The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[miltonh]

Very dissapointing number! Maybe SAT / SUN will be stronger because of families but if not... maybe even 90M won't happen. Quite crazy.

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

I thought it would at least match CA:TWS... Anyway, it's a decent start.

I'm still hoping for over $100 million (Even if I still think thats a disappointing opening for a Spider-Man movie.)

 

[Spider-Fan]

100 isn't going to happen, IMO. Right now, it looks like it won't make as much as TWS by a couple mil.

 

[lukebrodyg]

100 isn't going to happen, IMO. Right now, it looks like it won't make as much as TWS by a couple mil.

I think because of negative WOM and reviews, Sat numbers will be below C:TWS giving it a 85m-90m OW.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Kids are a lock. "Adult kids" are the big ? in my opinion.

Yeah I guess it's a matter of making up for the adults the film could lose though.

 

[CaptainCraig]

Will this finally be the film that clues SONY in on how much they've mismanaged things since Raimi's SM2? Domestically the series has taken a hit since that film. I know it's a global market but even some global territories are coming in lower than on TASM.

 

[starkresilient]

that's a little bit low for spidey. I thought it would pass TWS's number

 

[Spider-Fan]

Will this finally be the film that clues SONY in on how much they've mismanaged things since Raimi's SM2? Domestically the series has taken a hit since that film. I know it's a global market but even some global territories are coming in lower than on TASM.

Hopefully! If these numbers hold up, it is doubtful it will beat TWS domestically. I don't see how Sony can be happy about that. Based on quality, I think that it is justice, personally.

 

[Harry Dresden]

Hopefully! If these numbers hold up, it is doubtful it will beat TWS domestically. I don't see how Sony can be happy about that. Based on quality, I think that it is justice, personally.

Agreed.

 

[miltonh]

From deadline.com:

The thinking was the gross would be much more than that ($15M for a $92M opening), but it could still pull in a $85M to $86M opening as this movie traditionally plays well across the board demo-wise.

 

[lukebrodyg]

Will this finally be the film that clues SONY in on how much they've mismanaged things since Raimi's SM2? Domestically the series has taken a hit since that film. I know it's a global market but even some global territories are coming in lower than on TASM.

I wish (and hope so). Too much studio control is never a good thing (not including Marvel Studios). Look at BF, B&R, FF 1 & 2, Spidey 3, And GL.


I'm worried about BVS. MOS, too me, had less studio influence than it seems it's sequels will/are...

 

[marcvader]

See, I SEE SPIDEY? You should stick to your gut feeling more often when predicting OW. Almost on point.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

See, I SEE SPIDEY? You should stick to your gut feeling more often when predicting OW. Almost on point.

lol You are jinxing my prediction, now the movie is going to shoot up and do 40million today.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

I think because of negative WOM and reviews, Sat numbers will be below C:TWS giving it a 85m-90m OW.

I don't think WOM will hurt the film, it just won't help it. People who have already made plans to see it, will. The problem is, not many people planned on seeing it to begin with.

 

[Liam_H]

Not a good number but it should jump fairly well today and tomorrow, if not this movie is in trouble.

 

[CaptainCraig]

In my case I've got plans to see it Sunday afternoon but if something comes up I might could now be persuaded to wait if the other thing sounds interesting enough(whatever that might be).

 

[Eddie]

I don't think WOM will hurt the film, it just won't help it. People who have already made plans to see it, will. The problem is, not many people planned on seeing it to begin with.

I disagree. I think the negative word of mouth prior to release hurt the opening, at the very least. It was a mistake to release this two weeks early internationally. Rotten Tomatoes is a relatively mainstream site. When the reviews are rolling in so far in advance of US audiences seeing the film and they're not great the domestic audience will hear about it.

 

[Webhead38]

I think my $85 million OW projection will be spot on. Releasing a movie less than two years after the last is a little too soon. These movies need to go away for a spell for general audiences to wet their appetite again.

 

[Eddie]

In my case I've got plans to see it Sunday afternoon but if something comes up I might could now be persuaded to wait if the other thing sounds interesting enough(whatever that might be).

Likewise. I was planning on the Sunday matinee, but if the family has other things going on I'll be waiting a week. I'm still looking forward to the film (sounds like Garfield nailed it, at least), but I don't live close to a theater. Opening week sometimes means a special trip for me, and I'm not sure I can justify a special trip.

 

[Liam_H]

I think my $85 million OW projection will be spot on. Releasing a movie less than two years after the last is a little too soon. These movies need to go away for a spell for general audiences to wet their appetite again.

Does it really matter if their reaction to the last movie was 'meh'.

 

[terry78]

What flick do you think will do the best this month out of this, Godzilla, Maleficent and X-Men? The comedies and smaller flicks will all do what they do.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

I disagree. I think the negative word of mouth prior to release hurt the opening, at the very least. It was a mistake to release this two weeks early internationally. Rotten Tomatoes is a relatively mainstream site. When the reviews are rolling in so far in advance of US audiences seeing the film and they're not great the domestic audience will hear about it.

But most of the reviews were mixed to positive before the last two days. The U.S. critics eviscerated it. The WOM from overseas was less than great, but not horrible.

 

[Eddie]

Going into the month, I thought TASM2 was the obvious choice. I wouldn't be surprised if it still does the best, but Godzilla might surprise people.

 

[miltonh]

What flick do you think will do the best this month out of this, Godzilla, Maleficent and X-Men? The comedies and smaller flicks will all do what they do.

Probably X-Men - over 230. But Godzilla should do well as well, 200M seems possible.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Sony should get someone onboard to handle this franchise rather then do it themselves or have Avi Arad do it, he seems quite clueless, and they already seem to be planning beyond webbs involvement so its probably not him

this franchise needs a kevin feige