Iron Man 3 The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Tony Stark]

I'm a bit disappointed to, but I was wary of all these huge predictions to begin with. For one thing, I generally think it's a bad idea to wait 4 years between sequels. The kids that were Seniors in High School when the first movie came out are all graduating college. You're not capitalizing and building on your audience.

I think TDKR could get away with it, because it already had the big jump from first to second film. This movie needed a 2 or 3 year release for the second film.

I think this film will have a good run and good legs, because reviews have been fantastic, but it's not going to have the huge opening that people had hoped. In fact worst case scenario it could end up doing 85M for the 4 day run. Now I think that's a bit too low. I still think 100M is still in play, but barely. However with the surprise Gatsby through people last week anything is possible.

 

[Iceman]

Yep, should have come out last year. Some of the momentum is lost.

 

[Saitou Hajime]

I think TDKR could get away with it, because it already had the big jump from first to second film.

Inception also came out in the interim, which further built up Nolan's brand.

 

[combocaz]

Im happy IM3 hit the mark, it just means more comic book movies for us fans .

 

[ironman_rick]

Finally ... a billion moolah.



16Iron Man 3BV$1,000.8$301.930.2%$698.969.8%2013

 

[Iceman]

It didn't make it to $700m overseas?!

2013 is ruined for me

 

[schiz0id]

It didn't make it to $700m overseas?!

2013 is ruined for me

The China gross was overestimated by $2m that's why it's ONLY $698m . Blame China lol.

 

[Iceman]

The China gross was overestimated by $2m that's why it's ONLY $698m . Blame China lol.

It's an international disgrace! t:

All time Worldwide 16th now

 

[Mr. Dent]

It's awesome to see it hit $1b so quick.

 

[Donar]

It didn't make it to $700m overseas?!

2013 is ruined for me

Oh my god, I guess it's the end of the MCU. This ''Avengers' factor'' was a lie.t:

 

[danoyse]

Bit of a shame. Wanted ST to do well too.

I think a lot of people still didn't know Star Trek was out a day early. I saw it yesterday and a lot of people I talked to hadn't realized it was out already.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I think a lot of people still didn't know Star Trek was out a day early. I saw it yesterday and a lot of people I talked to hadn't realized it was out already.

I know I didn't when I was looking up times for IM3 and saw listings for STID already.

 

[Xeno]

Paramount really dropped the ball on marketing STD by not doing an ad blitz to make sure that people were aware that it was premiering on Wednesday/Thursday in North America. (Wednesday sneak peeks and Thursday full opening.) The posters, trailers and ads all said it came out May 17th, so naturally everyone except the most hardcore fans didn't know about the date switcheroo.


This is typical Paramount bungling, though. The studio isn't very good at marketing films it distributes and as a result has only had one legit $1 billion earner of its own. The Avengers and Iron Man 3 may have the Paramount logo out front, but their stellar marketing jobs were entirely down to Disney's efforts. Contrast the performances of those two films with the Marvel Studios films that Paramount was responsible for marketing and the differences in the quality of of the PR work becomes glaringly obvious.

 

[Iceman]

‘Star Trek Into Darkness’ On Track For $27M Friday And $88M Weekend; International Cume Already $47M

 

[Iceman]

Oh my god, I guess it's the end of the MCU. This ''Avengers' factor'' was a lie.t:

Well to be fair Marvel should can the comics universe now as well after this level of failure. The "Avengers factor" was no lie, it was a terrible curse.

I think a lot of people still didn't know Star Trek was out a day early. I saw it yesterday and a lot of people I talked to hadn't realized it was out already.

Maybe, certainly a factor at least. I just don't see it breaking out way ahead of the 1st film like I'd hoped even if it manages to do fine. The overseas figures will be interesting, really wish it could do something there. I kind of wanted this to start catching up to Star Wars I guess. t:

Paramount really dropped the ball on marketing STD by not doing an ad blitz to make sure that people were aware that it was premiering on Wednesday/Thursday in North America. (Wednesday sneak peeks and Thursday full opening.) The posters, trailers and ads all said it came out May 17th, so naturally everyone except the most hardcore fans didn't know about the date switcheroo.


This is typical Paramount bungling, though. The studio isn't very good at marketing films it distributes and as a result has only had one legit $1 billion earner of its own. The Avengers and Iron Man 3 may have the Paramount logo out front, but their stellar marketing jobs were entirely down to Disney's efforts. Contrast the performances of those two films with the Marvel Studios films that Paramount was responsible for marketing and the differences in the quality of of the PR work becomes glaringly obvious.

Yeah the difference in marketing now for the likes of Avengers & Iron Man 3 is insane. It's actually unavoidable. t:

 

[schiz0id]

Yeah the difference in marketing now for the likes of Avengers & Iron Man 3 is insane. It's actually unavoidable. t:

That's the power of Disney. If there's a studio other than Disney that's good in marketing movies (at least internationally) is Fox.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

That's the power of Disney. If there's a studio other than Disney that's good in marketing movies (at least internationally) is Fox.

That's why I think Thor: TDW and CA: TWS will both do much better at the BO now that Disney will be controlling their marketing campaigns.

 

[Saitou Hajime]

Rth over at BOT Is estimating 9.2M for IM3 in Friday, while he has 21-23M pegged for STiD.

 

[ElMariachi]

But but but....everybody HATED Iron Man 3 and the stupid Mandarin twist. Why is this movie making so much money?

 

[Donar]

But but but....everybody HATED Iron Man 3 and the stupid Mandarin twist. Why is this movie making so much money?

It's a new trend: people like to spend money on what they hate.

 

[T"Challa]

But but but....everybody HATED Iron Man 3 and the stupid Mandarin twist. Why is this movie making so much money?

lol..there is just a massive disconnect between a section of fanboys and the GA regarding this movie.

 

[ElMariachi]

Its not even Iron Man fanboys. They all seemed to love the movie. This isn't like Star Trek infighting over the JJ-verse. All of the supposed hate of this movie is being drummed up by (obviously) rival fanbases. Don't need to name names but let's just say, "red underwear" and "rubber nipples". It would be like Star Wars fans telling Star Trek fans that STID was terrible. Bias much?

For the record, Star Trek was a great film. Certainly near the top for that franchise.

 

[ElMariachi]

Anyone else besides me think that RDJ in that Oz movie instead of Fraco would have been worth an additional $250 million at the box office?

 

[schiz0id]

Anyone else besides me think that RDJ in that Oz movie instead of Fraco would have been worth an additional $250 million at the box office?

He would've been excellent in it and challenged Alice In Wonderland at the box office. But alas RDJ turned it down.

 

[Iceman]

That's the power of Disney. If there's a studio other than Disney that's good in marketing movies (at least internationally) is Fox.

That's why I think Thor: TDW and CA: TWS will both do much better at the BO now that Disney will be controlling their marketing campaigns.

Hope so, especially Cap which is a bit behind. More confident on Thor doing big numbers this time.