Are Studios Committing Movie Suicide?

I always thought the assumed people wouldn't be frequenting the theatre as much those times of year because of school , no vacation , etc . If they were to release a major franchise film in September I'm sure it would still do great business .

Of course it will, does anyone seriously think releasing The Dark Knight Rises in October is somehow gonna effect the box office in a substantial way? If anything I think it would be better for new franchises to start in a period outside of that May-July time frame to give them a chance at success. Films are way to front loaded now, it's all about the 'opening weekend' which is pure nonsense, how many times do we see a film rake in over $100 million dollars only to drop 60-65% the following week?
 
January is untapped potential for a big budget film. It it needs is a studio willing to put a film there, which I don't see why not.

It is, but studios are worried about weather affecting a release date. Avatar could've made more opening weekend last year if it wasn't for a big snowstorm that affect various regions.
 
It is, but studios are worried about weather affecting a release date. Avatar could've made more opening weekend last year if it wasn't for a big snowstorm that affect various regions.

Well, if Avatar had made more money the opening weekend we might have seen bigger drops the following weekends, so in the end it might have still ended up with the same total numbers. And with almost $2,8 billion worldwide I doubt Cameron really cares... :)
 
As the amount of blockbusters have grown a lot over the years, the months preferable for a blockbuster have also expanded a lot too. And now after these huge upcoming years I think it's more likely for the months to expand even more.
 
Yeah, looks like both 2011 and 2012 will be geek-movie overload. Some of these films are bound to fail. They can't all be winners in this economy. I'm gonna' call Thor, X-Men: First Class, Rise of the Apes, Cowboys and Aliens and possibly Captain America as flops.

With that said I want to see Thor and CA, and while I have little interest in XMFC, I do like Matthew Vaughn a lot. But they are cluttered around sure-things like: Pirates of the Caribbean, The Hangover 2, Transformers 3, and the final Harry Potter film. It's going to be a bloodbath.

In 2012, a Spidey reboot is going to have some ground to cover to make people forget about it being a reboot while also facing off against the Avengers and the sequel to TDK that same summer.
 
P.S. In a perfect world Thor will be a hit and Transformers 3 would bomb. Then again, in a perfect world there would be no Transformers 3. So, we have to deal with the hand that is dealt.
 
P.S. In a perfect world Thor will be a hit and Transformers 3 would bomb.

I wish. I'm still not sure about Thor in regards to it's BO but I hope Transformers 3 doesn't do as good as the first two after the second film sucking so much. It won't bomb but hopefully it won't do outstanding numbers.
 
so in a perfect world people would like the same movies that you like? ;)
 
Of course. Or they'd at least not like the bad ones, anyway. :oldrazz:
 
I really really hope that X-Men:First Class and The Hangover 2 flop.
 
Why Hangover 2? I hope it's good. For Vaughn's sake (as well as a pretty strong cast with James MacAvoy, Michael Fassebender, Jennifer Lawrence, and January Jones) I hope FC doesn't bomb. But I think it will.

Hangover is a solid hit, I suspect.
 
I suspect Thor will do pretty good so long as marketing handles it right and the merchandise does well with the kiddies. There will be a Mjolnir that lights up and makes thunder sounds that kids can buy I'm sure.
 
Thor will be a major, major flop imo. That leaked footage from comic-con was terrrrrrrible imo.

Green Lantern is probably going to be the breakout "surprise" hit of next summer
 
Why Hangover 2? I hope it's good. For Vaughn's sake (as well as a pretty strong cast with James MacAvoy, Michael Fassebender, Jennifer Lawrence, and January Jones) I hope FC doesn't bomb. But I think it will.

Hangover is a solid hit, I suspect.

The first Hangover movie came off as pretty stupid and worthless junk to me. And too bland too,comedy isn't the only thing that I care about when I want to see comedy movies.
 
Why Hangover 2? I hope it's good. For Vaughn's sake (as well as a pretty strong cast with James MacAvoy, Michael Fassebender, Jennifer Lawrence, and January Jones) I hope FC doesn't bomb. But I think it will.

Hangover is a solid hit, I suspect.

I hope First Class doesn't bomb because Fox is never going to release it's death grip on the license anyway and I would rather they get encouraged to keep Vaughn and Singer as a part of the series instead of thinking that they might as well bring back guys like Ratner because guys like him managed to make more money. Also so they can learn that Wolverine isn't the only money maker on the team so the other characters can get the exposure they've been denied due to Fox's insistence that Wolverine be "the leading man."
 
The first Hangover movie came off as pretty stupid and worthless junk to me. And too bland too,comedy isn't the only thing that I care about when I want to see comedy movies.

coming from a guy who loved the comedy of Transformers 2? :whatever:
 
I suspect Thor will do pretty good so long as marketing handles it right and the merchandise does well with the kiddies. There will be a Mjolnir that lights up and makes thunder sounds that kids can buy I'm sure.
If any of next year's big 3 superhero movies flop it will be Thor. However, I think it will do well. It looks cool and as long as the theatrical trailers impress I think it will make a profit.
 
If any of next year's big 3 superhero movies flop it will be Thor. However, I think it will do well. It looks cool and as long as the theatrical trailers impress I think it will make a profit.

I agree. I would be worried if it was jammed in a crappy time but its pretty much has its own weekend which is a huge advantage.
 
Dunno if Thor will flop, don't think it will, but I believe it's going to be very hard to market, GL, Cap and even X-men are an easier sell, Thor has no real star power to it so it's the concept that's gotta sell, I just don't know if it's an easy concept to sell. It's got an advantage of opening first but still, I imagine it's gonna be a tricky film to sell to the masses.
 
I highly doubt X-Men: First Class is going to flop. As long as it has X-Men in front of it, tons and tons of people are going to see it. Not to mention, they do have a top notch cast and crew for movie. I don't see it pulling X3 or Wolverine numbers but I don't think it'll be anywhere near a flop.

I'd take a guess that probably Cowboys & Aliens & Rise of the Apes will be big flops. I'm still on the fence about Thor or Captain America, they could go either way.
 
I wanna see the political ****storm after Cap opens. I am looking forward to that the most.
 

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