Official Spider-Man 3 Box Office Thread - Predictions and Forecasts

[Venom 1988]

edit

 

[imdaly]

Update time again!


Spider-Man
Domestic: $403,706,375
International: $418,002,176
Worldwide: $821,708,551

Spider-Man 2
Domestic: $373,585,825
International: $410,180,516
Worldwide: $783,766,341

Spider-Man 3
Domestic (as of June 24): $332,486,258
International (as of June 24): $546,419,694
Worldwide: $878,905,952

Spider-Man Trilogy
Domestic (as of June 24): $1,109,778,458
International (as of June 24): $1,374,602,386
Worldwide: $2,484,380,844


Top 10 Trilogies Ever - Worldwide (as of June 24)

1. The Lord of the Rings - $2,913.1M
2. Harry Potter - $2,643.0M
3. POTC - $2,592.4M
4. Spider-Man - $2,484.4M
5. Star Wars 1-3 - $2,415.2M
6. Jurassic Park - $1,902.1M
7. Shrek - $1,880.6M
8. Star Wars 4-6 - $1,788.9M
9. The Matrix - $1,624.0M
10. Mission: Impossible - $1,401.9M



Top 10 Trilogies Ever - Domestic (as of June 24)
1. Star Wars 1-3 - $1,122,035,614
2. Spider-Man - $1,109,778,458
3. Star Wars 4-6 - $1,060,779,251
4. The Lord of the Rings - $1,033,551,625
5. Shrek - $1,016,698,697
6. POTC - $1,015,731,446
7. Harry Potter - $829,105,101
8. Jurassic Park - $767,326,501
9. Indiana Jones - $619,416,531
10. X-Men - $606,611,873


$12,257,157 more needed to for the Spider-Man Trilogy to become the #1 Trilogy Ever Domestically. It gained $2,465,121 in the last 7 Days...it's gonna be realllllly tough for it to hit it now

 

[chaseter]

^Not if we all go watch it 1,000 more times!

 

[imdaly]

lol Perhaps 4th of July Weekend will help it a bit. Sure it's gonna be SWARMED by movies that weekend, but hey...even a little budge would help

 

[Mr. Socko]

LOL


Domestic, this will be the highest grossing film of the year, but worldwide, I think HP5 or Pirates may win.

 

[Pickle-El]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aNHezf1B5_g

You can watch the transformers press conference for yourself if you dont believe me.

Im guessing you don't know much about rendering. There are these things called render farms, and you can bet that dreamworks has a massive one. What these do is render different frames out on different machines. As they finish you can take all of those frames and add them together to get your scene. So you're not sitting there for 38 hrs and just getting that 1 frame, in those 38 hrs all the other machines are rendering out other frames as well. And i didnt say every scene was like that, just a few scenes were that insane to render. Watch the press conference if you want, they talk about it. I'm a visual effects and motion graphics major (which may help you understand why i am drooling over the cgi in this movie) so if you have any questions that have to do with visual effects, i may be able to answer them.

haha.

That outta put someone in their place in this conversation...

 

[Heyparker]

Hey guys. This is my first post but I've checked this site daily for the last 4 years. It's been a pleasure reading all of these posts, especially Doc Ock, Visionary, kal El, etc. You guys have been very fun reads.

Anyway. I was thinking about it and I don't think the opening weekend record spidey 3 holds will be broken anytime soon. Think about it. What is coming out within the next year or so that psoes a threat to Spidey. TDK will most likely be an excellent movie with strong numbers, but it doesn't make the same dollars as your friendly neighborhood, probably because the films are darker and not as suitable for children.

Transformers is going to surprise peope IMO, but 300 million IS a rare occurance and I'm thinking somewhere in the 250 range is more probable.

One question. I'm not sure how the IMAX numbers fall into this equation. Will it be added later in the total or has it been already.

Either way, when the smoke clears, Spider-Man 3 will end up on top for 2007. So congrats!

 

[Stupify_me]

Hey guys. This is my first post but I've checked this site daily for the last 4 years. It's been a pleasure reading all of these posts, especially Doc Ock, Visionary, kal El, etc. You guys have been very fun reads.

Anyway. I was thinking about it and I don't think the opening weekend record spidey 3 holds will be broken anytime soon. Think about it. What is coming out within the next year or so that psoes a threat to Spidey. TDK will most likely be an excellent movie with strong numbers, but it doesn't make the same dollars as your friendly neighborhood, probably because the films are darker and not as suitable for children.

Transformers is going to surprise peope IMO, but 300 million IS a rare occurance and I'm thinking somewhere in the 250 range is more probable.

One question. I'm not sure how the IMAX numbers fall into this equation. Will it be added later in the total or has it been already.

Either way, when the smoke clears, Spider-Man 3 will end up on top for 2007. So congrats!

I agree with most of what you said except I don't think TDK will surprise anyone except the people who expect 300M I don't think very many people are predicting low numbers. Anywhere from 200- 275 wouldn't really be a surprise. I haven't seen any numbers for it bellow 200M at all so no surprises there.

 

[TLH]

175k for Spidey on Tuesday.

 

[hammerhedd11]

Yaay! It increased!

 

[TLH]

Wow, Spidey took a hit. 126k for Wednesday. That's a 26% drop on a weekday, almost unheard of. Kinda makes me wonder if box office is reporting that number correctly or not.

 

[Stupify_me]

Wow, Spidey took a hit. 126k for Wednesday. That's a 26% drop on a weekday, almost unheard of. Kinda makes me wonder if box office is reporting that number correctly or not.

Thats not really that shocking at this point.

 

[TLH]

Thats not really that shocking at this point.

No, you're right, it's not. But it definitely puts--in my opinion--the final nail on the coffin for $340 million domestic.

 

[Carp Man]

Haven't been keeping an eye on this, but POTC 3 is only $ 4.7 million behind SM 3 in WW total. It's made $ 39 million more overseas.

 

[sandgoblin]

HOW in the hell did this happen??? I thought POTC 3 was ok. But not as good as Spidey 3. POTC 3 is ONLY good because of Keira Knightley.

 

[sandgoblin]

I hope Spidey wins world wide.

 

[hammerhedd11]

Wow, Spidey took a hit. 126k for Wednesday. That's a 26% drop on a weekday, almost unheard of. Kinda makes me wonder if box office is reporting that number correctly or not.

It probably lost some theatres and/or audience to Live Free or Die Hard.

 

[GL's Light]

Pirates 3 will overtake in WW gross this week. The only film with a shot at taking the worldwide crown from Pirates 3 is Potter 5.

 

[rashad]

Spidey 3 did it's job imo. Getting the OW record and outgrossing Spidey 1 WW. Everything else is a bonus.

 

[Mr. Socko]

Spidey has done amazing numbers. Sam is proud.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

Spidey has done amazing numbers. Sam is proud.

and He should be. He made perfect Spidey Films and I think Spidey4 will do an amazing job as well as long as Sam is directing and I think He will.

 

[buggs0268]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aNHezf1B5_g

You can watch the transformers press conference for yourself if you dont believe me.

Im guessing you don't know much about rendering. There are these things called render farms, and you can bet that dreamworks has a massive one. What these do is render different frames out on different machines. As they finish you can take all of those frames and add them together to get your scene. So you're not sitting there for 38 hrs and just getting that 1 frame, in those 38 hrs all the other machines are rendering out other frames as well. And i didnt say every scene was like that, just a few scenes were that insane to render. Watch the press conference if you want, they talk about it. I'm a visual effects and motion graphics major (which may help you understand why i am drooling over the cgi in this movie) so if you have any questions that have to do with visual effects, i may be able to answer them.

ILM has their own render farm, and I believe the only entity that has more computer power then they do is the CIA if I am correct. But, yes, they are rendered on reder farms. Large Render farms at ILM. I am setting a one up at my shop myself. Not a big one, but enough to do what I am doing.

And yest SLYspyder, it happens exactly the way washerdice says it does. And I believe Bay has also said that TF has racked up some of the highest redndering times of any movie ILM has done. I believe he said 38 hours for one frame on their render farm.

I am drooling over the CGI in this thing too. This is some of the best texture and shader work I have seen ILM do so far. And I like the fact that it doesn't have that clean look the other films they have done have had.

 

[TLH]

Spidey 3 just crossed $333 million today.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Spidey 3 just crossed $333 million today.

That's fitting. Spidey "3" hit 333.

 

[TLH]

On a side note, Shrek 3 is, unfortunately, making significant progress every day towards catching Spidey's pace.