cinema but it had long gone from the ones round my parts.
     
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  13. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    WW is a good sign domestic not so much. Audiences are getting tired of Wolverine and maybe X-Men films in general. I still think DOFP can hit $250m but that's about it. It has the potential for $350m+ OS though, which I think it will hit.

    As for Wolverine, I think it will gross around $30m in Japan to bring Wolverine to $255m OS and $385m-ish WW.
     
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  14. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    You think its gonna make that much in Japan when the previous two movies in the franchise made less than a third of that?
     
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  15. Snikt

    Snikt Well-Known Member

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    It could happen. You have to remember; the film is set in Japan and features several prominent Japanese actors/models. That could make for a huge push.
     
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  16. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    Still not seeing that big of a jump, X-Men isn't really a hot property there.
     
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  17. Snikt

    Snikt Well-Known Member

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    Understandable...but again, this features the Japanese culture. It's barely an X-Men movie. It really is just Wolverine alone in Japan.
     
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  18. Superhero 101

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    I don't think it will hit 400 million but it can come really close
     
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  19. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    Yes because it's a genuine Japanese film...like it's the closes thing to a Japanese Hollywood blockbuster in recent memory.

    Pacific Rim showed Japanese fetishes created by Hollywood doesn't necessarily translate to big hits over there (although PR should hit around $25m which is respectable there). However The Wolverine actually uses Japanese elements and is heavily rooted in the culture. The entire theme of the movie is about Japanese principles like familial honor and tradition. It's set completely in Japan with the exception of the first 10-15 minutes not even counting the Nagasaki scene at the beginning. I could go on.
     
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  20. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus well-known Mutant

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    $UCCE$$ :woot:
    Yeah same here! So I really hope there's a China release!
     
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  21. Antihero

    Antihero Well-Known Member

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    Is there any chance Wolverine will have a China release?
     
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  22. Moridin

    Moridin Death Contagious Deity

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    The Wolverine now has the highest overseas gross (unadjusted) in the X-franchise at $225,600,000, passings X3's $224,997,093. And still ticking.
     
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  23. BlackFox

    BlackFox Red devil

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    And about to get a nice boost from Japan, would love it if it managed to top Origins WW total, that would make me very satisfied indeed, but we shall see.
     
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  24. JP

    JP Smelly

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    Kind of makes you understand the casting of Omar Sy and Fan Bingbing in DoFP.
     
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  25. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus well-known Mutant

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    Hopefully with the Japan release, it will outgross Origins' WW gross! :D
     
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