Succeed, Pass, Fail-Summer 2011 superhero edition

[I SEE SPIDEY]

My predictions are: (I reserve the right to change my opinions based on more trailers, early word ect..ect..)

GL -Succeed. I know alot of fanboys from many different parts of the intertubes are crying about the so-called awful trailer but I think that the trailer is fine and that the movie has the most interesting and fun primise of the 2011 Superhero films. It's about a wisecracking space cop. It features aliens and hopefully alot of action. I'm thinking, Star Trek 2011 edition.

My prediction: opening weekend: 80mil Total: 235mil

X-Men: First Class- Semi Fail/not a pass: Lets see, it doesn't feature Wolverine, the last two X-Men related films have left a bad taste in most people's mouths and it doesn't feature Wolverine. I think that Fox's overreliance on the Wolverine character is going to hurt this flick no matter how good or bad it is. Maybe if they focused more on trying to make the entire franchise less the Wolverine show and let somebody else in on the action I wouldn't believe this but I do. Plus I think that the 60's thing is going to be a turn off and that the franchise is just plain tired. I could be wrong but those are my thoughts right now.

My Prediction: Opening weekend: 50mil Total 120mil.

Captain America is too much of a wait and see movie for me. I want a trailer first. My feelings right now are leaning towards, decent movie but so-so boxoffice numbers. C.A is a well known character but will people care and will a period comicbook flick look interesting enough to the young'ins?

Opening Weekend: 40 to 60mil Total 110 to 170mil. Wide range I know.

Thor-Fail

I am firmly of the mindset that this will fail. That early footage was laughably lame and completely uninteresting. The jury is still out on Hemsworth as an actor. (although he is a sexy looking fella) It looks like one of those bad 80's Superhero or adventure movies that played up that silly fish out of water angle and they look to be shoving some Iron Man stuff in there for good measure. Do young people care about Thor, do young people give a s**t about Greek myth, even Marvel tinged Greek myths? I just don't see this movie performing. Yes it has that prime spot but so did Van Helsing and Kingdom of Heaven and those weren't record breakers. I feel like Marvel bit off more than they can chew with this one. Again, if I'm wrong, I'm wrong.

Opening Weekend: 55mil Total: 135mil.

Those are my two cents.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Its Norse myth.

 

[E-Man]

I think that The Avengers will definitely succeed because the Hulk in it would be just like Bill Bixby.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Its Norse myth.

You get my drift.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

Two trailers down, two to go. Anyone read to change/make new predictions?

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

If I had to make a bold prediction, I'll say that Captain America's trailer will blow these two film trailers out the water. My expectations of Cap have been raised the last few months.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

If I had to make a bold prediction, I'll say that Captain America's trailer will blow these two film trailers out the water. My expectations of Cap have been raised the last few months.

Yep. Can't wait for FC trailer too.

Saving the best two for the end!

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Can't say I'm waiting for trailer for First Class, though I'll consider it.

You get points for using a Psych gif though.

 

[Doctor Jones]

I can't wait for the Cap trailer. I'm looking forward to the FC trailer.

And yeah, awesome Psych gif.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

I'm liking some aspects of FC, to be honest, but I don't like that Cyclops or Jean Grey aren't in it, as they are essential to the beginnings of X-men. I can understand Iceman and Angel not being in it (They're much younger), but I don't like that Cyclops or Jean Grey aren't in it.

 

[jmc]

I'm gonna change my predictions. I think they're all gonna end up being mediocre films with moderate box office takings, no-ones gonna 'own' it, no-ones gonna flop, no-ones gonna come out a clear winner, they're all just gonna be 'around' and most people just won't care. Like IM2 they're all just gonna do their thing and will be forgotten within a few weeks as the next movie comes along. The key word next year will be 'bland'.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

I'm gonna change my predictions. I think they're all gonna end up being mediocre films with moderate box office takings, no-ones gonna 'own' it, no-ones gonna flop, no-ones gonna come out a clear winner, they're all just gonna be 'around' and most people just won't care. Like IM2 they're all just gonna do their thing and will be forgotten within a few weeks as the next movie comes along. The key word next year will be 'bland'.

That would be the Doomsday scenario to some on these boards. They wouldn't have their opinion of the movie they liked validated based on box office cause all of them did the same.

 

[chapin]

I dont know why but im not that excited or thrilled about Thor, after seeing the trailer it didnt do nothing to me.
I think that movie to will do a kinda Daredevil-Ghost Rider-The Incredible Hulk type of business. Not fantastic $$ like Iron Man but also no awfull $$ like Jonah Hex.

 

[chapin]

Captain America is too much of a wait and see movie for me. I want a trailer first. My feelings right now are leaning towards, decent movie but so-so boxoffice numbers. C.A is a well known character but will people care and will a period comicbook flick look interesting enough to the young'ins?

Opening Weekend: 40 to 60mil Total 110 to 170mil. Wide range I know.

MY guess is between 150mil - 170mil total gross

 

[jmc]

That would be the Doomsday scenario to some on these boards. They wouldn't have their opinion of the movie they liked validated based on box office cause all of them did the same.

Bragging rights be damned.

 

[Visceral]

I'm gonna change my predictions. I think they're all gonna end up being mediocre films with moderate box office takings, no-ones gonna 'own' it, no-ones gonna flop, no-ones gonna come out a clear winner, they're all just gonna be 'around' and most people just won't care. Like IM2 they're all just gonna do their thing and will be forgotten within a few weeks as the next movie comes along. The key word next year will be 'bland'.

yup

 

[Chris B]

In light of the trailers, I still think that GL and Thor will be fine. The Thor trailer didn't really do much for me, but I don't think it looks like a bad film. And I think that some people are just having a knee jerk reaction to the GL trailer based on some comedic moments and some rock music.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

That would be the Doomsday scenario to some on these boards. They wouldn't have their opinion of the movie they liked validated based on box office cause all of them did the same.

That would be the case indeed. Well at least there's still Deathly Hallows Part 2 next year.

 

[Lord Blackbolt]

Marvel should have push the release date of either thor or Captain America. One of them should have gone to the Winter. The summer is too crowded.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

With footage from all four movies out, I'm sticking to my original predictions.

Cap's doing the best and Thor's going to fail. The other two will do okay.



GL might fail too tbh.

 

[Micromind]

People are judging GL based on just one trailer and that is unfair, especially when the most of the movie happens in space/ Oa and there is not much shown about that in the trailer, plus the fact that it is the most ambitious comicbook movie ever attempted in terms of scope more than Thor, Superman or any other super hero.

 

[flickchick85]

Now that we've seen footage from all, I'm ready to make some predictions. But first, I don't think I can group box office and quality together, because they don't really GO together for me at all, so I'm gonna separate them.

QUALITY:

Captain America: Succeed. I think the director and casting were perfectly chosen for this project. And with Joss Whedon doing the final revisions on the screenplay, I can't help but have a good feeling about it.

X-Men: First Class: Succeed. Matthew Vaughn & Jane Goldman are a great team who have yet to produce a disappointing film, imo, and the last time Bryan Singer was involved with X-men, he made the only two good films of the franchise. And the cast is great. If this team of collaborators doesn't produce a good film, I'll be shocked.

Thor: Pass. Honestly, when we first got that 5-minute sneak peek, I thought it was garbage. The cinematography and acting just completely fell flat with me. BUT, I read the screenplay, and it was surprisingly good. So even if the cinematography and acting suck, it will still have a good story and characters, so I think it will at least be decent. And it should satisfy the Marvel fans with all of its ground-laying for the Avengers, so that's something.

Green Lantern: Fail. I had a bad feeling about this project from the minute they cast the thing. Had a sliver of hope since Martin Campbell was directing, but the trailer kind of crushed that hope. It just doesn't look like a good film at all to me.


BOX OFFICE:

Captain America: Pass. I don't see it doing huge business, but I think it can surpass its budget domestically. Current prediction - Opening Weekend: $60-75 million, Domestic Total: $150-180 million

X-Men: First Class: Pass. The lack of Wolverine, coupled with the burnout from the two previous disappointments, will probably keep this from being a big success. Current Prediction - Opening Weekend: $50-60 million, Domestic Total: $150-170 million

Thor: Fail. I just don't see who, outside of comics fans, would be the target audience for this. It doesn't have the pop culture brand name that X-Men and Captain America have, and it doesn't have the cross-genre appeal of Cap. Current Prediction - Opening Weekend: $35-45 million, Domestic Total: $100-130 million

Green Lantern: Pass/Succeed. Ryan Reynolds is a big box office draw, and he and Blake Lively will probably bring in the female audience. Plus, it has the kind of epic scope that the GA looks for in summer movies. Current Prediction - Opening Weekend: $80-90 million, Domestic Total: $180-200 million

As you can see, I don't think any of these will be HUGE hits, so I kind of agree with jmc to a point. While I don't think they'll all be mediocre, I don't think any of them will be OMG!AMAZING, and I don't expect any of them to "own" the summer at the box office (it pretty much already belongs to Potter, Pixar and Transformers, doesn't it?).

As always, these predictions are subject to change with each new trailer and early word-of-mouth.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Cap - succeed - may be critical success but probably won't be runaway box office winner
Thor - pass - Other than Priest, I don't see much competition for it
Green Lantern - pass - good release, could beat C ars 2 if its good enough.
X-men - fail - Too many characters already, almost none of the actual X-men team are in it, Fox.

I was wrong.

 

[Iron_Stark]

I'm gonna change my predictions. I think they're all gonna end up being mediocre films with moderate box office takings, no-ones gonna 'own' it, no-ones gonna flop, no-ones gonna come out a clear winner, they're all just gonna be 'around' and most people just won't care. Like IM2 they're all just gonna do their thing and will be forgotten within a few weeks as the next movie comes along. The key word next year will be 'bland'.

Lmao, 'like IM2'? Really?

All of these movies wished they could've 'done their thing' like IM2. Sh**, Green Lantern wished it would've gotten IM2 reviews and had IM2's domestic numbers for its WW numbers.

Lol.

 

[MadVillainy]

GL- Suceed
Cap-Pass
Thor-Pass
X-Men: First Class-Fail

Lol

So young, so naive