The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Iron Man 2' started by MessiahDecoy123, Mar 31, 2010.

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How much will Iron Man 2 make WORLDWIDE?

  1. under 200 million WW (worldwide)

  2. 200-300 m WW

  3. 300-400 m WW

  4. 400-500 m WW

  5. 500-600 m WW

  6. 600-700 m WW

  7. 700-800 m WW

  8. 800-900 m WW

  9. 900 m to 1 billion WW

  10. over 1 billion WW

  11. under 200 million WW (worldwide)

  12. 200-300 m WW

  13. 300-400 m WW

  14. 400-500 m WW

  15. 500-600 m WW

  16. 600-700 m WW

  17. 700-800 m WW

  18. 800-900 m WW

  19. 900 m to 1 billion WW

  20. over 1 billion WW

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  1. rashad

    rashad Hype Board Junkie

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    #76
    Last edited: May 1, 2010
  2. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Thanks. I hope I'm right because I hate being wrong when I predict the boxoffice.
     
    #77
  3. Anita18

    Anita18 DANCE FOR ME, FUNNY MAN!

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    After Avatar, I just throw my hands up and go, "Whatever!" :funny:
     
    #78
  4. redfirebird2008

    redfirebird2008 Well-Known Member

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    I wasn't saying they aren't reliable. I'm merely saying that it is an estimate. I follow BOM frequently and post on their forums. They do not have the actual theater count until the Thursday before an opening Friday. Go take a look at this week's theater count for Friday openers:

    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2010&wk=18&p=.htm

    Take a look at the part where it says "updated Thursday afternoons." We will not find out IM2's actual theater count until next Thursday. The 4,000 number is just an estimate, a conservative one. They underestimated TDK's theater count by a few hundred if I remember right.
     
    #79
  5. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    lol Yeah, that movie came out of nowhere and just killed it.
     
    #80
  6. hatebox

    hatebox Well-Known Member

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    I'm lowering my box office expectations slightly due to the influx of middling reviews. It'll open massively as befits a huge May sequel, but I'm not sure it sounds like the kind of film that'll get a lot of repeat viewing, not to menion attract an audience that would never see a superhero film which TDK seemed to manage.
     
    #81
  7. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Comparing it to the TDK is unfair anyhow.

    No matter how much people fight me on it I still say that the Heath Ledger death story mixed in with one of the most popular villains of all time gave that movie an advantage. Ofcourse the movie made most of it's money off of being good because people saw it again but it did have advantages.

    Now thats the last I speak of it because I don't want to argue and this is a thread about Iron Man's boxoffice numbers.
     
    #82
  8. hatebox

    hatebox Well-Known Member

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  9. redfirebird2008

    redfirebird2008 Well-Known Member

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    #84
  10. bapi

    bapi Well-Known Member

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    Oh, OS numbers don't look so great. Transformers 2 had 12% increase against TF1 and it looks like IM 2 will have similar. So it's gonna be hard to cross even 300. That's not great.
     
    #85
  11. hatebox

    hatebox Well-Known Member

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    I've no idea whether those numbers are good or bad but I'm guessing it's only been released in a few countries rather than at the same time everywhere like the last one? Or is it pretty much only the US that doesn't have it now?
     
    #86
  12. bapi

    bapi Well-Known Member

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    It's in 80% now. IM1 had 90 or 95%.
     
    #87
  13. Mauser9910

    Mauser9910 Well-Known Member

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    For what it's worth, in France, on opening day IM2 sold almost 204.500 tickets and comparing the numbers of the first screening of IM2 in Paris on opening day and the same for IM, it was up 28%...
     
    #88
  14. hatebox

    hatebox Well-Known Member

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    Apparently it's brought in $100m so far but I'm not sure what date that's up to, it could be the prediction for this weekend. The weather in the UK was terrible this weekend so that probably helped.
     
    #89
  15. Mauser9910

    Mauser9910 Well-Known Member

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    I guess it covers Wednesday->Friday or Saturday at best.
     
    #90
  16. JP

    JP Smelly

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    It's 5 days, as in Wednesday to Today.
     
    #91
  17. redfirebird2008

    redfirebird2008 Well-Known Member

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    I'm thinking it'll make around $350-400m overseas, which is what I expected before the release. I think it will make at least $425m domestic, so it has a pretty good shot at $800m worldwide.
     
    #92
  18. hatebox

    hatebox Well-Known Member

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    Just out of curiosity has a May release, which has to contend with the rest of the summer competition, ever made more than $400m domestic?

    Edit - nvm, I see that SM1 and Phantom Menace did.
     
    #93
    Last edited: May 2, 2010
  19. redfirebird2008

    redfirebird2008 Well-Known Member

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    Spider-Man did it in 2002 and that was with Star Wars II on its tail later in May. Spidey made nearly $404 million in 2002 dollars. That number adjusts to $521 million in 2009 dollars due to inflation. Shrek 2 was a May release that made $441 million in 2004 dollars. That number adjusts to nearly $533 million in 2009 dollars. Star Wars I came out in May and made $431 million in 1999 dollars. That number adjusts to $636 million in 2009 dollars. Here is the adjusted chart:

    http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm?adjust_yr=2009&p=.htm
     
    #94
  20. MessiahDecoy123

    MessiahDecoy123 Psychological Anarchist

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    Only three out of ten movies that grossed over 400 million came out in May: Spider-man, Shrek 2, and The Phantom Menace.

    But Iron Man 2 doesn't have that much direct competition. Only Prince of Persia and that comes out three weeks later.
     
    #95
  21. rashad

    rashad Hype Board Junkie

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    Should do about 350M OS.
     
    #96
  22. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    And who knows how Prince of Persia will do. To me it looks like it's got "bomb" written all over it. Not too many movies based on video games have been successful. The first Tomb raider barely made back production costs, and the second one bombed out big time. Jake Gylenhaal to me is not an actor who can carry a film. He's pretty much bombed out in everything he's tried to be a leading man in.

    Robin Hood will be interesting. This movie has potential to be a big suprise, well see.

    IM2 may not face any real competition until Eclipse which if IM breaks TDK's records, there a chance Eclipse might break IM2's. I hope not because I can't stand the Twilight series. Still you can't deny the power of the tween friendly love fest.

    The biggest joke of the summer to me looks like Jonah Hex, which could have been a very cool film. But they decided to take one of this generations best actors in Josh Brolin, and paired him with one of this generations worst in Megan Fox. Fitting though that she's playing a ****e. Yeah she is hot, but that's the only reason she's employed in Hollywood.
     
    #97
  23. shuffleboard

    shuffleboard Well-Known Member

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    Edited: This will finish $350-400M.
     
    #98
    Last edited: May 2, 2010
  24. FaT_tONle

    FaT_tONle Well-Known Member

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    Guess 400 is the new 300, which was in serious doubt for the first film. Can't expect to strike gold twice.
     
    #99
  25. redfirebird2008

    redfirebird2008 Well-Known Member

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    Yes, $400m is no longer anywhere near as difficult as it was a number of years ago due to inflation. That's why TDK's domestic box office is pretty similar in achievement to Spidey 1's. It would be nice if they just did this stuff in ticket sales instead of nominal dollars. Hollywood gets to hide behind inflation. The music industry, however, simply tracks units sold and there's no way of hiding the declines that have gone on over the years.
     
    #100
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