^ I could use the same argument for Green Lantern and BvS...many factors come into play than just a formula.
There's having a good story, the audience's familiarity with a character/s, and generating good buzz early (like Iron Man did at SDCC a year before release), critical reception (both professional and word of mouth), among other factors.
Marvel are on a roll when it comes to story and world building. Guardians was very risky and many were writing and predicting it could and would be Marvels first stinker....simply because the general audience and even comic book geeks like myself didn't know much about them..it's easy to just dismiss it as formulaic after the fact.
So, I think you misunderstood my statement. I'm saying that Marvel, like Pixar, or heck, Cheesecake Factory, has gained success by following a tried and true formula. Because of this, saying that they have taken a huge risk, while still following that formula is silly.
If your argument is that GL and BvS were also following a tried and true formula, I would disagree. They were, if anything, trying to follow the TDK formula, which is proven it doesn't work as well for other characters, and even TDKR couldn't match TDK. If your argument is that GL or BvS shouldn't be considered big risks, then I agree 100%, WB/DC failed on something that shold have been easy.
If you're saying that the Marvel formula, which as I said involves a certain type of character and arc is unrelated to the story, then you'll need to explain how character and character arc is separate from story, because everyone else assures me they are deeply connected. If you believe that having good early buzz or critical reception is not connected to having a good story, then you'll have to give some examples of poor stories that had great early buzz or critical reception. From what I understand about the connection between character arc, story, and how that story is received, all these things are connected. The only thing that I didn't mention was familiarity with characters, but since Marvel always adapts characters that are known to comic book aficionados and not very well known otherwise, one would have to conclude that is part of the Marvel formula as well.
The people who thought Guardians of the Galaxy was going to be a stinker were simply ignorant. Their arguments, as I recall, were mostly 'it's not known' but they simply forgot or didn't realize that Iron Man was not known. If they handled Guardians of the Galaxy like Iron Man (they did) they'd get similar success (they did). There was also this weird misbelief that Guardians of the Galaxy was about a talking Raccoon and tree, when in reality, GotG was very much about Star Lord and his journey. Marvel has not made a movie starring a talking raccoon, just like they have not made a movie starring Black Widow. It's not proof of anything beyond the Marvel formula working.
There's a lot of people who think flying in a plane is risky and playing the lotto is a sure thing. We should probably ask them why, and see if their reasons make sense.
Exactly. Green Lantern attempted the formula Dr. Cosmic just described.
It failed.
So I don't think Dr. Cosmic can say for sure that Marvel is or isn't gambling big on certain superheroes.
All I know is that they're winning most bets they put on the table in regards to their superhero movies.
Going further into Green Lantern, they did not give Hal Jordan the stereotypical Marvel arc. They didn't really give him an arc at all, and if they did, it was the 'overcoming fear' type arc from TDK. The Marvel arc, the one that has worked so well for Iron Man, Thor, Ant-Man, Star Lord and now Dr. Strange.
1) Guy is super talented charming *****e.
2) Guy gets screwed up because of his own jerkishness
3) Person offers to help guy, kicking off the hero's journey peppered with good humor
4) Guy realizes he needs help/friends, gets their help with a weak big bad
5) Guy realizes he shouldn't be self centered and offers to sacrifice himself
That's the arc, and that's what draws people to these characters. Because we know this story works, then if someone says it's a huge risk, we have to ask: what basis do you have for saying it's a huge risk? Does it not have the thing that made the last movie successful? It gives us all the same thing we liked about the last movies. So how is it a risk? If making Iron Man isn't a huge risk, how is making Iron Man with magic a huge risk?
Marvel takes risks. It took a risk on RDJ, it took a risk on Whedon, it took a risk with Hulk and with Captain America. Some of those paid off, some didn't. But they haven't taken a huge risk yet, and if they did, doing magic or a new character, things that have proven themselves at the box office time and time again isn't it.