The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Nemeres]

One month ago, I thought for sure this film would gross a billion. Seriously.

I did too, and that it would be hard-pressed to fall below the 80s on RT. Seems like my movie instincts are for ****, lol.

Watch my OW prediction of 102 million miss the mark too.

 

[Tony Stark]

I actually loved the face part of the mask on Dafoe's goblin, but I hated the oblong shape of it. The color of green looked ridiculous, I wish they'd have gone for something more military like, and the mask could have been taken from one of those voodoo masks he had in his house.

Dafoe in the role was perfect to me. Just the right amount of vanity and bat **** crazy!

 

[InJustice]

Which is why Sony should've slowly built up to the Sinister 6 in ASM4.

Everybody wants to make Avengers money without cultivating these worlds. It took five movies to build towards Avengers. Not one or two.

Except when it comes to the Sinister Six, you can't really take the same path Marvel did for the Avengers. Otherwise, by that logic, you should have 6 movies on Spidey's villains before tackling a Sinister 6. Also, the world building for S6 is less gargantuan than Marvel's universe, since Sony can just focus on Spider-Man and New York, whereas Marvel has to focus on different dimensions and places.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

“The Amazing Spider-Man 2″ is living up to the hype with an impressive $92 million opening weekend in the U.S., according to Friday estimates.

http://variety.com/2014/film/news/spider-man-box-office-2-1201170546/

Will we get the cinemascore Monday?

 

[Liam_H]

I believe its B+?

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

How is the movie living up to the hype again? It's going to open below a ten year old movie that didn't have inflated IMAX and 3D ticket prices. Are Sony paying Deadline Hollywood and Variety or something?

 

[Tony Stark]

Wow, if the estimates are more toward the low end of those numbers, there's a chance this could open at or lower than Thor TDW.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

How is the movie living up to the hype again? It's going to open below a ten year old movie that didn't have inflated IMAX and 3D ticket prices. Are Sony paying Deadline Hollywood and Variety or something?

And the same cinemascore as Robocop makes a second week rebound even more unlikely.

 

[InJustice]

Yikes, that does not sound good at all. Not to mention Godzilla and DOFP are coming to town. In conjunction with the poor reviews and lukewarm audience reception, this movie could have a hard time maintaining legs.

 

[spiderman2]

yeah I predicted 115 at first but this movie is not getting even close to has good reviews has I thought it would. I don't get it great movie far form bad shouldn't be below an 80 on RT. Affter the reviews I lowed my prediction to 105 but lower then 100 would be a massive dissapotment sony can not be happy.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

And the same cinemascore as Robocop makes a second week rebound even more unlikely.

Yes usually franchise pictures are good for at least an A-.

 

[grieven]

BOX OFFICE: ‘Amazing Spider-Man 2′ Snares Strong Friday For $91M+ Debut

http://www.deadline.com/2014/05/amazing-spider-man-2-box-office-opening-big-debut/

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 had a strong grip Friday night with an estimated take of $34M to $35M gross on track to open at $91M+ (depending on Saturday’s percentage drop). So our first estimates were right on the money … about 30% ahead the first installment’s opening of $62M. (In 2012, ASM opened on a Tuesday ahead of the July 4 holiday, which was a Wednesday). Right now, we’re figuring about a 10% drop although it might surprise as this picture plays to families and Saturdays and Sundays are prime movie-going days for the brood. So Saturday numbers are key; could it climb to 93M?

Let’s face it: Is there any little boy right now who isn’t tugging on their Dad’s shirt sleeve asking to go see Spider-Man? It’s what the industry refers to as a four-quadrant picture, meaning basically it plays across all demos. It has a B+ CinemaScore and an A- for those under 25, so word of mouth will carry it well. Good for director Marc Webb and producers Matt Tolmach and Avi Arad along with the films’ bevy of writers. Have been watching and asking questions on this this today, and the franchise was about 20% to 22% behind Captain America: The Winter Soldier all day, but kicked into gear this evening after grossing $8.7M last night in late shows. Remember, the $10.2M that the Cap did in late shows last month was 15% ahead of ASM2‘s $8.7M last night, but you got to take into account that the Captain got the added bonus of what was estimated to be a 14% surge from Spring Breakers which pushed it into a three-day gross of $95M.

ASM2, which bowed in a window of opportunity overseas a couple of weeks ago to a strong showing, has two weekends domestically to make its lion’s share before Warner Bros./Legendary Pics’ Godzilla stomps into theaters. The performance of Amazing Spider-Man 2 is a big deal for the studio. The production budget is said to be around $255M, with about $185M-$190M spent on marketing. That means all in it needs to make more than $752.2M worldwide (which is what the first installment grossed). About 65% of the first installment’s gross came from international markets.

 

[spiderman2]

mmm maybe we will get a 92 million OW or something. Who would have thought a captian American movie could make more.

 

[bapi]

So should finish between 220-240. Dissapointing for this brand.

 

[TheVileOne]

Just for sake of comparison the first movie had an opening weekend of $62 million, but that's because it opened on a Tuesday ahead of the July 4 holiday, which fell on a Wednesday in 2012. So it had an opening day of $35 million, and a July 4 gross of $23 million.

Captain America doing better than Spider-Man though is kind of exciting though IMHO. Just kind of shows that Cap has finally arrived after we had to wait for years to finally get a good movie. It was worth it.

Because after X-Men and Spider-Man in 2000 and 2002 it felt like a new golden age of comic book superhero movies. So it seemed like Iron Man, Captain America were all surefire to be made next. Instead it took about another 10 years, but it worked out for the best. Having misfires such as Hulk and Daredevil worked out in the long run because eventually Marvel was able to start doing this themselves and now they are owned by Disney were able to re-attain Daredevil, Ghost Rider, and Punisher and they can use them as they see fit, while granted X-Men, Fantastic Four, and Spidey are still at other studios.

 

[spider-neil]

So should finish between 220-240. Dissapointing for this brand.

I think in American every Spidey movie has made less than the one before it and in overseas every Spidey has made more than the Spidey before it. I think the America trend will continue and the oversea trend will finally see Spidey make less money than the one before it. Simply put, I think this movie makes less money than ASM1.

 

[bapi]

May not even sell more tickets than Ange Lee's Hulk.

 

[bapi]

I think in American every Spidey movie has made less than the one before it and in overseas every Spidey has made more than the Spidey before it. I think the America trend will continue and the oversea trend will finally see Spidey make less money than the one before it. Simply put, I think this movie makes less money than ASM1.

Probably. I guess... China will help a lot but probably will finish with 460-480M. 700 millions worldwide will be tough.

 

[bapi]

According to Deadline.com, Man of Steel's profit is 42.7M. But probably Sony spent more money on ASM3 production, China's % will be higher and ASM1 didn't sell so many DVDs and blu-rays and doubt ASM2 will improve in that category. And of course, they sold merchandising rights back to Marvel.

 

[TheVileOne]

I think in American every Spidey movie has made less than the one before it and in overseas every Spidey has made more than the Spidey before it. I think the America trend will continue and the oversea trend will finally see Spidey make less money than the one before it. Simply put, I think this movie makes less money than ASM1.

Not entirely accurate. Spider-Man made $418 million overseas. Spider-Man 2 made $410 million overseas. Spider-Man 3 made $554 million overseas. And then the first Amazing movie did $490 million overseas. So it did more than the first two movies overseas but less than Spider-Man 3 did internationally.

 

[spiderman2]

still though this movies have the protectioanly to make like 500 USA and like 900 or billion outside USA. Spider man 1-3 made more money and that was years ago and with out 3d. If this movies where saleing the same amount of tickets with now have 3d and inflation they would be make like around 1.4 billion told. If you just take inflation spider man 1-3 all made around the billion dollar mark and then you still have 3d.

 

[spiderman2]

the thing to is that out side the USA has gotten a bigger market sences spider man 1-3 to so really this movies should be able to make at least a billion over all Easley but that is not the case. A lot of people are not interested in this like the old ones and sony needs to find a way to bring people back.

 

[spider-neil]

I'm seeing ASM2 for the 4th (and final) time at the cinema today. If ASM2 bombs it wouldn't be because of me

 

[spiderman2]

Saw it for the first time last night on opeing night and will probly see it one more time maybe 2.

 

[Lord]

Not entirely accurate. Spider-Man made $418 million overseas. Spider-Man 2 made $410 million overseas. Spider-Man 3 made $554 million overseas. And then the first Amazing movie did $490 million overseas. So it did more than the first two movies overseas but less than Spider-Man 3 did internationally.

Let's not forget about Inflation and that the new movie had the huge boost of IMAX and 3D