The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Iron Man 3' started by eddy, Oct 22, 2012.

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How much will Iron Man 3 make world wide?

  1. 500 Million

  2. 550 Million

  3. 600 Million

  4. 650 Million

  5. 700 Million

  6. 750 Million

  7. 800 Million

  8. 850 Million

  9. 900 Million

  10. 950 Million

  11. 1 Billion

  12. 1.1 Billion

  13. 1.2 Billion

  14. 1.3 Billion

  15. 1.4 Billion

  16. 1.5 Billion

  17. 500 Million

  18. 550 Million

  19. 600 Million

  20. 650 Million

  21. 700 Million

  22. 750 Million

  23. 800 Million

  24. 850 Million

  25. 900 Million

  26. 950 Million

  27. 1 Billion

  28. 1.1 Billion

  29. 1.2 Billion

  30. 1.3 Billion

  31. 1.4 Billion

  32. 1.5 Billion

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  1. MahvelBaby!

    MahvelBaby! Well-Known Member

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    It won't do Avengers numbers but I think it will do a good deal more than average Iron Man numbers based on the popularity of Avengers and (hopefully) interest in seeing whats happening next from the GA.
     
    #101
  2. Juicy J

    Juicy J Well-Known Member

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    So far this appears to be the general consensus, which makes sense. There's next to no doubt this thing is going to be huge. The only real question is if it'll crack a billion, which at this moment in time I think is more than possible.
    If disney knows how to do anything, it's marketing. So you better believe once next year rolls around you're going to be seeing iron man all over the place.
    Just out of curiosity, how would you rank the MCU films in order from best to worst? Cause I actually thought TIH was my least favorite MS film. It'd probably go
    Avengers
    Cap
    Thor
    Iron man
    Iron man 2
    TIH
    Although as I said, I think they are all good movies. Marvel doesn't know how to make a flop.
    GL was somewhat enjoyable the first time I saw it in kind of a bland, uninspired, mediocre way. I enjoy superhero movies, and since it was pretty much just an exercise in telling your prototypical superhero story I got my fix there. I wasn't happy at all that I payed for it though, and on rewatch I'd rank it in my top 10 worst movies I've ever seen.
     
    #102
  3. JKKS085

    JKKS085 Well-Known Member

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    If I had to rank the entire Phase One I'll say:
    1- The Avengers
    2- Iron Man
    3- The Incredible Hulk
    4- Captain America: The First Avenger
    5- Thor
    6- Iron Man 2

    I'm a bit partial to The Incredible Hulk because it is the first live rendition of the character that I cared for (probably because I'm a huge Edward Norton fan) but I do admit that it is overall not as compelling as Cap or Thor

    Same thing here. I think they're all average to very good films (despite the fact that I absolutely love Iron Man 1 and The Avengers I can't call them great though) and Marvel has yet to prove (or not ;)) than one of their films can be a failure.
     
    #103
  4. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    Without avengers, I am truly curious what kinda buzz this film would have had.
     
    #104
  5. SoNicRaDiATioN

    SoNicRaDiATioN Well-Known Member

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    Without Avengers I'd guess around 700m. With, my guess is 850M.
     
    #105
  6. rashad

    rashad Hype Board Junkie

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    That doesn't mean they're infallible. It'll be interesting to see if movies like Guardians and Ant Man appeal to audiences. As good as Edgar Wright's films have been. They haven't exactly set the box office on fire.
     
    #106
  7. MessiahDecoy123

    MessiahDecoy123 Psychological Anarchist

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    Neither did Whedon's.
     
    #107
  8. Spider-Vader

    Spider-Vader Mercin' & Workin'

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    It still would have had some big buzz, just not as big as it currently does.
     
    #108
  9. T"Challa

    T"Challa Well-Known Member

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    Exactly.
     
    #109
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2012
  10. T"Challa

    T"Challa Well-Known Member

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    He didnt have Disney and the Marvel imprint behind him either. By the time Antman comes out, Phase 2 would be complete with hopefully another smash with Avengers 2. If this happens, which looks very probable atm, Marvel Studios will be a full on brand, and as they did with Avengers, Disney know how to market these films. Ant-man will do fine
     
    #110
  11. Zinc Saucier

    Zinc Saucier Essence of Pure Flavor

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    This is kind of off topic, but your comment made me wonder, is Ant-Man going to be considered the beginning of Phase Three or more a sort of epilogue to Phase Two?
     
    #111
  12. BatsDC

    BatsDC Side-Kicker

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    I'm thinking more of an epilogue to Phase 2, but I imagine it could be viewed as either, unless it has distinct ties to an arc carrying over from Phase 2 or leading into Phase 3.
     
    #112
  13. Fudgie

    Fudgie Well-Known Member

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    I think about 300-400 mil domestic.
     
    #113
  14. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus Well-Known Mutant

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    Domestic - More than 300,000 million
    Worldwide - More than 700,000 million
     
    #114
  15. Matarreyes

    Matarreyes Well-Known Member

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    Having read up on the predictions threads for IM1 and IM2, I am now LOLing with hilarity. All the gloom and doom before the release of the first one, and complaints of underperformance after the release of the second. Honestly, I just hope the movie is badass, because we all know it will deliver fine financially, and I am more concerned about getting a nice full circle feeling to the entire RDJ-IM franchise.

    That said, I do hope for a billion, riding on the Avengers fame. Many have said that the movie greatest accomplishment was the balancing of so many superheroes, but it was actually down to preventing RDJ/Tony Stark from running away with the script :woot:.
     
    #115
  16. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    I still think people are underpredicting this movie. If the reviews are good, this is going to be at least 900M WW, and likely 1B. No it's not another Avengers, and it doesn't have to be, but predictions of 750M or 800M, when completely average films like Madagascar 3, and Ice Age are able to make that much shows that people are being too conservative.

    Again, if the reviews are terrible, then those numbers may be accurate, as it will still open big, but have a bigger decline. However there's not much competition and Star Trek screwed up by really capitalizing on the first movie, by waiting way too long to release the second movie. I suspect Star Trek will finish about where the first one did.

    I predict the top two grossing movies of the summer will be Iron Man 3 and Fast 6. Monsters U and Despicable Me 2 may come in second, but will definitely be no. 3/4 and either of the two will have a chance to be the highest grossing animated movie of the summer.

    I think that Star Trek, MoS, Wolverine and Lone Ranger will duke it out for 5-8, Star Trek may do significantly better if it's a huge improvement over the first film, and gets positive reviews. MoS might be a great film but it's in a horrible place in the summer. June releases typically never come out on top. Warner really screwed up the release date here, and should have learend from Green Lantern. Coming out a week before Monster U, MoS will only be in the no. 1 spot for a week.

    There's going to be a billion dollar movie this summer, and looking at the competition IM3 has the best shot of the non animated movies. Fast 5 made 600M WW, don't see how the 6th movie is going to top it. Star Trek does not have the international audience. MoS is too new and will be hurt by it's June placement domestically, Lone Ranger might have potential with Jonny Depp, but Armie Hammer is not a well known star, and it's hard to say how this will play internationally.

    Sorry for the detractors, but the stars are alligned for IM3. I would not be saying this if Avengers hadn't raised the bar, but the Marvel brand is now THE brand in comics. They've established their dominace and IM3 will reap the rewards.
    Bombs of the summer will be Great Gatsby, Kick Ass 2, Hangover III (this could be big based on the others, but I'm going on the 'one too many times' theory), and Percy Jackson 2 for waiting too long between films and for the first one not gathering an audience, and deviating from the book far too much.
     
    #116
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2012
  17. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    There's an argument to be made for why IM3 could gross a billion but this isn't it. "It can do it because Madagascar and Ice Age are successful" is not a good argument.
     
    #117
  18. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    That wasn't the basis of my argument. The point is two very average to below average movies made between 700M and 900M WW. Everyone underestimating IM3's performance is doing so based on the first two films. Avengers changed that dynamic. I'm not saying it's going to do Avengers type buisness, but it's certainly capable of making a billion WW.

    Again if you take IM1 and 2's ticket sales with inflation and 3D boost, that would get you somewhere in the neighborhood of 375-380M.

    The film will be a lock to open in the 150's, and from there, as long as it holds well when Star Trek is released, 400 is very doable.
     
    #118
  19. metaphysician

    metaphysician Not a Side-Kick

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    I think your fault is your starting point: that Ice Age and Madagascar can be discarded as "average to below average." In terms of quality, that may well be true. . . but they are entries in successful franchises that are specifically targeted at kids and families. That's a recipe for higher gross numbers, because of all the kids who will drag their parents to the movie ( and vice versa ) based on prior exposure to the franchise.
     
    #119
  20. Matarreyes

    Matarreyes Well-Known Member

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    Well, IM3 is a part of a very successful franchise, so that is there... It´s also a family friendly movie, much more so than Batman movies for example (acceptable for kids) and also more than the rest of MCU movies prior to the Avengers (all of which have been pretty fantastical and therefore "scary" for GA).
     
    #120
  21. metaphysician

    metaphysician Not a Side-Kick

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    Still not comparable. Movies that expect to draw crowds of families with under-eight kids just aren't comparable to anything else.
     
    #121
  22. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    You're missing the point. While both Ice Age and Madagascar did well domestically it was not what you expect from a 800M movie.

    400M domestic 600M foreign is my prediction. Although if reviews are not good, I'll lower that expectation. But if the film lives up to the bar that the trailer seems to set, we are in for something special.

    And please don't anyone tell me that IM is not Batman. He is now. Yes IM is a top tier comic book hero specifically due to the movies and RDJ. Spider-man is still Marvel's flagship character, but IM is now right up there with him.
     
    #122
  23. Fudgie

    Fudgie Well-Known Member

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    I say it stands a hell of a good chance of doing at least 800 mil WW.
     
    #123
  24. Superhero 101

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    After seeing the jammed pack Summer schedule i think IM3 will make around 700-800 i think i predicted 900 but There are lots of big movies coming out right after IM3
     
    #124
  25. spideymouse

    spideymouse Well-Known Member

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    My thoughts exactly.
     
    #125
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