The Dark Knight Rises The Box Office Thread

[Miranda Fox]

Yep. Hindsight is 20/20, as they say.

I guess I've just never understood why people care so much about their films breaking records and being the highest grossing film of the summer/year. So long as the film makes enough to greenlight sequels, who cares how much it actually makes?

True, true.

And regardless of whether or not TDKR tops The Avengers next year, no doubt RDJ will say something to piss people off - even though it'll once again be a joke.

LOL! I can't believe some people haven't worked out that RDJ has a very dry sense of humour and that you should never take what he says seriously.

 

[Dragon_316ca]

TDKR will be playing @ IMAX theaters in China (confirmed): http://www.marketwatch.com/story/imax-corporation-names-jiande-chen-ceo-of-imax-china-2011-09-08

The IMAX DMR titles slated for potential release in China for the remainder of 2011 and 2012 include Sector 7, Real Steel, The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn, Happy Feet 2, Puss In Boots, Flying Swords of Dragon Gate, Mission: Impossible Ghost Protocol, John Carter, Dark Shadows, The Amazing Spider-Man, The Dark Knight Rises, Gravity, and The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.

 

[kvz5]

Good news! China will be integral to TDKR's BO numbers specially after Bale's Chinese movie comes out later this year and with Nolan's Inception popularity.

 

[Batman jr.]

BO doesn't mean quality...

But I hope it'll earn TONS of money, so that we can put this 3D insanity to rest once & for all.

 

[WiseBrook]

My personal box office records are as follows:

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles II, 4 screenings but at kiddie prices.

The Dark Knight, Inception, and Hangover 2 all 3 screenings, with Inception having 1 Imax ticket taking the overall $$ lead.

The Hangover I saw 2 times in one day.

That said, I'm gonna go out on a limb and say TDKR will pull, from me, about $70. One Imax and one normal showing on opening day, 2 additional normal viewings in a quieter theater, and one final Imax showing before its gone. Thats one of me multiplied by XX million ******s like myself, carry the 2, and you get...almost as much as my student loans...

 

[chaseter]

Rises will definitely make a **** ton of money

Im guessing:

Domestic - $550,000,000

Worldwide - $1.5 billion

I was shocked at the lack of crazy reading through this thread and then voila!

$550 million is ridiculously laughable for a domestic take. I really hope you are joking.

$415 million domestic
$1 billion worldwide

It won't be much off of that. Only 3 films ever have broke $500 million domestic. Only 11 have broken $400 million. It isn't easy to get $400 million and it is nigh impossible to get $500 million...especially as more and more big movies are coming out each year.

 

[WiseBrook]

I see it pulling a billion somewhat easily, slightly less domestically and slightly more overseas than TDK (530 and 470 respectively).

Inception did amazingly well (292 dom 530 for), which is what makes me think replicating TDK numbers wont be too difficult.

Non-fanatics do know about TDKR, so maybe 450 domestic, 550 foreign? I agree with chaseter too tho, domestic could be much lower, maybe even 350ish depending on previews, etc. But i think catwoman will "put ****ing asses in ****ing seats."

 

[TheDragonator]

I'm guessing 700-800 mil. Spidey numbers, which isn't as good as TDK numbers, but still very good.

 

[Rocketman]

If this movie makes more than its budget (which it will), the movie is fine.
I have a feeling this movie isn't being made for those who saw TDK anyway; it's being made for people like us, who are fans.

Reasons why:
- Everyone saw TDK, including people who knew nothing about Batman, and probably didn't care. Plus, Heath Ledger.

- TDK made enough money for Rises to bomb. Which it won't.

- There has to be a reason why Nolan and Family wanted to come back, and it's a safe bet that it wasn't because of money. Nolan doesn't strike me as that person. So, if he's not, then I can only conclude that there was a STORY important enough to tell.

- Do you really think that Nolan would make a third movie if it wasn't going to be better than TDK? Why would he purposely make something inferior to what he already made? Why would he knowingly give us something that isn't as good?

So, in my mind:

- The box office will be fine.
- The movie has to be at least as good, if not better, than TDK.
Either way, don't forget that we (the fans) are in good hands.

 

[Naite22]

I personally hope that Nolan's "Rises" will knock Avatar off the poll, and become the worlds best selling film of all time. Cameron has hold that record long enough!

 

[Liam_H]

^I can't tell if that's sarcasm or not.

 

[obin_gam]

^ Only reason Avatar got so much money was the raised ticket prices... The Goddamn Batman doesnt need any help like that!

 

[I'm Not a Hero]

Is it wrong of me to hope that one of the actors dies to create more buzz?

 

[Liam_H]

You're probably joking but I'll still answer with a yes.

 

[KRIM]

^ Only reason Avatar got so much money was the raised ticket prices... The Goddamn Batman doesnt need any help like that!

If people are willing to pay for it, then it's only to the movie's credit that they still managed to get them in the seats. Besides, both Titanic and Avatar top its closest competitors by a significantly wide margin. It had little to do with ticket prices. Cameron has an uncanny ability to create worldwide event movies that have large replay value.

 

[Naite22]

^I can't tell if that's sarcasm or not.

Oh no, I mean it! I hope this movie will become the worlds best selling film of all time. Nolan deserves it! And I'm fairly confident that "Rises" has more to offer then a certain 200 mill chick flick called Titanic, that became number 1 back then... We know Nolan is going aaaall out with his final bat picture. And I think the only way he can win, is to create a very emotional and heartfelt story wrapped around a HUGE production! I'm keeping my fingers crossed for the Nolans and for this movie.

This is it. This will be the one that'll earn Nolan his oscars for "best director" & "best picture"

 

[dark_b]

- There has to be a reason why Nolan and Family wanted to come back, and it's a safe bet that it wasn't because of money. Nolan doesn't strike me as that person. So, if he's not, then I can only conclude that there was a STORY important enough to tell.

- Do you really think that Nolan would make a third movie if it wasn't going to be better than TDK? Why would he purposely make something inferior to what he already made? Why would he knowingly give us something that isn't as good?

IMO Nolan is making a batman movie so that he will not destroy his relationship with WB. he got a lot of money for Inception and full control. by making batman3 WB is happy and Nolan will be able to make more personal projects.

look at Snyder. only 300 was a BO hit with WB. Watchmen underperformed, the Owl movie bomed and Sucker Punch bombed. but he is still working with WB. because of 300.
now imagine how much control Nolan has. Devin Faraci is saying that he has final cut for TDKR. this means that no matter what he has in the movie WB will not change it. this is hgue for a director.

yes he loves batman and he is not forced doing it. but hes future is more important then just this one character. he needs to have in teh next 10 years a studio that will back him up.

 

[Liam_H]

^The problem with what you're saying is that WB needs Nolan more than Nolan needs them at this point. After what he's done any studio would gladly have Nolan do a project for them.

 

[AnneFan]

The Hobbit will give TDKR a serious challenge. It will be a slug fest, but I think Nolan and co. can come out on top. We'll see. I'm sure The Avengers will be a hit. Spidey will make money, and 3D will provide an added boost, but I don't see it really taking off like those three.

 

[Liam_H]

Domestically I think TDKR will top The Hobbit but WW I'm pretty sure TDKR is gonna lose out by a good margin.

 

[dark_b]

^The problem with what you're saying is that WB needs Nolan more than Nolan needs them at this point. After what he's done any studio would gladly have Nolan do a project for them.

would WB or Paramount give Cameron the same budget for Avatar? no. Fox made a lot of money with Titanic so it was no problem to give him the money for Avatar. the same with WB and Inception and now TDKR.
i think Nolan is looking in the future. he needs a partner. a studio that he can trust. a studio that wil lgive him full control and money. yes other studios would love to work with him. but other studios would not give him the same amount of money and control.
i am not talking what the studio needs. i am talking what is in the best interest for Nolan for the next 10 years. and it is working with WB.

who needs more ? Nolan WB or WB Nolan? the answer is both. both need eachother. WB/Nolan is a dreamteam.

 

[Liam_H]

Yea but I'm saying that Nolan can get the same amount of control and finance elsewhere. I don't believe he's gonna be making movies with $250 million budget for the rest of his career so WB is not the only place he can go.

 

[Rocketman]

Yea but I'm saying that Nolan can get the same amount of control and finance elsewhere. I don't believe he's gonna be making movies with $250 million budget for the rest of his career so WB is not the only place he can go.

I'm hoping that Nolan goes back to small-budget films like The Prestige and Memento, honestly. Not that his big films aren't great, it's just that I at least want to see him mix it up more. I'd love an Inception-scale story with a Memento-scale budget.

 

[Spiderman6592]

I'm gonna say that this makes about 350 mil domestic and around 500 mil foreign for around 800-900 mil worldwide.


I think this and The Amazing Spider-Man will be about on par with each other at the box office with The Avengers coming in at third out of the three.

 

[dark_b]

I'm hoping that Nolan goes back to small-budget films like The Prestige and Memento, honestly. Not that his big films aren't great, it's just that I at least want to see him mix it up more. I'd love an Inception-scale story with a Memento-scale budget.

Inception was so good for me that its hard for me to say NO to a Nolan bigbudget movie. Inception was so good.

i will say what i have been saying since summer 2005. first time we see batman in BB. it was like a pg13 horror movie. the build up was fantastic. this to me was proof that Nolan would be the perfect director for an oldschool horror movie. he must do a horror movie. where its not about jump moments. but about smart storytelling.