2008 Box Office Predictions & Discussions thread

[L.A.]

John Hancock seems to be the only one around that time.

A movie about a signature???!!! Oh yea im going to watch that!!!

 

[Tempest19]

A superhero film with Will Smith. Lmoal.

No, it's a movie about people signing papers all day long... that's the premise.

 

[L.A.]

A superhero film with Will Smith. Lmoal.

....

 

[Silver Knight]

For some reason I can see Iron man doing well.

Hopefully Hulk does well.

The Dark Knight will win the summer 08 battle I think.

 

[Excel]

would say Iron Man is just as well known as TF

I would say you off. WAY off, actually. Transformers were an 80's phenom. Iron Man isnt even that huge with comic fans, let alone a phenominon.

 

[Silver Knight]

Yes, Im not a fan of Iron man and hope it flops.

HULK SMASH 2008!

 

[Tempest19]

Hulk probably will- show one clip of Abomination vs. Hulk and you'll have the audience who love action films salivating screaming "give us MORE HULK SMASH!"

For that reason alone I doubt it will flop, won't be a sure fire success either. But, it will probably make enough to warrant a sequel.

 

[Silver Knight]

For that reason alone I doubt it will flop, won't be a sure fire success either. But, it will probably make enough to warrant a sequel.

You talking about Hulk or Iron man?

 

[cookiva]

a recent fad starting in 1997?

Do you know how long the character of Bond has been around for?????

 

[Tempest19]

Hulk and Iron Man, why the fck would anyone hope one comic franchise to flop?

 

[L0ngsh0t]

I would say you off. WAY off, actually. Transformers were an 80's phenom. Iron Man isnt even that huge with comic fans, let alone a phenominon.

my point was this exactly, that was 27 years ago

No one went to TF because of the toys, no one, it was all because as of right now it pretty much is the state of the art movie until probably next year when IJ, Iron Man, or Hulk come out, and maybe not then even

I garuntee if it wasn't as cool looking as it was would it come close to the huge opening weekend as it had, nor the continued success for the quality of movie that it was

what was Pirates before the movie was made? People have herd of the ride, yes but com'on, people didn't come in droves to see the first one becuase of the ride...

the reason I think Iron Man is going to shoot way north of 200, and probably around 250 or so is it A has the best promo trailer I have ever seen, the comic con footage destroys everything.

Also, If 300 can make 270 opening in March, Iron Man can make 250 opening on the week where nothing else is playing, Iron Man is more well known than 300 is, most people thought that was based on history (which the comic is, but its obviously based off of a comic)

 

[Mr. Socko]

I agree that if 300 can do that good in March, Iron Man can in the summer.


I see Iron Man making more than Incredible Hulk, that's for sure.

 

[Poetic Chaos]

Do you know how long the character of Bond has been around for?????

Anything that lasts a decade doesn't qualify as a fad. You could compare it to Superman for all I care. Potter will do more with only 7 books to work off of than anything with 50 years of history.

 

[Mr. Socko]

Harry Potter certainly isn't a fad. No books like these are. It's like if back in the 60s and 70s someone had said LOTR was a fad. Books like these always remain popular, but sometimes the popularity is at it's peak, and for Potter it's right now. 50 years from now everyone will know who HP is but it won't be like it is today. Hell, right now everyone knows what LOTR is but the popularity isn't at it's highest, not like it was back in 00-03. Don't expect HP to be as big as it is right now for another 30 years, until they decide to remake the films.

 

[Excel]

I agree that if 300 can do that good in March, Iron Man can in the summer.


I see Iron Man making more than Incredible Hulk, that's for sure.

300 didnt have speed racer, narnia, and indiana jones coming right up the ass.

best case scenario is 70/200 for iron man...id say look for 60/175 with iron man 2 at 90/250

best case scenario for hulk would be 60/175...id say look for 45/140 with hulk 2 at 70/200.

 

[Drizzle]

300 didnt have speed racer, narnia, and indiana jones coming right up the ass.

 

[Tempest19]

Two replies (two different posters)

1. Inflation, so actually no. With inflation, with ACTUAL balanced charts HP will not come close to Bond. The tickets for the first Bond films (not inflated in that total was only 70 cents!) But, if you want to lie to yourself and blindly ignore inflation- then, yes your little 'fantasy' can come true but only in your head and only for a very short amount of time because unlike Potter, the Bond films will continue on forever. Thus, either way- inflation or in terms of how long the franchise will be in theaters- Potter will never truly be able to reach Bond status. This isn't that big of a deal either that it will be looked back as a great book series and film run, and years from now- if likely, and probably- will be remembered as the LOTR of our time. Now that isn't bad is it?

And check your reading comprehension- RECENT FAD IN COMPARISON TO BOND. You do know what the words "comparison to" means right? If not look it up in the dictionary or ask a friend, because you obviously don't get the very clear and uncondescending point of that statement.

As a superhero film fan I can even EASILY state that the current run in comic properties to film could be considered a fad in comparison to Bond's status.

The confusion you're having is not being able to differentiate between what I am saying and what you think I am saying. I am NOT saying that HP is a recent fad. I am stating that in COMPARISON to BOND a 45 YEAR OLD property, it is a recent fad. There's a difference dude. Here's something you should understand- POTC in comparison HP is a "recent fad", due to HP having stood the test of time for a longer period than POTC thus far.

In comparison to= 11 years is a "recent fad" to something that's been around for 45 years. That's fact. As I said, let's see where it is in 2042 and then compare the two. Will HP be big? In twenty years will it decline? Is it a Narnia or is it a LOTR? All of these questions can not be answered yet because it is still facing the TRUE test of time. It has NOT succeeded or failed in those regards yet, it will once it has been around for a LONG time. Trust me, 11 years is NOTHING compared to these older properties. And that's not an insult... it's just saying 45 > 11. 60 > 11, etc. When looking in terms of the old, 11 years isn't that big of a deal. It's the biggest current fad, yes- but unless these prove the test of time many years down the line... now therein lies the rub.

2. Iron Man is not near Transformers. A- what promo trailer? B- no one outside of fandom will ever see the comic-con footage. Iron Man will make north of 200, yes, but don't look at it as a Transformers scenario. ALOT of the people, ranging from my age older went BECAUSE they remembered the toys. My older cousin who is five years older than me asked "did you see Transformers yet? I've been meaning to get it to it because I remember playing with those toys when I was little." So, TF is definitely a bigger brand name than Iron Man. No comparison there. But, it will get north of 200- like other good blockbuster films, but not because of it's name.

 

[Poetic Chaos]

Potter has a definitive end. Bond doesn't. I'd say that gives Bond the longevity advantage. But stack up the best 5 Bond films with inflation and I'm sure it doesn't come close to what Potter has done. Bond's strength as a franchise is in it's number of films alone.

 

[Excel]

But stack up the best 5 Bond films with inflation and I'm sure it doesn't come close to what Potter has done. Bond's strength as a franchise is in it's number of films alone.

yes it does. Kills it, actually. Potter has much more im common with star wars...its a huge worldwide phenominon. It wont just go away. Potter will always be huge, even 20-30 years after the final films out.

 

[L0ngsh0t]

300 didnt have speed racer, narnia, and indiana jones coming right up the ass.

best case scenario is 70/200 for iron man...id say look for 60/175 with iron man 2 at 90/250

best case scenario for hulk would be 60/175...id say look for 45/140 with hulk 2 at 70/200.

Iron Man is getting so low balled

300 opened in March and had a opening weekend of what 75 mill?

(this is barring a trailer that is as good as the comic con footage) I don't see how Iron Man can't possible open with that, in May, there is nothing out on May 2nd, yeah the competition after that is huge, but there is no reason if 300 can open in march to 75, Iron Man can't open May 2nd to 85, that would put it on pace for about 230, which is in the neighborhood of where i think it will land domestically

and also you bring up speed racer, that faces the same challenge as Iron Man, who has watched SR in the last 15 years????

I think Iron Man will get an 80ish opening weekend with about a 240-250 total gross

 

[L0ngsh0t]

Hulk and Iron Man, why the fck would anyone hope one comic franchise to flop?

I agree I think Hulk 1 isn't a masterpeice by any means but I think they can turn it into good from the base they built, Ed Norton wanting to be a part of the movie, and the great cast they have gives me hope, I hope all is well in the Marvel Films universe, so they can buy back X-men and make good x-men movies

 

[Excel]

300 was a fluke, my friend.

Its like saying "If Titanic got 600 million April, Batman can defiently get 600 million in July".

300's are very rare. Its much better to loko at the general consensus of how comic book origin films do.

 

[Iron_Stark]

Yes, Im not a fan of Iron man and hope it flops.

Stop drinking that HATERade, Hayton Manning

anyway, I hope BOTH Iron Man and Hulk do well enough to warrant sequals and the eventual Avengers movie.

 

[Excel]

Stop drinking that HATERade, Hayton Manning

anyway, I hope BOTH Iron Man and Hulk do well enough to warrant sequals and the eventual Avengers movie.

Heh; I laughed at both of those "h8r" comments.

Im sure both will do well if their good filmm; but lets not get carried away.

Iron Man should do well, but with a such a huge price tag it does put a sequel in more jeopardy. HULK needs less to make a profit. 225 million+ on a film that has a 95% chance od doing between 275-325 worldwide is a big risk. I am refering to Iron Man, with its 160 million price tag before marketing and prints.

 

[BAH HUMBBUG!]

So does anyone have any actual figures for how much the Box Office made last year and what it is at this year?