The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[InJustice]

It's kinda sad to see how low this franchise has gotten. Not making more than Cap domestically is embarrassing.

If anything, the quality of this film is what's embarrassing. Especially when you consider how well-made TWS was.

To outgross TWS, it'd have to be a bloody damn great movie.

 

[Tobias]

If anything, the quality of this film is what's embarrassing. Especially when you consider how well-made TWS was.

To outgross TWS, it'd have to be a bloody damn great movie.

Webb didn't set out to make a mediocre film. Snyder didn't either with MOS. Or the director of GL.

The issue here is matching the right director to the CBM vehicle. Not easy to do as is obvious.

So many things go into making a great film and, even with all the money in the world, it is not guaranteed.

 

[TalismanRing]

Thur: $3,560,737 / -13.7%[COLOR=#00000]

7 Day total: ASM:[/COLOR][COLOR=#00000] [/COLOR]$110,700,722 vs ASM: $144,578,697

It's now $7m behind CA2 and with 22% lower first Thursday

Best case scenario is that it reacts like a family film over Mother's Day w/e and has 200% jump on Friday and another 70% jump to Saturday for a $40m w/e . If it has a merely great 160/60% jump it will be around $35m

 

[DarthSkywalker]

other way to think about it is that the last 3 spider mans have gotten bad, slighty good and bad reviews. If iron man or batman or any other super hero had 3 movies in a row not really consider good I think they would be doing a lot worse then what we are seeing right now with spidey.

Not with the new international box office market. That is the saving grace for a lot of these films. The international box office has expanded like crazy. The only thing that can get in the way now is direct competition.

 

[starkresilient]

wrong post

 

[Marvin]

Not with the new international box office market. That is the saving grace for a lot of these films. The international box office has expanded like crazy. The only thing that can get in the way now is direct competition.

Expanded international market has helped movies like TWS and Pirates and PRim and alot of these billion dollar films, whereas in the past their domestic numbers that did the only talking.

300mill domestic is pretty much how I gauge things relative to yesteryear. Which is why Skyfall is so interesting. Alot of international help but still, 300mill(non 3d).

 

[JKKS085]

110,7M for the first full week is amazingly low for such a wide release with a 91.6M opening week end.
It's first 4 week days are actually only 1 million ahead of X-Men Origins Wolverine first 4 week days despite the fact that this flick opened 6,6 millions lower than TASM 2. Meaning that, TASM2 has, so far, a bigger drop than XMOW. Should do better over the week end though.

 

[Marvin]

It will be interesting to see what the new Batman trilogy does compared to Nolan's batman. Then we might have a gauge as to whether the phenomena is widespread - follow-up franchises to uber-successful previous franchises underperforming. Same will apply when Downey leaves IronMan and how fell the follow-up rebooted franchise does.

Which is why launching off and out of BvS is the most prudent course of action. The avengers boost and all that.
Linking things to novelty and such is a good way for these studios to counteract conventional obstacles.

 

[Wildcard]

I don't think it's the idea of reboots that put people off, it's just how they're handled. A reboot can be a great thing for a franchise when it's done properly. But, if not, of course it's gonna fall flat on its face.

It's a matter of having a great product & offering audiences something new. If you can't do that, you'll lose more & more of your audience each time.

 

[Liam_H]

Lol, poor Spidey. It needs a great jump these next two days just to avoid a 60% drop.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

So what're the predictions for this weekend's gross? Like $40M? Does that sound right?

 

[Liam_H]

Unlikely, closer to $35M sounds about right, with a chance that it drops below even that.

 

[Tobias]

Unlikely, closer to $35M sounds about right, with a chance that it drops below even that.

So what range do you see the final domestric numbers come in at given this? Can't see it dropping below 35 million.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Mothers Day could help it on Sunday but these Spidey films have had less and less Women seeing them so how much it could help I do not know.

 

[Tobias]

Are less women seeing the Spidey film an ASM thing r did it start with Spiderman 3?

Garfield isn't exactly a Chris Evans in terms of hot superhero actor or Hensley for that matter. . Cap films get good female demos. Don't know if that is part of why the female audience is dropping?

 

[Liam_H]

Final domestic take looking like $215-205M or $210-200M depending on how the weekend plays out. If closer to $40M then the former, closer to $35M then the latter.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Saw "Neighbors" today. Yeah, TASM2 is in trouble.

Expanded international market has helped movies like TWS and Pirates and PRim and alot of these billion dollar films, whereas in the past their domestic numbers that did the only talking.

300mill domestic is pretty much how I gauge things relative to yesteryear. Which is why Skyfall is so interesting. Alot of international help but still, 300mill(non 3d).

Very well put, and I pretty much agree. So many of these films would have been considered "failures" a decade ago. Now it is like these films have two distinctly different chances to succeed.

Mothers Day could help it on Sunday but these Spidey films have had less and less Women seeing them so how much it could help I do not know.

Who is taking their mother to see Spider-Man on Mother's Day?

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Who is taking their mother to see Spider-Man on Mother's Day?

Kids who pretend that they are treating their mother to a film she wants to see when it's really a film that they want to see and teenage mothers. lol That last part was kinda a joke.

 

[Tobias]

Final domestic take looking like $215-205M or $210-200M depending on how the weekend plays out. If closer to $40M then the former, closer to $35M then the latter.

Can't see 200 million. If for some odd reson it is about there the studio will walk it to several million more. WB walked SR from 192 or so to 200 million. I was surprised they didn't try to walk MOS to 300 million.

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

Kids who pretend that they are treating their mother to film she wants to see when it's really a film that they want to see and teenage mothers. lol That last part was kinda a joke.

If it was Iron Man or Batman my mother would want to go. I'm not kidding either.

 

[hitmanyr2k]

Not sure how mothers would react watching TASM2 seeing how Peter kind of obsesses over his father and doesn't seem to care about his mom all that much

 

[Joeyjojo72]

Are less women seeing the Spidey film an ASM thing r did it start with Spiderman 3?

Garfield isn't exactly a Chris Evans in terms of hot superhero actor or Hensley for that matter. . Cap films get good female demos. Don't know if that is part of why the female audience is dropping?

Well Peter is a teenager. Most women prefer, uh, non-teenagers. And dudes with their own pads. Maybe that's it.

 

[starkresilient]

Through Thursday, 'The Amazing Spider-Man 2' has already grossed $340 million overseas

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $110,700,722 24.6%
+ Foreign: $340,000,000 75.4%
= Worldwide: $450,700,722

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Which is why launching off and out of BvS is the most prudent course of action. The avengers boost and all that.
Linking things to novelty and such is a good way for these studios to counteract conventional obstacles.

Agreed.

If it was Iron Man or Batman my mother would want to go. I'm not kidding either.

My mom didn't like TASM 2 but she likes most of these Superhero movies.

 

[spiderman2]

Lol people where talking about talking there mom to this movie for months day and I am doing that tonight accruley has my mom already has plains for Sunday with my sister and with my grandma on Saturday and my mom likes the spider man movies and wants to see it and I want to see it a second time. She is not like us by she does enjoy the spider man movies just not obssive like we are lol.