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Homecoming The Box Office Thread - Part 2

$880M still a lock at this point or nah? Feeling that unless China brings a couple mil in that $875M is its finisher.
Worldwide total should be between $877-878M after the weekend, so it'll need less than $3M after that to pass $880M.

Adding $2M+ domestic after this weekend should be a good bet. For comparison GotG2 added over $2M domestic after a $277k 13th weekend, and Homecoming will definitely beat that 13th weekend number. Add about $1M more OS and that would be enough for it to pass $880M.

I wouldn't call it a "lock" (after all Suicide Squad suddenly left theaters(or was no longer being tracked) after making a decent $325k in week 14, so nothing is certain yet), but barring some unexpected circumstances, it does look very likely.
 
Yeah, even with the bluray dropping, it will still pull in some $$$.

Wonder Woman and GotGv2 still had some cash come in even after their blurays dropped and I can’t see SM:H being any different. It won’t be huge, but it will be something.

Too bad they didn’t do a rerelease for a few weeks like Wonder Woman did.
 
Friday estimate is $150,000.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2017-09-29&track=spiderman2017.htm

Weekend should be roughly $550k. It'll need about half a million after that to pass GotG's domestic total, so that shouldn't take long now(should do it in about 2 weeks).

If those weekend numbers hold up it would also be only 3.358975 behind Spider-Man 3 in its same 13 weekend time and its 550k would also be well above Spider-Man 3 13th weekend of about 221.502k. Movie should also be pretty darn close to 880 WW after the weekend to. The movie will be at about 875 after sunday not including what ever its OS numbers are for this full week.
 
If those weekend numbers hold up it would also be only 3.358975 behind Spider-Man 3 in its same 13 weekend time and its 550k would also be well above Spider-Man 3 13th weekend of about 221.502k. Movie should also be pretty darn close to 880 WW after the weekend to. The movie will be at about 875 after sunday not including what ever its OS numbers are for this full week.
Yeah, $880M is close but at the same time still pretty far too, since it'll probably take a few weeks to get there.

Domestic will outgross China this weekend. Just 3 weeks ago China's weekend gross was $70M+ and domestic was $2.0M, and now, just 3 weeks later, domestic is already back on top. Really shows how frontloaded China is lol
 
What a crazy market!
 
Spidey's slowing to a crawl - a wall crawler that is...!

BO update...October 2, 2017

Sm $403,706,375 / $821,708,551
sm2 $373,585,825 / $783,766,341
sm3 $336,530,303 / $890,871,626
asm $262,030,663 / $757,930,663
asm2 $202,853,933 / $708,982,323
sm:hc $332,718,317 / $875,121,810

can it make another $17 million to pass SM3...?
 
Weekend actual is $588,932(-44.6%) for a domestic total of $332,707,249. That gives it a decent shot at passing GotG's domestic total next weekend.
http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2017/09/29
can it make another $17 million to pass SM3...?
Unfortunately, no, $17M is too much. We should be happy if it manages to add half of that from now on.

OS total still hasn't been updated yet btw, the current Foreign number on boxofficemojo is still as of last Sunday(Sept 24). They didn't give OS estimates this week(some studios stop giving them late into a films run), so we'll have to wait for actuals to come in. (It should have added between $2-3M OS for the week)
 
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Hopefully no one is disappointed with where it'll finish. Would've been amazing had it passed Spidey 3 but Homecoming came with the reboot stigma and off the back of 2 previous meh films. All we can hope for is the sequel to improve and increase a good amount.
 
Not disappointed at all. Beat my expectations. My prediction was --

Domestic: $260M ish
Foreign: $540M ish

WW total: $800M ish

Guess I was sorta on the nose with its foreign take though.
 
Yeah I don't think anyone should be disappointed at all with these numbers. It increased quite a lot from the ASM films, on a much lower budget. It's the number 8 highest grossing superhero movie of all time, and it has the lowest budget out of the top 10.

Its worldwide gross is over 5x bigger than its production budget, which is something only 3 other MCU movies have done before: The Avengers, Iron Man 3, and Avengers: Age of Ultron. It'll turn a very nice profit for the studio, no doubt.
 
I really thought this would top out around $750 million WW. That's all it really needed to make to comfortably be regarded as a success in my book.
 
No chance SHM makes another 17m to pass SM3 world wide or the extra 3.3m to pass SM3 domestic.

The best SMH can hope for now is to crawl past 880m.
 
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No change SHM makes another 17m to pass SM3 world wide or the extra 3.3m to pass SM3 domestic.

The best SMH can hope for now is to crawl past 880m.

Over SM3 domestic is happening. It will slowly crawl to that by the end of the year. Watch.
 
Making more than GOTG 2 and WW is a massive accomplishment. Justice League will probably beat it, but you never know... I thought BvS was a shoe in for 1B, stranger things have happened.

Either way, this movie is a critical and financial success. Period.
 
Making more than GOTG 2 and WW is a massive accomplishment. Justice League will probably beat it, but you never know... I thought BvS was a shoe in for 1B, stranger things have happened.

Either way, this movie is a critical and financial success. Period.

And yet there's always the "Disney wanted a billion" brigade out there.. or whatever.
 
OS numbers have now been updated as well. Foreign total after Sunday(Oct. 1) was $544,726,957 for a worldwide total of $877,434,206 after the weekend.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=main&id=spiderman2017.htm

So it added $2.32M OS over 7 days. It only made $417,796 of that during the weekend though, because the majority was made in China, where it lost many screens(>95%) during the weekend. The current holiday week(National Day holiday) in China is giving it a last few $100k extra in what should be its last week in Chinese theaters. OS won't add much more now. Maybe another $1-2M.
 
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Solid performance overall. Hopefully it can do even more domestically next time.
 
Hopefully no one is disappointed with where it'll finish. Would've been amazing had it passed Spidey 3 but Homecoming came with the reboot stigma and off the back of 2 previous meh films. All we can hope for is the sequel to improve and increase a good amount.

Aloha,
Anyway you look at it, Homecoming was a success. It earned the status of most successful reboot a few weeks ago. Feige and co. were smart and decided not to pump crazy money into this first outing and instead let the franchise rebuild slowly. There were some at corporate who wanted to double the actual budget. The plan is to increase the budget for each movie. And as I said before, it ain't over until it's over and we won't be getting the official final numbers for a few weeks. I'm sure it will hit $333 million domestic.I can't wait for the sequel which I am predicting now, will hit the billion dollar mark.
Spidey rules
 
333 is a no brained imo... Might have caused shot at 334
 
OS numbers have now been updated as well. Foreign total after Sunday(Oct. 1) was $544,726,957 for a worldwide total of $877,434,206 after the weekend.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=main&id=spiderman2017.htm

So it added $2.32M OS over 7 days. It only made $417,796 of that during the weekend though, because the majority was made in China, where it lost many screens(>95%) during the weekend. The current holiday week(National Day holiday) in China is giving it a last few $100k extra in what should be its last week in Chinese theaters. OS won't add much more now. Maybe another $1-2M.

You saying 1-2 million more OS not counting China or with China? The movie was/has been a big success I guess I am just getting greaty because a few weeks ago I thought maybe it could do 900 WW. If its Japan numbers where not a disappointment and its drops where better in China it would have been for sure. I say that because right now Japan is like 4m less then any Spider-Man movie. I thought for sure it would at least match amazing Spider-Man 2. If it had that would mean another 4m. Then China is at about 114m and if it had a multiple of 2 after its OW it would have made about 138m. That would mean another 24+4 for Japan or another 28m over all between those 2 places to get the movie up to 905ish + the very little it has left in the other places. Yeah at this point it is not going to pass Spider-Man 3 world wide has it still needs around 14m to do that and that is yeah not going to happened. May get to like around 6-10 million or something close to it and of course on a much lower budget. I am hoping it can catch Spider-Man 3 USA though. It should be close but may be like 1-2 million short we will see.
 
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$114M in China was a good number for Spidey. Hopefully the sequel can hit 150M plus.
 
You saying 1-2 million more OS not counting China or with China?
I was including China. OS gross without China is very low now(Under $100k last weekend). It could still add over $1M more OS(without China) in the end because of final adjustments. Late into a movie's release, smaller territories are sometimes not tracked weekly anymore. Numbers are reported up until a final tracking figure, but it can make a very small amount more in those markets. When it has completely ended its run, final numbers are reported which results in a few $100k being added, seemingly out of nowhere.

Take GotG2 for example. The studio reported it made a combined $85,116 over 8 weekends, yet during those 8 weeks, its Foreign number went up by $774,224. Obviously, it didn't make all of that extra cash during weekdays. A few $100k extra was added with final adjustments.

China will add a few $100k as well, so between $1-2M more OS(including China) seems likely.
$114M in China was a good number for Spidey. Hopefully the sequel can hit 150M plus.
Homecoming's China number is very good. It's the third highest grossing superhero movie of all time in China(local currency).

Final total from China will be closer to $120M than $115M btw, but boxofficemojo will list it a bit too low because they don't adjust for exchange rates correctly in their per market list. This doesn't affect boxofficemojo's worldwide total btw, just the totals per market. The overall foreign total is reported by the studio, and that does include the correct China number.

Boxofficemojo takes the latest total gross for a market in local currency and then converts it into dollars using current exchange rates, which isn't the right way to do it. Look at boxofficemojo's China numbers for Wolf Warrior 2 for example, do you see the issue? (look at the "Gross-to-Date" column for the last few weeks)
pWcdBJ9.png


Box office totals obviously don't really go down, especially when a movie is still making millions. Boxofficemojo doesn't add the amount of dollars it made over the week to its previous total(like they should), but they convert whatever the latest final total in yuan is to dollars using current exchange rates. That can cause errors, like gross going up too much(if exchange rates got better), or even going down(if exchange rates got worse) like it has for Wolf Warrior 2 over the last few weeks.

So if exchange rates change significantly while a movie is still playing(they have for Homecoming), boxofficemojo's per market totals will usually be slightly off. But like I said, their Foreign totals(per movie, not per market) are 100% accurate since the studio calculates those, not boxofficemojo.
 
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