Ant-Man and The Wasp Ant-Man and the Wasp - Box Office Discussion

[Web-Head]

I keep seeing people saying they don't think there'll be a third one but it's still doing fairly well. It should have legs over the next several weeks too since nothing else really comes out until Mission Impossible: Fallout

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Worth noting that yesterday’s drops were nothing to write home about across the board:

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

Top 3: AM&TW down 62%, I2 off 56%, JWFK down 60%. At a guess I’d say it’s just reflective of the Fourth of July week ending, people getting back to work, etc.

 

[Hammer!]

Even if Ant-Man lost money, which it won’t, Marvel’s two other movie star this year made 3.3 Billion. More than all five DCEU films combined. There is no circumstance in which a sky is falling.

 

[psylockolussus]

I keep seeing people saying they don't think there'll be a third one but it's still doing fairly well. It should have legs over the next several weeks too since nothing else really comes out until Mission Impossible: Fallout

Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!

You also have Hotel Transylvania 3 and Skyscraper this weekend so AM&W will have some competition this weekend. For the the amount of competition it had its OW, it's performing decently. People expecting this to do much larger numbers in a crowded market are just plain nuts.

 

[Zyraquis]

I remember the reactions when I first guessed $550m-$650m as the WW BO.....

 

[rayc1971]

Correct. This movie had the budget of a phase 1 movie, and will gross more than any phase 1 movie that didn't have Iron Man in it. It's fine.

i dont think people realize the antman films have smaller budgets than the rest so it doesnt have to make as much

 

[rayc1971]

(click to enlarge)

Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul. 2018)
First Weekend: $75,812,205 (Ant-Man +32.48%)

By sequel multipliers ($75,812,205 * x):
* 2.28 = $172.9M
* 2.35 = $178.2M
* 2.40 = $181.9M
* 2.41 = $182.7M
* 2.44 = $185.0M
* 2.49 (average) = $188.8M
* 2.57 = $194.8M
* 2.62 = $198.6M
* 2.66 = $201.7M
* 2.73 = $207.0M

On the high end, Deadline thinks it will be 2.75...which is .26 above the average, and 0.4 below the first entry's multiplier and would be the highest MCU sequel multiplier to date. Their weekend projection before Disney's estimate yesterday morning was overestimated.

* 2.75 = $208.5M

208mill domestic is fine it only had a budget of 162mill

 

[Evil Twin]

My guess is that if it's even close to $200 million domestic, Disney will leave it in theaters long enough to reach that milestone. Second weekend will really tell the story here.


But, yeah, Marvel had budget control and will do well internationally. This is not going to be a situation like Solo, but a solidly profitable film. It will get a sequel if Disney is okay with solidly profitable and won't if Disney would rather chase insanely profitable.

 

[Hammer!]

Pretty good Tuesday bump with 10.25 million. Better than homecoming.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Pretty good Tuesday bump with 10.25 million. Better than homecoming.

Yup. Just like holds were weak across the board yesterday, so far everybody is getting very good increases today. If that early number holds, AM&TW might just touch 100 today (Wednesday).

 

[m2k]

I don't get why Disney is releasing this just a few weeks after Incredibles 2? AMTW, moreso than any Mcu property, targets the same audience. When u boil it down, it's pretty much a live-action family themed Pixar movie. That's a compliment btw as I've enjoyed it much. And then you've Hotel Transylvania out this weekend and boy.. that's not gonna help matters. The family target audience needs more breathing room you would think.

 

[Hammer!]

I don't get why Disney is releasing this just a few weeks after Incredibles 2? AMTW, moreso than any Mcu property, targets the same audience. When u boil it down, it's pretty much a live-action family themed Pixar movie. That's a compliment btw as I've enjoyed it much. And then you've Hotel Transylvania out this weekend and boy.. that's not gonna help matters. The family target audience needs more breathing room you would think.

And it’s too close to IW, Thor, and BP. Should have been a Feb/May/Nov spread this year.

 

[rayc1971]

And it’s too close to IW, Thor, and BP. Should have been a Feb/May/Nov spread this year.

antman is a smaller scale marvel film i dont think it would have had a 100mill dollar opening weekend if it moved to november the movie made more than the first one opening weekend why is that not enough?every marvel film doesnt have to have over a 100mill opening weekend to be a sucess this film has a smaller budget than those other films

 

[Hammer!]

antman is a smaller scale marvel film i dont think it would have had a 100mill dollar opening weekend if it moved to november the movie made more than the first one opening weekend why is that not enough?every marvel film doesnt have to have over a 100mill opening weekend to be a sucess this film has a smaller budget than those other films

It is enough but I think it would have performed better if they spaced on out. Hard for even hardcore fans to get pumped for a small scaled Marvel film when it’s the fourth MCU film in eight months. Especially two months after the Infinity War.

Give six months in between films, appetite would have been more. Not saying it breaks $100 million, but I bet it would have grossed at least 85 on OW.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Disney already has 2 family films, Nutcracker and Ralph 2, opening in November. And Mary Poppins 2 in mid-December. The genre is pretty crowded no matter the date.

 

[ultradog]

Of course it's all 20/20 hindsight and nitpicky, but to jump on the bandwagon, perhaps August would've done a bit better. A bit more breathing room from IW. GoTG and Suicide Squad seemed to have great legs being released in August against little competition.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Maybe. But again, Disney has Christopher Robin opening on the 3rd. A case might be made for a Labor Day weekend getting a bigger OW but you lose the summer and it might just be a wash in the end.

 

[terry78]

Disney pretty much has something coming out every month under their banner.

 

[ironman_rick]

10 million tuesday......thats a huge jump from monday right ? It might still have a decent 2nd weekend...

 

[Iceman]

Wow, great Tuesday number.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

10 million tuesday......thats a huge jump from monday right ? It might still have a decent 2nd weekend...

Its a good number. Again, though,most films had good increases Tuesday. I’m still expecting a weekend drop in the 60% neighborhood. Predictions so far are:

Box office report: 29.5
Deadline: 30
Box office.com: 31

 

[iEquinox]

I'll be happy if it can match Homecoming's drop, which would get it $28.6M for the weekend, but it'd make sense if it dropped a bit more. Thursday previews made up a bigger percentage of the OW than they did for Homecoming's, and it's a sequel as well. Will be interesting to see what happens.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Yup. I’d love to see it at least stay north of 30 but I wouldn’t bet on it.

$5.8 million Wednesday, an (ouch) 42% drop. Most of the rest of the field had less harsh falls. $98.7 million total, so it will pass 100 today.

 

[rayc1971]

Disney already has 2 family films, Nutcracker and Ralph 2, opening in November. And Mary Poppins 2 in mid-December. The genre is pretty crowded no matter the date.

yup the winter is just as crowed not to mention aquaman and bumblebee also would be competition