The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Mr. Dent]

No and measuring ***** isn't why we're talking about it either. We can do ti in good sport, there's nothing wrong with that.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Does it matter which one will make more money?

Yes it does.

For example, if MOS had made more than ASM worldwide we'd be looking at a Wonder Woman and Flash movie announcement.

Instead WB has been sitting on the idea.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Not really.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

You think if MOS made around 800 million WB still wouldn't fast track Wonder Woman and Flash?

Okay, it's fine if you want to believe that but they totally would've fast tacked Wonder Woman and Flash.

box office bomb = dead franchise
box office disappointment = half-hearted sequel
decent box office = straight forward sequel
great boxoffice = numerous sequels planned
breakout boxoffice = sequels with spin offs possible

 

[Mr. Dent]

Superman making $100m more doesn't mean Flash and Wonder Woman get fast tracked movies. It means Superman is even more popular than before.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Superman making $100m more doesn't mean Flash and Wonder Woman get fast tracked movies. It means Superman is even more popular than before.

100 m makes the difference between breaking even before dvd and profiting 50 million (studio's share of the 100 m) before dvd.

In fact, if ASM had made 550-650 m, I doubt they would've planned 2 more sequels in advance.

 

[Green Goblin]

MOS Box Office was why they brought in Batman

 

[Mr. Dent]

100 m makes the difference between breaking even before dvd and profiting 50 million (studio's share of the 100 m) before dvd.

In fact, if ASM had made 550-650 m, I doubt they would've planned 2 more sequels in advance.

You're comparing something with the same character with something concerning entirely different characters. :/

Not to mention even if TASM had grossed that much Sony still would have ordered more films...because they have to so it's an entirely different situation all around. Bad comparison.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Had MOS made more we would be seeing his solo sequel being announced rather than Batman to help him out

 

[Spiderdevil]

X-Men has the potential to surpass 1 billion! With six films released, it already surpassed 2 billion mark! Another 1 billion is not impossible.

Its 2 Billion from 6 films
Expecting another billion from another 3 or 2 films is realistic.But its difficult for DOFP to gross a billion by itself.X-men doesn't have the fan base

 

[Spiderdevil]

Are you saying ASM2 doesn't have a chance of making a Billion?

Because really, out of every other film next year, ASM2 has the best chances, and is the best positioned release, to gross a billion.

Read Again,I said 2 billion

DOFP has as much of a chance to gross a Billion as TASM2 has to gross 2 billion

Now, DOFP does have the potential to gross a Billion. As much as ASM2. However, I agree. It just isn't in the best position to do so, as far as the release schedule goes.

It's going up against way too many big releases.

To gross a billion a movie has to appeal to a large section of the audience,no matter how good the movie is or what the release date is
X-men doesn't have that appeal

 

[Spiderdevil]

The Last Stand was awful and killed the franchise, yet it still grossed decent money. Had it been on par with X2, I think you'd have seen a jump similar to X1 to X2, which was significant. Did anyone honestly expect the franchise to recover after Wolverine spinoffs and a prequel movie? That's not realistic. It will depend on how much they play up the fact that, you know, it's an X-Men film, with the primary heroes involved. Can they also erase the bad will garnered from TLS? All it takes is a good trailer. The Comic-con footage was so, so, but unless they completely botch it, I don't see how it doesn't gross 700

Even SM3 was terrible,yet TASM grossed 750M despite being average/above average and being a reboot.With a better release date it could have hit 800M

All said and done both FC and The Wolverine were great movies and they didn't even touch 400M.I fail to see how DOFP will double the gross.Its like saying TASM2 will do 1.5B

I said before,The Wolverine will be an indicator about where the popularity of the franchise stands.And it shows

if the reviews are on par with the last couple of X-Men movies. It's getting more hype than Spiderman when you look at what is trending, latest polls, and what not. It's above ASM 2 in anticipation factor; no doubt about it. The fact that Fox bumped up the release date into the onslaught of May/June only proves this.

Still very early to measure hype
But lets assume it is getting more hype than TASM2

Where? CBM.com,SHH.com and the sorts

Who are the members here? Comic book fans.

What percentage do they make of the total audience.Maybe 1%,probably lesser

Going by this 'hype' MOS should have made more than IM3,it managed just about half

Does X Men appeal to kids?Families? Nope
Those are the two section which bring the most money

If TASM is really good(Like say 80%+ on RT) and it has fun element,its an easy billion
While 700M is the roof for DOFP,and I am being generous

Realistically
TASM2 700-900M
DOFP 350-600M

 

[Green Goblin]

TASM2 would want better critic reviews than TW, they were less than TASM

 

[JOE]

TASM 2 is the front runner for 2014 IMO. DOFP doesn't pose a threat as far as I'm concerned.

 

[Picard Sisko]

The problem with DOFP for me is that its just another big summer blockbuster. TASM2 is a summer blockbuster, but its a movie that I am also emotionally invested in.

This is just how I personally feel about them.

 

[blake c]

The problem with DOFP for me is that its just another big summer blockbuster. TASM2 is a summer blockbuster, but its a movie that I am also emotionally invested in.

This is just how I personally feel about them.

I feel the same as you about this. I think TASM 2 is going to not just be a great action movie, but actually touch people's hearts like in the comics

 

[Picard Sisko]

TASM2 comes off as a very relatable film. So far DOFP comes off as another Summer Action film brought to you by 20th Century Fox IMO but with X-Men.

 

[blake c]

TASM 2 900 million
Captain America TWS 600 million
DOFP 400 million
Top 3 right there. I really think Captain America is going to surprise people

 

[JOE]

I can't get over Ben as Batman. That movie is going to be garbage...

 

[Picard Sisko]

I can't get over Ben as Batman. That movie is going to be garbage...

While I also can't get over that casting decision, I don't think its fair to say the film will be garbage just yet. We honestly don't know anything about this movie other than Batman being in it.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

I can't get over Ben as Batman. That movie is going to be garbage...

Same here. But I gotta maintain an open mind.

 

[JOE]

It's a weak and really safe move. No guts no glory I suppose...

 

[Picard Sisko]

I just can't picture Ben as Batman... not at all. He was not believable as Matt Murdock/Daredevil, and I don't think he will be any better as Bruce Wayne.

 

[JOE]

They made a huge mistake bringing Batman into this. The fans are going to eat him up, the Nolanites will criticize every aspect of this movie.

 

[Picard Sisko]

The Nolanites will criticize it for not being Nolan's Batman, the hardcore purist Batman fans will criticize it for being a poor casting decision, and then biased fans will praise it just because its Batman.