Official Spider-Man 3 Box Office Thread - Predictions and Forecasts

[TLH]

$1.3 mill for Spidey on the weekend. Total gross is now $332,548,000

 

[The Caped Knight]

Total gross is now $332,548,000

See it's still making money .

 

[TLH]

See it's still making money .

Not enough to get it $350 million like you were discussing on the last page though, unfortunately. $340 million is even a stretch at this point, but we'll see.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

Not enough to get it $350 million like you were discussing on the last page though, unfortunately. $340 million is even a stretch at this point, but we'll see.

I still say it's very possible. I also think it's defenitley going to happen, but thats just My opinion.

 

[GL's Light]

I still say it's very possible. I also think it's defenitley going to happen, but thats just My opinion.

No, $ 350 mil is out of reach.

In other news: SM 3's nearest domestic competitor, Shrek 3, is now at $ 307.9 mil according to the weekend estimates, which is $ 17.67 mil behind what SM 3 had made after the same number of days.

 

[TLH]

No, $ 350 mil is out of reach.

In other news: SM 3's nearest domestic competitor, Shrek 3, is now at $ 307.9 mil according to the weekend estimates, which is $ 17.67 mil behind what SM 3 had made after the same number of days.

Wow, only a week ago it was $23 million or so behind Spidey. It's closing in but unfortunately its theater count is going to fall after this weekend and it will run out of theaters before it can catch Spidey.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Wow, only a week ago it was $23 million or so behind Spidey. It's closing in but unfortunately its theater count is going to fall after this weekend and it will run out of theaters before it can catch Spidey.

So then, the last real competition this summer is going to be Transformers, correct?

 

[blind_fury]

So then, the last real competition this summer is going to be Transformers, correct?

Worldwide?

Harry Potter.

It has no competition domestically.

 

[lordofthenerds]

$1.3 mill for Spidey on the weekend. Total gross is now $332,548,000

That's decent for the enormous theater drop it had this weekend. Doesn't look like it will make it to 340M though.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

So then, the last real competition this summer is going to be Transformers, correct?

Trust me, Transformers isn't even in the same league as the Spidey Films. I highly doubt it's going to be anywhere near the Spidey Films amount of money at the Box Office.

 

[chaseter]

There are many reasons as to why Transformers WILL NOT beat Spider-Man 3.

 

[GL's Light]

I don't see Transformers beating SM 3. It'll be very successful though. I can see it getting to the mid 200s. Potter 5 might hit 300, but not 330-340. The only unknown at this point is The Golden Compass, which should be a big success. It'll probably land short of 300, but you never know.

 

[TLH]

That's decent for the enormous theater drop it had this weekend. Doesn't look like it will make it to 340M though.

We only need $7.5 million to get there. The next month will add up.

 

[lordofthenerds]

We only need $7.5 million to get there. The next month will add up.

Yeah, I guess the dollar theaters could help it get there.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Worldwide?

Harry Potter.

It has no competition domestically.

Oh yeah...i forgot about ol' Harry.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Trust me, Transformers isn't even in the same league as the Spidey Films. I highly doubt it's going to be anywhere near the Spidey Films amount of money at the Box Office.

I dunno....it looks pretty damn impressive.

PLUS: It already has a hell of a following.

PLUS: It has the advantage of NOT being a summer sequel, thus presenting something fresh to the summer movie crowd...

Im rooting for Spidey 3, of course, but i think some folks are being too quick to dismiss Transformers...

 

[GL's Light]

According to Deadline Hollywood, Pirates 3 has hit $ 872 mil worldwide. Looks like it'll definitely overtake SM 3 in worldwide gross.

 

[rashad]

According to Deadline Hollywood, Pirates 3 has hit $ 872 mil worldwide. Looks like it'll definitely overtake SM 3 in worldwide gross.

That's like saying the sun sets in the evening. It should've been a foregone conclusion for most when it grossed $500 M a week ahead of when Spidey 3 reached it.

 

[GL's Light]

That's like saying the sun sets in the afternoon. It should've been a forgone conclusion for most when it grossed $500 M a week ahead of when Spidey 3 reached it.

Sure, but not everyone here was aware of that. Some held on to the hope that SM 3 would take the worldwide crown.

 

[rashad]

Sure, but not everyone here was aware of that. Some held on to the hope that SM 3 would take the worldwide crown.

That's true.

 

[Stupify_me]

I don´t think the lighthearted thing is the problem... The Incredibles was lighthearted. There´s a lot of lighthearted stuff in STM or even the first two Spidey movies. Problem is just the quality of the movies.

Meh I would disagree I thought the second one was pretty good.

The incredibles wasn't a movie based on a famous comic that had a bunch of die hard fan's rejecting it because it was to kid friendly. It was a kid movie that appealed to both adults and kids alike it had not previous fan base what so ever so there were no complaints about it not being adult enough or not being a perfect copy of a comic book issue.

 

[Stupify_me]

Raimi already discussed that because of the alien symbiote, he felt the story needed to be brought back down to earth. He used dancing and crying to make the film feel more human and less sci-fi, which he was more than successful in doing. I think he did as well as he could--as it has been said a million times, I'm sure an extended/director's cut will be better.

So then, the last real competition this summer is going to be Transformers, correct?

I don't think Raimi was successful at all in that aspect. If he had used just the crying yes it would of been brought back to earth but the dancing took it away again.

As far as transformers goes it may be successful but it is not competition for any of the top three spots.. Not even close

 

[washderice]

I don't think Raimi was successful at all in that aspect. If he had used just the crying yes it would of been brought back to earth but the dancing took it away again.

As far as transformers goes it may be successful but it is not competition for any of the top three spots.. Not even close

Im trying to figure out how you dont think transformers is not competition for the top 3. Supposedly it's tracking is through the roof, pretty much every review thus far is positive, and it visually looks better than possibly any movie made to this point. Not to mention all the chicks I hang out with are dying to see it while the only movie of the big threequels they wanted to see was pirates. It seems like it's a movie that is gonna reach out to almost every demographic. I think its gettin to at least 300 mil easy based on that, even with harry potter coming out a week later.

 

[Stupify_me]

Im trying to figure out how you dont think transformers is not competition for the top 3. Supposedly it's tracking is through the roof, pretty much every review thus far is positive, and it visually looks better than possibly any movie made to this point. Not to mention all the chicks I hang out with are dying to see it while the only movie of the big threequels they wanted to see was pirates. It seems like it's a movie that is gonna reach out to almost every demographic. I think its gettin to at least 300 mil easy based on that, even with harry potter coming out a week later.

To many of you people don't understand just how rare 300M is. The top three movies this year will all be lucky enough to hit it but it really isn't that common. Transformers may have a strong following but there are also plenty of people who will not go to see this movie and would rather masterbate with sand paper than see it (ME) so it's not like the entire world is gonna watch, Also Transformers is surronded by competitors including Harry Potter which comes out the very next week. .

 

[washderice]

To many of you people don't understand just how rare 300M is. The top three movies this year will all be lucky enough to hit it but it really isn't that common. Transformers may have a strong following but there are also plenty of people who will not go to see this movie and would rather masterbate with sand paper than see it (ME) so it's not like the entire world is gonna watch, Also Transformers is surronded by competitors including Harry Potter which comes out the very next week. .

I understand that 300M is not something that happens that often but im tellin you, maybe i can find the article again, the early box office tracking (basically a survey that they do with moviegoers nationwide) for transformers is calling it a "juggernaut." i believe that is the word they used. I know i dont speak for the world or anything, but nearly every single person i know is seeing this movie in the first few days it's out, and many are already saying theyre seeing it multiple times. a lot of those are people that didnt go see spiderman3, pirates3, or shrek3. Like i said tho, thats just the people i know, hardly the nation. But transformers is definitely sounding like it's gonna be HUGE.