Ant-Man and The Wasp Ant-Man and the Wasp - Box Office Discussion

They should release this the Friday before the July 4 holiday in the states, not after.

It also doesn't really matter this year since July 4th is on a Wednesday and there's no long holiday weekend. A lot people don't usually go to the movies on the Fourth of July anyway unless it rains. Fourth of July Weekend? Sure, but not as much on the actual holiday.
 
A Wednesday release probably wouldn’t have hurt it though. Assuming the movie is good, it would have gotten some good word of mouth going into the weekend.
 
I mean, it's Marvel. People are going to show up in droves to see it regardless based on name brand alone.
 
Good reviews should push it past 100m for its OW, so far so good.
 
I think realistically we're looking at another Winter Soldier situation. The first Captain America movie opened modestly, but TWS opened a lot higher on its opening weekend thanks not only to good early reviews, but increased popularity of the character after The Avengers. I see the same thing happening here after Ant-Man's further exposure in Civil War. The team-up movies always boost the solos (I know Civil War is technically a solo film, but it's unofficially Avengers 2.5). I'm guessing Ant-Man and the Wasp will open somewhere in the neighborhood of $90-$110 million. I can't see it beating Homecoming's OW take from last year.
 
I think realistically we're looking at another Winter Soldier situation. The first Captain America movie opened modestly, but TWS opened a lot higher on its opening weekend thanks not only to good early reviews, but increased popularity of the character after The Avengers. I see the same thing happening here after Ant-Man's further exposure in Civil War. The team-up movies always boost the solos (I know Civil War is technically a solo film, but it's unofficially Avengers 2.5). I'm guessing Ant-Man and the Wasp will open somewhere in the neighborhood of $90-$110 million. I can't see it beating Homecoming's OW take from last year.

I agree.

Antman & the Wasp should and will benefit from increased popularity.

It will end grossing something like 600-900 mil.

US OW 85-115 mil
US total 225-325 mil
OS total 375-575 mil

im gonna go with 750 mil.

US OW 100 mil
US total 275 mil
OS total 475 mil
 
My hunch is 550-650m atm. too many heroes films in too short span of time. China for whatever reason liked the first one quite well, will help again as long as the visual remains cool. 250-300/300-350 split Dom/OS
 
Agreed. I don’t feel as much hype for this sequel as say Winter Soldier. I think it will probably do the same if not just a little more than the first one.
 
I think it'll come in at around 700M, but because my beer mug is more than half full, I went with 700-800M. Another couple of minutes and it would have been 650-700M.
 
I'll just go with the most obvious comp (well received MCU sequel) which is TWS. So (710-720)m world-wide. Either way, AM&TW will be extremely successful.
 
Tracking to open at $75m now my $550m-$650m hunch is still good if this doesn’t change. :)
 
Tracking to open at $75m now my $550m-$650m hunch is still good if this doesn’t change. :)
I can't see this making less than Dr. Strange, which opened with $85M. It's a sequel to a well received origin, is the first superhero rom/com crossover, and the MCU is just getting more and more popular. Plus IW fans won't want to miss any developments towards the sequel.
 
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I can't see this making less than Dr. Strange, which opened with $85M. It's a sequel to a well received origin, is the first superhero rom/com crossover, and the MCU is just getting more and more popular. Plus IW fans won't want to miss any developments towards the sequel.
I think $75 million is a good target since it'll still be competing with Incredibles 2 and Jurrasic World: FK at the BO.
 
I see it opening $85-90 domestic with a gross of 250 domestically and 750 million worldwide.
 
I just want it to gross more than Solo so I can laugh about a friggin’ Ant Man movie beating a Star Wars movie.
 
There just doesn't seem to be much hype for this at all. If the post-credits scene shows the thing they should probably spoil it and make people feel like they need to go see it.
 
I think we won't really know how strong the box office is until word from the critic screenings and film reviews starts dropping.
 

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