psylockolussus
Anchor of Earth-X
- Joined
- Aug 19, 2004
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Captain America 4 should get some goodwill from Deadpool. Captain America as a brand, is probably stronger than F4 simply because of the previous films, so that should help. I'm giving it a benefit of a doubt that it can gross at least $100 million in North America. The rest of the world though? It could struggle as much as The Marvels, with a different actor playing as Captain America.I'd say Captain America 4 is the safest of the 2025 films. Wakanda Forever showed that the general audience is at least potentially willing to accept legacy versions of popular franchises. As long as they properly market CA4 as a sequel to the other CA movies and stick to the established tone and iconography and whatnot, it should do fine.
Fantastic 4, Blade, and Thunderbolts are all new franchises, which is much shakier ground to be on, as Marvel has been struggling to get people invested in its newer stuff. Right now it's like there's a cutoff after Black Panther, where that was the last new MCU franchise that people got truly and deeply invested in.
And yes the other three, are much riskier. 3 back to back non sequels are too much. Fantastic 4 would be better off coming after Spider-Man 4. The other two, after Avengers, Black Panther or Dr. Strange which ever comes first.
As for Shang-Chi. I fear that the sequel is taking too much time and when it comes out, all the goodwill from the first film might be gone. Either it features an Avenger, or it comes after a successful Mcu film in order to guaranteed its success.
The demand for Marvel movies in cinemas is at all time low and even if they have the greatest story. If the audience aren't interested, they won't show up. See Birds of Prey and The Suicide Squad 2021 - those were better than most dceu films and both flopped at the boX office.
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